CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3011 Clack Rd
B Composite 70.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

3011 Clack Rd · Madison, GA 30650
6 bd · 1.0 ba · 3,190 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 63 Days on market
Built 1970 1.67 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

COUNTRY LOCATION YET CONVENIENT TO THE CITY! Nestled among hard and soft woods you'll find this longtime family estate with respite and nature surround while mere minutes to downtown Madison, Lake Oconee and I-20 for easy access into all of Atlanta. In the same family for generations this two story home offers a canvas to finish however you may like or start fresh with your own plans and designs. With the lowest priced active listing in GAMLS in Madison at $149,900 and average pricing for residential homes in the area between 500-800k with multiple nearby properties in the 7 figures the possibilities for this buyer abound. Space to spread out in 6 bedrooms of which 2 are downstairs and 4 up, along with 3 full baths and 3 living areas of which two are downstairs and one up plus a large country style kitchen with loads of cabinets and counter space there's room for everyone here! The one story front portion of the home is single wide manufactured home while the rear two story addition is stick built on concrete block piers - no financed offers to be considered, full cash only.

Key facts

  • Loads of cabinets
  • Counter space
  • 1.67 acre lot

Tags

LARGE COUNTRY STYLE KITCHENLOADS OF CABINETSCOUNTER SPACEEASY ACCESS TO ATLANTA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $948 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 1.9% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#88 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Morgan County (town): math 49% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #20 of 174 in GA (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 160 active listings in the ZIP; 164 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Morgan County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.83%
Cap rate
15.39%
Cash-on-cash
32.50%
DSCR
2.45
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.6%
Equity multiple
2.15×
Total profit
$40,151
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
35.1%
Equity multiple
4.22×
Total profit
$112,829
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30650

Active inventory
160
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,283 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$148 /mo · $1,780/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$480
Net cashflow
$948

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,083
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Back On Market 1091-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1091 chars)

    COUNTRY LOCATION YET CONVENIENT TO THE CITY! Nestled among hard and soft woods you'll find this longtime family estate with respite and nature surround while mere minutes to downtown Madison, Lake Oconee and I-20 for easy access into all of Atlanta. In the same family for generations this two story home offers a canvas to finish however you may like or start fresh with your own plans and designs. With the lowest priced active listing in GAMLS in Madison at $149,900 and average pricing for residential homes in the area between 500-800k with multiple nearby properties in the 7 figures the possibilities for this buyer abound. Space to spread out in 6 bedrooms of which 2 are downstairs and 4 up, along with 3 full baths and 3 living areas of which two are downstairs and one up plus a large country style kitchen with loads of cabinets and counter space there's room for everyone here! The one story front portion of the home is single wide manufactured home while the rear two story addition is stick built on concrete block piers - no financed offers to be considered, full cash only.

  2. 2026-03-16
    status Under Contract 1091-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1091 chars)

    COUNTRY LOCATION YET CONVENIENT TO THE CITY! Nestled among hard and soft woods you'll find this longtime family estate with respite and nature surround while mere minutes to downtown Madison, Lake Oconee and I-20 for easy access into all of Atlanta. In the same family for generations this two story home offers a canvas to finish however you may like or start fresh with your own plans and designs. With the lowest priced active listing in GAMLS in Madison at $149,900 and average pricing for residential homes in the area between 500-800k with multiple nearby properties in the 7 figures the possibilities for this buyer abound. Space to spread out in 6 bedrooms of which 2 are downstairs and 4 up, along with 3 full baths and 3 living areas of which two are downstairs and one up plus a large country style kitchen with loads of cabinets and counter space there's room for everyone here! The one story front portion of the home is single wide manufactured home while the rear two story addition is stick built on concrete block piers - no financed offers to be considered, full cash only.

  3. 2026-02-01
    listed $125,000 New 1091-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1091 chars)

    COUNTRY LOCATION YET CONVENIENT TO THE CITY! Nestled among hard and soft woods you'll find this longtime family estate with respite and nature surround while mere minutes to downtown Madison, Lake Oconee and I-20 for easy access into all of Atlanta. In the same family for generations this two story home offers a canvas to finish however you may like or start fresh with your own plans and designs. With the lowest priced active listing in GAMLS in Madison at $149,900 and average pricing for residential homes in the area between 500-800k with multiple nearby properties in the 7 figures the possibilities for this buyer abound. Space to spread out in 6 bedrooms of which 2 are downstairs and 4 up, along with 3 full baths and 3 living areas of which two are downstairs and one up plus a large country style kitchen with loads of cabinets and counter space there's room for everyone here! The one story front portion of the home is single wide manufactured home while the rear two story addition is stick built on concrete block piers - no financed offers to be considered, full cash only.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,780 · $148/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,780 · $148/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,401
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,780
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,192
− Management
−$2,192
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$9,974
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,394
After-tax cash flow
$8,982/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morgan County
NCES district ID
1303780
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$50,713
Composite
40.39/100
National rank
#3731
State rank
#20 of 174 in GA

Livability — Madison

Score
71/100
State rank
#88
US rank
#7252

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
13,398
Population (ZIP)
13,398

Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,277 people
By 2030
18,213 · -0.4%
By 2040
17,709 · -3.1%
By 2050
16,761 · -8.3%
By 2075
14,143 · -22.6%
By 2100
10,523 · -42.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Morgan

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.0) · D 26.8% · R 72.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.3pp toward R · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -46.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.0 2020: R+41.7 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+38.0 2008: R+31.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -171.25%
Current HPI
282.7041
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-02-01 Listed $125,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,780 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…