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9558 Mark Twain St
B- Composite 66.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$112,000

9558 Mark Twain St · Detroit, MI 48227
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,312 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 88 Days on market
Built 1928 4,792 sqft lot $85/sqft · 64% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Turnkey opportunity in Detroit's northwest Detroit! This 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers excellent value for both homeowners and investors, with strong rental demand and long-term growth potential in the 48227 area. Conveniently located near Grand River Ave, Southfield Freeway, and the Lodge, providing easy access to Downtown Detroit, Midtown, and Southfield employment centers. Enjoy close proximity to shopping, grocery stores, healthcare services, neighborhood parks, and everyday conveniences. Whether you're looking for a place to call home or a smart addition to your portfolio, this location offers accessibility, comfort, and lasting value.

Key facts

  • Strong rental demand
  • Neighborhood parks
  • Turnkey opportunity

Tags

TURNKEY OPPORTUNITYSTRONG RENTAL DEMANDLONG TERM GROWTH POTENTIALCLOSE PROXIMITY TO SHOPPINGNEIGHBORHOOD PARKSEVERYDAY CONVENIENCES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $471 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $112k).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,469/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 2371% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $774 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $105,280 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
11.34%
Cash-on-cash
18.02%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$70,152
List price
$112,000
Delta
59.65%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9576 Hubbell St 0.12mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,270 (-3%) 6mo $134,900 $106 75
10039 Mark Twain St 0.25mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,334 (+2%) 7mo $73,000 $55 74
11406 Strathmoor St 0.38mi 4/2.5 1,294 (-1%) 1mo $76,000 $59 73
9535 Terry St 0.32mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,387 (+6%) 6mo $110,000 $79 63
9119 Littlefield St 0.61mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,298 (-1%) 2mo $60,000 $46 63
11366 Terry St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,209 (-8%) 7mo $89,000 $74 55
11431 Marlowe St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,172 (-11%) 6mo $48,000 $41 52
8849 Lauder St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (-8%) 5mo $41,500 $35 50
9141 Hartwell St 0.55mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,431 (+9%) 6mo $90,000 $63 48
9180 Hartwell St 0.54mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,174 (-10%) 5mo $62,000 $53 46
9987 Winthrop St 0.74mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,218 (-7%) 5mo $40,000 $33 43
9231 Sorrento St 0.71mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,389 (+6%) 7mo $165,000 $119 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.3%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$15,743
Equity at exit
$16,700
10-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
3.21×
Total profit
$69,204
Equity at exit
$9,684

Cash invested: $31,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48227

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
385
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,469 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$587
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $665/yr
Insurance
$47
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$308
Net cashflow
$471

Break-even live

Break-even rent $873
Max offer price $112,000
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $534 -5% $503 +0% $471 +5% $439 +10% $408
Rent -10% $355 -5% $413 +0% $471 +5% $529 +10% $587
Rate -1.0pp $527 -0.5pp $499 base $471 +0.5pp $442 +1.0pp $412

