875 W Graceway Dr · Napoleon, OH
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.17%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- Cash flow +9.7/30.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$182,200
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 1898 square foot single family home has 4 bedrooms and 1.0 bathrooms. This home is located at 875 W Graceway Dr, Napoleon, OH 43545.
Key facts
- Built 1959
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $182k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-120 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (11.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (26.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $134k (26.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.8% in Napoleon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#484 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Napoleon Area City (town): math 62% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #208 of 656 in OH (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Napoleon Elementary School (math 75% / reading 74%, grade A, #272 of 1,584 statewide, top 19%, 975 students, 37% FRL); Napoleon Elementary School (math 75% / reading 74%, grade A, #272 of 1,584 statewide, top 19%, 975 students, 37% FRL); Napoleon Junior/Senior High School (math 49% / reading 64%, grade C, #291 of 781 statewide, top 37%, 787 students, 30% FRL).
- Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 18 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henry County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $23k; list at $182k implies a 698% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.82%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $208,780
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 948 Daggett Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,852 (-2%) | 8mo | $176,800 | $95 | 76 |
| 907 Huddle Rd | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,747 (-8%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $157 | 66 |
| 228 Garden St | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,010 (+6%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $119 | 59 |
| 701 S Perry St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,660 (-12%) | 7mo | $182,500 | $110 | 54 |
| 700 W Maumee Ave | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 2,104 (+11%) | 17mo | $220,000 | $105 | 54 |
| 214 Meekison St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,850 (-2%) | 12mo | $200,000 | $108 | 54 |
| 131 Meekison St | 0.55mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,719 (-9%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $93 | 45 |
| 503 Appian Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,639 (-14%) | 2mo | $191,900 | $117 | 40 |
| 432 W Clinton St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,656 (-13%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $85 | 38 |
| 723 W Washington St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 2,163 (+14%) | 5mo | $168,000 | $78 | 37 |
| 927 Park St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,637 (-14%) | 13mo | $195,000 | $119 | 31 |
| 2 Park Ln | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 1,663 (-12%) | 18mo | $278,000 | $167 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-37,199
- Equity at exit
- $27,167
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-42,358
- Equity at exit
- $15,753
Cash invested: $51,016 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43545
- Home prices YoY
- -19.6%
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,338 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$955
- Tax from tax record
- −$146 /mo · $1,752/yr
- Insurance
- −$76
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $-120
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-17 | -5% $-68 | +0% $-120 | +5% $-172 | +10% $-223 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-226 | -5% $-173 | +0% $-120 | +5% $-67 | +10% $-14 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-28 | -0.5pp $-74 | base $-120 | +0.5pp $-167 | +1.0pp $-215 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,550
- Closing costs
- $5,466
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-09remarks 137-char remark
-
2026-06-09$182,200 Under Contract
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,752 · $146/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,297 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- +$545/yr (+$45/mo · 31.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 17% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,062
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,206
- − Property taxes
- −$1,752
- − Insurance
- −$911
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,285
- − Management
- −$1,285
- − Depreciation
- −$5,300
- Taxable loss
- −$4,678
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,123
- After-tax cash flow
- $-318/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Napoleon Area City
- NCES district ID
- 3904443
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,144
- Composite
- 55.53/100
- National rank
- #1243
- State rank
- #208 of 656 in OH
Livability — Napoleon
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #484
- US rank
- #8082
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Napoleon, OH
- County
- Henry · 27,211 people
- City population
- 14,388
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,388
- Household income
- $78,165
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4.0
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,204 people
- By 2030
- 26,657 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 25,149 · -7.6%
- By 2050
- 23,361 · -14.1%
- By 2075
- 20,409 · -25.0%
- By 2100
- 18,199 · -33.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.7) · D 26.2% · R 72.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.8pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -46.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.7 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+39.8 2012: R+18.6 2008: R+12.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.90%
- Current HPI
- 212.3599
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+296.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $182,200 FSBO.com
- 1993-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $22,835 Public Records
- 1991-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,752 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…