Triplex
1303 1st North St · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Three unit property. All units are rented, current on rent and tenants are full self pay. Apartment 1 & 3 are longer term tenants on a month to month lease. Apartment 2 is on a 1-year lease started in March 2026. Apt 1 (3 bed) pays $1,150. Apt 2 (1 bed) pays $1,025. Apt 3 (studio) pays $550. There is one main boiler and one hot water heater. Landlord pays for water/sewer, gas and electric. National grid bill for gas/electric is on a budget plan for $500 per month. All new windows throughout, new sidewalks, new driveway and overall very well maintained.
Key facts
- New driveway
- New sidewalks
- Well maintained
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Owner pays heat, hot water, and water; Rent includes heat, hot water, and water; Operating expenses include water and sewer
Exterior
- Parking: Two or more parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story building; Resale property; Shake siding
- Construction: Shake siding construction; Existing (previously built)
- Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 66 x 132
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: Property contains 3 total units
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms (total)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heating
- Interior features: Full basement; Luxury vinyl flooring
- Laundry & utility: Separate gas meter; Separate electric meter
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×3bd/1.5ba + 1×1bd/1.0ba + 1×?bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $529/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $190k).
- Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,556/mo this rent would consume 95% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 1437% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $47k; list at $190k implies a 301% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.80%
- DSCR
- 2.59
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $160,819
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2725 Grant Blvd #27 | 0.20mi | 6/2.0 | 2,320 (+5%) | 8mo | $265,500 | $114 | 72 |
| 958 Lemoyne Ave | 0.36mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,140 (-3%) | 9mo | $220,000 | $103 | 66 |
| 401 Lemoyne Ave | 0.27mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,312 (+5%) | 13mo | $169,900 | $73 | 60 |
| 105 Murray Ave | 0.28mi | 6/2.0 | 2,070 (-6%) | 16mo | $159,000 | $77 | 59 |
| 1213 N State St | 0.68mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,157 (-2%) | 2mo | $72,000 | $33 | 54 |
| 1242 Court St | 0.53mi | 6/2.0 | 2,096 (-5%) | 11mo | $244,000 | $116 | 54 |
| 2023 Lodi St | 0.62mi | 6/2.0 | 2,300 (+4%) | 8mo | $125,000 | $54 | 53 |
| 2414 Lodi St | 0.43mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,095 (-5%) | 15mo | $115,000 | $55 | 51 |
| 2228 - 30 Grant Blvd #30 | 0.62mi | 6/2.0 | 2,444 (+11%) | 9mo | $222,000 | $91 | 42 |
| 1417 Butternut St | 0.74mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,005 (-9%) | 8mo | $79,900 | $40 | 39 |
| 213 Kirkpatrick St | 0.56mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 1,928 (-12%) | 12mo | $71,000 | $37 | 34 |
| 2028 Lodi St | 0.60mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,004 (-9%) | 18mo | $74,000 | $37 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 51.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.85×
- Total profit
- $204,456
- Equity at exit
- $171,077
- IRR
- 45.4%
- Equity multiple
- 10.83×
- Total profit
- $522,636
- Equity at exit
- $368,934
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13208
- Home prices YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,556 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$148 /mo · $1,775/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$747
- Net cashflow
- $1,586
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,694 | -5% $1,640 | +0% $1,586 | +5% $1,533 | +10% $1,479 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,305 | -5% $1,446 | +0% $1,586 | +5% $1,727 | +10% $1,867 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,682 | -0.5pp $1,635 | base $1,586 | +0.5pp $1,537 | +1.0pp $1,487 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 3 | 1.5 | $1,473 |
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $1,059 |
| 1× unit | 0 | 1 | $1,024 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,556 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 560-char remark
-
2026-06-17$189,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,775 · $148/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,492 · $208/mo
- Expected delta
- +$717/yr (+$60/mo · 40.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,672
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$1,775
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,414
- − Management
- −$3,414
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable income
- $16,958
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,070
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,966/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- City population
- 152,627
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,993
- Household income
- $44,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1437.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 24% Asian 14% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Swedish 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Vietnam, Philippines, Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Vietnamese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 30.91%
- Current HPI
- 399.3284
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+301.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $189,900 CNYIS
- 2014-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $47,350 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,775 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…