405-407 Hudson St · Forest City, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +9.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Two family building, side by side dwelling in good condition. Each unit has 3 bedrooms 1.5 baths and large open living rooms and kitchens. Off street parking, plus plenty of on street parking. Large rear yard and front covered porch. Excellent location close to schools and park. Many recent upgrades. NOTE the pictures are of unit #1 and unit #2 looks very similar with the same layout.
Key facts
- Updated appliances
- Modern improvements
- Updated flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two-unit multi-family building
Exterior
- Home design: Residential income property (multi-family); Built in 1900
- Construction: Year built 1900
- Exterior features: 0.17-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchens present in each unit with standard appliances including range and refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 6 total bedrooms (distributed across units)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: 4 total bathrooms (2 full, 2 half)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Range, Washer/Dryer, Refrigerator; Hardwood and luxury vinyl flooring; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-164 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $190k (13.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (24.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $166k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,019 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Forest City Regional SD (suburban): math 34% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #308 of 539 in PA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Forest City Regional El Sch (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #947 of 1,518 statewide, top 65%, 434 students, 55% FRL); Forest City Regional Hs (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #167 of 437 statewide, top 39%, 327 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 43% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Susquehanna County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Susquehanna County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $161k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.21%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $108,842
- Equity at exit
- $197,293
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.36×
- Total profit
- $328,735
- Equity at exit
- $425,469
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18421
- Home prices YoY
- 20.9%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,664 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax from tax record
- −$239 /mo · $2,863/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $-164
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-40 | -5% $-102 | +0% $-164 | +5% $-226 | +10% $-288 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-295 | -5% $-230 | +0% $-164 | +5% $-98 | +10% $-32 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-54 | -0.5pp $-108 | base $-164 | +0.5pp $-221 | +1.0pp $-278 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $219,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $219,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $219,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $219,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $219,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $219,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $219,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $219,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $219,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $219,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $219,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-15$219,000 Active
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2023-08-16soldstatus $161,000
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2023-08-15soldstatus $161,000 Closed 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
Two family building, side by side dwelling in good condition. Each unit has 3 bedrooms 1.5 baths and large open living rooms and kitchens. Off street parking, plus plenty of on street parking. Large rear yard and front covered porch. Excellent location close to schools and park. Many recent upgrades. NOTE the pictures are of unit #1 and unit #2 looks very similar with the same layout. , Baths: Y
-
2023-08-15soldstatus $161,000 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
Two family building, side by side dwelling in good condition. Each unit has 3 bedrooms 1.5 baths and large open living rooms and kitchens. Off street parking, plus plenty of on street parking. Large rear yard and front covered porch. Excellent location close to schools and park. Many recent upgrades. NOTE the pictures are of unit #1 and unit #2 looks very similar with the same layout. , Baths: Y
-
2023-07-19status Pending 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
Two family building, side by side dwelling in good condition. Each unit has 3 bedrooms 1.5 baths and large open living rooms and kitchens. Off street parking, plus plenty of on street parking. Large rear yard and front covered porch. Excellent location close to schools and park. Many recent upgrades. NOTE the pictures are of unit #1 and unit #2 looks very similar with the same layout.
-
2023-07-02status Active 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
Two family building, side by side dwelling in good condition. Each unit has 3 bedrooms 1.5 baths and large open living rooms and kitchens. Off street parking, plus plenty of on street parking. Large rear yard and front covered porch. Excellent location close to schools and park. Many recent upgrades. NOTE the pictures are of unit #1 and unit #2 looks very similar with the same layout.
-
2023-06-26status Pending 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (387 chars)
Two family building, side by side dwelling in good condition. Each unit has 3 bedrooms 1.5 baths and large open living rooms and kitchens. Off street parking, plus plenty of on street parking. Large rear yard and front covered porch. Excellent location close to schools and park. Many recent upgrades. NOTE the pictures are of unit #1 and unit #2 looks very similar with the same layout.
-
2023-06-18$165,000 Active 387-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
Two family building, side by side dwelling in good condition. Each unit has 3 bedrooms 1.5 baths and large open living rooms and kitchens. Off street parking, plus plenty of on street parking. Large rear yard and front covered porch. Excellent location close to schools and park. Many recent upgrades. NOTE the pictures are of unit #1 and unit #2 looks very similar with the same layout. , Baths: Y
-
2023-06-18$165,000 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
Two family building, side by side dwelling in good condition. Each unit has 3 bedrooms 1.5 baths and large open living rooms and kitchens. Off street parking, plus plenty of on street parking. Large rear yard and front covered porch. Excellent location close to schools and park. Many recent upgrades. NOTE the pictures are of unit #1 and unit #2 looks very similar with the same layout. , Baths: Y
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2019-05-03soldstatus $81,000
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2019-05-01soldstatus $81,000
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2009-11-30soldstatus $90,000
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2005-10-19soldstatus $62,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,863 · $239/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,162 · $263/mo
- Expected delta
- +$299/yr (+$25/mo · 10.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥88°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,966
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$2,863
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,597
- − Management
- −$1,597
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable loss
- −$5,824
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,398
- After-tax cash flow
- $-568/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Forest City Regional SD
- NCES district ID
- 4209930
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,744
- Composite
- 36.29/100
- National rank
- #4701
- State rank
- #308 of 539 in PA
Livability — Forest City
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #1019
- US rank
- #11278
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Forest City, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,475
Population outlook (Susquehanna County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,552 people
- By 2030
- 35,270 · -6.1%
- By 2040
- 30,663 · -18.3%
- By 2050
- 26,492 · -29.5%
- By 2075
- 19,658 · -47.7%
- By 2100
- 15,179 · -59.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Italian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Susquehanna
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.7) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -44.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.7 2020: R+41.2 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 48.80%
- Current HPI
- 282.5624
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+253.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $219,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2023-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $161,000 Public Records
- 2023-08-15 Sold (MLS) $161,000 PWMLS
- 2023-08-15 Sold (MLS) $161,000 PWMLS
- 2023-07-19 Pending — PWMLS
- 2023-07-02 Relisted — PWMLS
- 2023-06-26 Pending — PWMLS
- 2023-06-18 Listed $165,000 PWMLS
- 2023-06-18 Listed $165,000 PWMLS
- 2019-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
- 2019-05-01 Sold (MLS) $81,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2009-11-30 Sold (MLS) $90,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2005-10-19 Sold (MLS) $62,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2026): $2,863 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…