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4412 Teka Ln
C+ Composite 61.24
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

4412 Teka Ln · St. Cloud, FL 34772
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,516 sqft · Manufactured public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1989 8,015 sqft lot Est $240k · 12% under $120/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 master suites in immaculate home. Stained glass cabinet doors, center isle in kitc hen & much more! Screened porch, mature landscaping on corner lot! Watch the black swan in the fish stocked pond.

Key facts

  • Deeded land
  • Flood zone x
  • Oversized lot

Tags

DEEDED LANDTEKA VILLAGE COMMUNITYOVERSIZED LOTEASY ACCESS TO ORLANDOLOW HOAFLOOD ZONE X

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Unfurnished; Total living area approximately 1,516 square feet
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $120 (association approval required); Community features include street lights; Senior community; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Cable available; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Underground utilities; Fire hydrant on property
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One story; Faces south
  • Construction: Metal siding; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built on a 0.18-acre lot (approx. 86 x 103)
  • Exterior features: Awning(s); Hurricane shutters; Rain gutters; Sidewalk

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in oven; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Disposal; Exhaust fan; Microwave; Range hood; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Wall/window unit(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Kitchen and family room combined; Walk-in closet(s); Skylight(s); Blinds
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry room (outside)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.0% in St. Cloud — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Osceola (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #60 of 73 in FL (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 879 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,813 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (3,072 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Osceola County population projected at +73% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $128k; list at $210k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $206,850 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.52%
Cash-on-cash
7.97%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$239,528
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2494 Longpine Ln 0.22mi 2/2.0 1,495 (-1%) 9mo $172,480 $115 80
2496 Longpine Ln 0.22mi 2/2.0 1,502 (-1%) 11mo $211,850 $141 80
2472 Independence Ln 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,502 (-1%) 8mo $241,000 $160 74
2520 Longpine Ln 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,296 (-14%) 13mo $230,000 $177 59
4703 Lanca Ln 0.22mi 2/2.0 1,296 (-14%) 8mo $205,000 $158 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-10,724
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
3.9%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$16,334
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34772

Home prices YoY
-32.5%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
879
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,212 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $580/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$120
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$465
Net cashflow
$391

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,718
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $509 -5% $450 +0% $391 +5% $331 +10% $272
Rent -10% $216 -5% $303 +0% $391 +5% $478 +10% $565
Rate -1.0pp $496 -0.5pp $444 base $391 +0.5pp $336 +1.0pp $281

