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16444 Bolsa Chica #85
B+ Composite 79.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

16444 Bolsa Chica #85 · Huntington Beach, CA 92649
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,000 sqft · Manufactured · 107 Days on market
Built 1980 Est $282k · 47% under ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Coastal breezes welcome you to this rare TRIPLE WIDE, 2000 square foot home in the Skandia Mobile Homes Park. This is an active 55+ community with amenities galore and just a few short miles to the beach. This spacious home is a rarity, with a HUGE living area and remodeled kitchen which adjoins onto the Family Room/ second Living area, complete with fireplace and bar, so perfect for entertaining! There is also a completely covered and sunny patio room which adds to the spaciousness of this home. Inside laundry Room at carport entrance complete with washing basin, ample counter space and utility closet. Newer high-end washer and dryer can be also included with sale. Large Primary Bedroom

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Remodeled kitchen
  • Covered patio room

Tags

HUGE LIVING AREAREMODELED KITCHENCOVERED PATIO ROOMINSIDE LAUNDRY ROOMPRIMARY BEDROOM SUITEWALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Park name: Skandia Mobile Country Club; Manager approval required for multi-unit context; Pets allowed with number limits; Triple body type (multi-unit classification)
  • Financial info: Rent includes pool, water, and sewer (for rentals); Land lease in effect
  • HOA & community: Part of an association; Senior community; Association amenities include pool, spa, club house, meeting room, barbecue/outdoor cooking area, banquet facilities, pet rules, and grounds maintenance; Land lease (amount listed separately)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; 2 carport spaces; Guest parking
  • Security: Security system; Resident manager; 2+ access exits
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Water: see remarks
  • Home design: Mobile/manufactured home remains on site; Single-story; Entry at ground level; Skandia Mobile Country Club community; Walk Score 79
  • Construction: Pier jacks foundation; Mobile home dimensions approximately 34 ft by 60 ft; Year built per public records
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Arizona room; Porch; Community/association heated pool; Pool heated; Landscaped grounds; Close to clubhouse; Shed (3 on property)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Water purifier; Remodeled kitchen; Open to family room; Granite counters
  • Bedrooms: All bedrooms on the ground floor; Main floor primary bedroom; Walk-in closet
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Main floor full bath
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central furnace heating
  • Interior features: Intercom; Bar; Ceiling fan; Granite counters; Custom window coverings; One-level living; Spa access (association/community)
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Washer included; Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($29k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 25.6% vs local median 1.6% in Huntington Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#306 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, commute A-, schools B+; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living F, health & safety F.
  • Ocean View (suburban): math 57% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #207 of 1,400 in CA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($123k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,500 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.92%
Cap rate
25.65%
Cash-on-cash
69.13%
DSCR
4.08
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$282,000
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16444 Bolsa Chica St #157 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,800 (-10%) 17mo $125,000 $69 69
16444 Bolsa Chica St #72 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,850 (-8%) 17mo $259,999 $141 68
4382 Lahaina Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,785 (-11%) 5mo $875,000 $490 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
67.7%
Equity multiple
4.01×
Total profit
$126,242
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
71.6%
Equity multiple
8.00×
Total profit
$294,012
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92649

Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,375 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax est. 1.5%
$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$919
Net cashflow
$2,420

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,312
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,523 -5% $2,471 +0% $2,420 +5% $2,368 +10% $2,316
Rent -10% $2,074 -5% $2,247 +0% $2,420 +5% $2,592 +10% $2,765
Rate -1.0pp $2,495 -0.5pp $2,458 base $2,420 +0.5pp $2,381 +1.0pp $2,341

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16592 Jib Cir Unit B Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1500 $4,300 $2.87 2d 1 0.21mi
16795 Roosevelt Ln Unit C Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1600 $3,900 $2.44 2d 1 0.33mi
16682 Dolores Ln Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.5 1700 $3,600 $2.12 11d 1 0.55mi
4406 Sea Harbour Dr Huntington Beach, CA 2.0 2.5 1554 $1,700 $1.09 0d 1 0.70mi
16700 Saybrook Ln Huntington Beach, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1082 $3,670 $3.39 2d 10 0.75mi
5952 Par Cir Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1437 $5,400 $3.76 14d 1 0.90mi
4182 Silliman Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 2649 $6,300 $2.38 0d 1 0.94mi
4021 Aladdin Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1496 $7,400 $4.95 0d 1 1.26mi
15881 Pilgrim Cir Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1600 $6,250 $3.91 0d 1 1.28mi
3832 Montego Dr Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1826 $5,900 $3.23 17d 1 1.33mi
16097 Saint Croix Cir Huntington Beach, CA 3.0 3.0 2400 $7,200 $3.00 0d 1 1.36mi
6401 Warner Ave Huntington Beach, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1120 $3,314 $2.96 0d 16 1.45mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 107 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 104 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 103 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 102 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 99 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 98 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 96 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 94 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 93 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 87 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 86 DOM
  17. 2026-04-16
    price $150,000
  18. 2026-03-06
    listed $165,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$52,500
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,250
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,200
− Management
−$4,200
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$28,334
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$6,800
After-tax cash flow
$22,235/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ocean View
NCES district ID
0628140
Math proficiency
57% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$77,469
Composite
55.3/100
National rank
#2725
State rank
#207 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Huntington Beach

Score
67/100
State rank
#306
US rank
#10298

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A- Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Huntington Beach, CA
County
Orange County · 3,096,323 people
City population
194,835
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
35,346
Household income
$123,257
Rent vs Own
40.7% rent · 59.3% own
Severe rent burden
1504.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,477,456 people
By 2030
3,613,117 · +3.9%
By 2040
3,835,945 · +10.3%
By 2050
3,968,736 · +14.1%
By 2075
4,097,053 · +17.8%
By 2100
3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 14% Asian 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1153.55%
Current HPI
330.6956
Rent YoY
▲ 2.17%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $150,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $165,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

-3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $144 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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