284 Circle Dr · Rainsville, AL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +6.0/30.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- DSCR +0.4/10.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
$222,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well built home with plenty of room to grow. This home offers many possibilities. Close to shopping and other amenities.
Key facts
- 0.93 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1974
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $222k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-490 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $135k (39.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (50.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $111k (50.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 2.3% in Rainsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#105 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Dekalb County (rural): math 18% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #82 of 129 in AL (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- DeKalb County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($195k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 50% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.50% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.18%
- DSCR
- 0.64
- GRM
- 16.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $256,535
- List price
- $222,000
- Delta
- -13.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 371 Church Ave | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 2,109 (+14%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $119 | 62 |
| 61 Rains Ave SE | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,987 (+8%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $113 | 57 |
| 71 Gala St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,988 (+8%) | 10mo | $370,000 | $186 | 54 |
| 855 Church Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (-8%) | 5mo | $230,000 | $135 | 53 |
| 85 Gala St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,797 (-3%) | 21mo | $346,000 | $193 | 52 |
| 70 Santileon Ln | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,617 (-12%) | 3mo | $289,900 | $179 | 49 |
| 57 Johnson St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,654 (-10%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $157 | 48 |
| 196 Johnson St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,954 (+6%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $90 | 47 |
| 150 Gala St | 0.54mi | 3/3.0 | 1,945 (+5%) | 15mo | $350,000 | $180 | 46 |
| 17 Third Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,711 (-7%) | 9mo | $195,000 | $114 | 45 |
| 428 Ranch Rd | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 2,098 (+14%) | 8mo | $439,000 | $209 | 41 |
| 52 Rabbit Run Rd | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 | 2,123 (+15%) | 16mo | $304,000 | $143 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $89,598
- Equity at exit
- $199,995
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.64×
- Total profit
- $288,227
- Equity at exit
- $431,297
Cash invested: $62,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35986
- Home prices YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 72
- Price-to-rent
- 16.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,105 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,164
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $480/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$232
- Net cashflow
- $-490
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-365 | -5% $-427 | +0% $-490 | +5% $-553 | +10% $-881 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-577 | -5% $-534 | +0% $-490 | +5% $-447 | +10% $-403 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-378 | -0.5pp $-434 | base $-490 | +0.5pp $-548 | +1.0pp $-606 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,500
- Closing costs
- $6,660
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $222,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $222,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $222,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $222,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $222,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $222,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $222,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $222,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $222,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $222,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $222,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $224,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $224,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $224,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $224,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $224,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-01-14$224,000 Active 120-char remark
Show marketing remark (120 chars)
Well built home with plenty of room to grow. This home offers many possibilities. Close to shopping and other amenities.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $480 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $910 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- +$430/yr (+$36/mo · 89.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,260
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,435
- − Property taxes
- −$480
- − Insurance
- −$1,907
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,061
- − Management
- −$1,061
- − Depreciation
- −$6,458
- Taxable loss
- −$10,143
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,434
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,448/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dekalb County
- NCES district ID
- 0101140
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,655
- Composite
- 22.78/100
- National rank
- #8023
- State rank
- #82 of 129 in AL
Livability — Rainsville
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #11704
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rainsville, AL
- City population
- 8,221
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,221
Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,722 people
- By 2030
- 71,373 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 69,536 · -3.0%
- By 2050
- 66,020 · -8.0%
- By 2075
- 53,325 · -25.7%
- By 2100
- 36,127 · -49.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+74.0) · D 12.7% · R 86.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.2pp · 2024: -74.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+74.0 2020: R+69.8 2016: R+69.4 2012: R+54.9 2008: R+51.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 21.37%
- Current HPI
- 290.053
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-01-14 Listed $224,000 VMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…