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2478 Pine Chase Cir Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1383 $2,310 $1.67 5d 1 0.49mi
4501 Burrowing Owl Loop Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.5 1560 $2,200 $1.41 18d 1 0.50mi
3221 Villa Way Cir Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1370 $1,650 $1.20 25d 1 0.51mi
4536 Burrowing Owl Loop Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.5 1808 $2,650 $1.47 25d 1 0.54mi
4329 Eagle Trail Bnd Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.5 1560 $2,100 $1.35 23d 1 0.58mi
4469 Eagle Trail Bnd Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.5 1566 $2,200 $1.40 25d 1 0.64mi
4358 Restful Fallow Cv Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.5 1560 $2,300 $1.47 25d 1 0.67mi
4346 Restful Fallow Cv Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.5 1560 $2,300 $1.47 25d 1 0.67mi
2438 Pine Chase Cir Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1482 $2,199 $1.48 4d 1 0.69mi
4367 Ranch House Rd Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.5 1560 $2,050 $1.31 25d 1 0.69mi
4348 Ranch House Rd Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.5 1808 $2,200 $1.22 25d 1 0.72mi
2850 Wadeview Loop Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.5 1875 $2,300 $1.23 25d 1 0.78mi
4240 Settlers Ct Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1435 $2,300 $1.60 25d 1 0.79mi
3085 Soldier City Way Unit 202 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1125 $1,800 $1.60 25d 1 0.88mi
3075 Soldier City Way Unit 202 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1125 $1,800 $1.60 21d 1 0.88mi
3065 Soldier City Way Unit 202 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1125 $1,800 $1.60 21d 1 0.89mi
3100 Soldier City Way St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1085 $1,875 $1.73 4d 6 0.91mi
4770 Capital Blvd Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.5 1926 $2,100 $1.09 25d 1 0.92mi
4651 Sidesaddle Trl Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1695 $2,195 $1.29 18d 1 0.92mi
4848 Shady Pines Dr Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1610 $2,400 $1.49 16d 1 1.00mi
3010 Camber Dr Saint Cloud, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1007 $1,971 $1.96 3d 18 1.03mi
4371 Vibernum Ave Unit A St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1825 $2,400 $1.32 25d 1 1.07mi
4377 Vibernum Ave Unit A St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1825 $2,400 $1.32 25d 1 1.07mi
4215 Red Bird Ave Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1587 $2,395 $1.51 4d 1 1.10mi
3875 Knotty Pine St Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.5 1608 $2,150 $1.34 25d 1 1.11mi
5134 Arrowfeather Ct Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1825 $2,350 $1.29 18d 1 1.15mi
5134 Arrowfeather Ct Unit A St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1825 $2,350 $1.29 17d 1 1.15mi
5100 Clay Whaley Rd Unit 5100 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.5 1823 $2,250 $1.23 25d 1 1.19mi
1800 Rufus King Dr Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1895 $2,100 $1.11 3d 1 1.21mi
5172 Clay Whaley Rd Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.5 1823 $2,240 $1.23 14d 1 1.28mi
4988 Prairie Preserve Run Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.5 1354 $2,295 $1.69 25d 1 1.28mi
5174 Clay Whaley Rd Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.5 1664 $2,290 $1.38 25d 1 1.29mi
5176 Clay Whaley Rd Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.5 1664 $2,350 $1.41 23d 1 1.29mi
5191 Loyalty Dr Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.5 1782 $2,250 $1.26 25d 1 1.29mi
5000 Revolutionary Way Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.5 1373 $2,100 $1.53 25d 1 1.40mi
5080 Revolutionary Way Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.5 1365 $2,350 $1.72 25d 1 1.41mi
3557 Sanctuary Dr Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.5 1700 $2,100 $1.24 18d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$120 · $1,440/yr
Likely covers
landscaping

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $210,000 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $210,000 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $220,000 Active 17 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $220,000 Active 16 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $220,000 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $220,000 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $220,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $220,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $220,000 Active 8 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $220,000 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $220,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $220,000 Active 3 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $220,000 Active 2 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    remarks 687-char remark
  15. 2026-06-02
    listed $220,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$580 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,743 · $145/mo
Expected delta
+$1,163/yr (+$97/mo · 200.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,547
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$580
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,124
− Management
−$2,124
− HOA
−$1,440
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable income
$1,357
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$326
After-tax cash flow
$4,361/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Osceola
NCES district ID
1201470
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$45,528
Composite
35.7/100
National rank
#4865
State rank
#60 of 73 in FL

Livability — St. Cloud

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Cloud, FL
County
Osceola County · 410,217 people
City population
29,247
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,390
Household income
$97,868
Rent vs Own
17.2% rent · 82.8% own
Severe rent burden
443.0

Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,624 people
By 2030
511,823 · +14.3%
By 2040
642,986 · +43.6%
By 2050
774,552 · +73.0%
By 2075
1,078,144 · +140.9%
By 2100
1,269,660 · +183.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Hispanic / Latino 44% Two or more races 19% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 20% Cuban 2% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
60% English-only · Spanish 36% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Osceola

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: -1.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.4 2020: D+13.8 2016: D+25.0 2012: D+24.5 2008: D+19.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -132.55%
Current HPI
274.6517
Rent YoY
▲ 2.30%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1194.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-11-23 Sold (MLS) $127,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-10-24 Listed $127,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1989-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $580 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…