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,000
Closing costs
$3,360
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9501 Lauder St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,350 $1.17 44d 1 0.26mi
10015 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 18d 1 0.41mi
11431 Marlowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1172 $1,400 $1.19 17d 1 0.42mi
9386 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 2d 1 0.43mi
9546 Sussex St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 44d 1 0.45mi
9340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 44d 1 0.49mi
11397 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,400 $1.31 17d 1 0.63mi
11634 Sussex St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1091 $1,326 $1.22 25d 1 0.63mi
9355 Ward St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,327 $1.11 44d 1 0.63mi
12039 Lauder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,500 $1.50 25d 1 0.65mi
11393 Prest St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,550 $1.72 17d 1 0.68mi
9973 Winthrop St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,400 $1.46 44d 1 0.72mi
9936 Montrose St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 963 $1,200 $1.25 17d 1 0.75mi
9222 Forrer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 947 $1,450 $1.53 17d 1 0.82mi
8604 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1033 $1,300 $1.26 44d 1 0.83mi
9558 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 44d 1 0.89mi
8212 Lauder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,150 $1.12 44d 1 0.93mi
8331 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1342 $1,350 $1.01 22d 1 0.95mi
9589 Mansfield St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1250 $1,500 $1.20 5d 1 0.95mi
10002 Manor Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 44d 1 0.97mi
9220 Mansfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 44d 1 0.98mi
8114 Marlowe St Unit home Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 985 $1,350 $1.37 44d 1 1.00mi
9209 Pinehurst St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1589 $1,500 $0.94 44d 1 1.03mi
11641 Mansfield St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1449 $1,300 $0.90 44d 1 1.06mi
12754 Marlowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1008 $1,400 $1.39 17d 1 1.07mi
12778 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1597 $1,150 $0.72 5d 1 1.08mi
8047 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1184 $1,200 $1.01 44d 1 1.10mi
13331 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,100 $1.01 17d 1 1.31mi
10030 Abington Ave Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1350 $1,475 $1.09 11d 1 1.31mi
13279 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1444 $1,373 $0.95 44d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-04-21
    price $112,000 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (648 chars)

    Turnkey opportunity in Detroit's northwest Detroit! This 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers excellent value for both homeowners and investors, with strong rental demand and long-term growth potential in the 48227 area. Conveniently located near Grand River Ave, Southfield Freeway, and the Lodge, providing easy access to Downtown Detroit, Midtown, and Southfield employment centers. Enjoy close proximity to shopping, grocery stores, healthcare services, neighborhood parks, and everyday conveniences. Whether you're looking for a place to call home or a smart addition to your portfolio, this location offers accessibility, comfort, and lasting value.

  2. 2026-04-20
    price $112,000 660-char remark
    Show marketing remark (660 chars)

    Turnkey opportunity in Detroit’s northwest Detroit! This 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers excellent value for both homeowners and investors, with strong rental demand and long-term growth potential in the 48227 area. Conveniently located near Grand River Ave, Southfield Freeway, and the Lodge, providing easy access to Downtown Detroit, Midtown, and Southfield employment centers. Enjoy close proximity to shopping, grocery stores, healthcare services, neighborhood parks, and everyday conveniences. Whether you’re looking for a place to call home or a smart addition to your portfolio, this location offers accessibility, comfort, and lasting value.

  3. 2026-03-13
    price $119,900 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (660 chars)

    Turnkey opportunity in Detroit’s northwest Detroit! This 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers excellent value for both homeowners and investors, with strong rental demand and long-term growth potential in the 48227 area. Conveniently located near Grand River Ave, Southfield Freeway, and the Lodge, providing easy access to Downtown Detroit, Midtown, and Southfield employment centers. Enjoy close proximity to shopping, grocery stores, healthcare services, neighborhood parks, and everyday conveniences. Whether you’re looking for a place to call home or a smart addition to your portfolio, this location offers accessibility, comfort, and lasting value.

  4. 2026-03-13
    price $119,900 660-char remark
    Show marketing remark (660 chars)

    Turnkey opportunity in Detroit’s northwest Detroit! This 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers excellent value for both homeowners and investors, with strong rental demand and long-term growth potential in the 48227 area. Conveniently located near Grand River Ave, Southfield Freeway, and the Lodge, providing easy access to Downtown Detroit, Midtown, and Southfield employment centers. Enjoy close proximity to shopping, grocery stores, healthcare services, neighborhood parks, and everyday conveniences. Whether you’re looking for a place to call home or a smart addition to your portfolio, this location offers accessibility, comfort, and lasting value.

  5. 2026-02-26
    listed $129,000 Active 648-char remark
    Show marketing remark (660 chars)

    Turnkey opportunity in Detroit’s northwest Detroit! This 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers excellent value for both homeowners and investors, with strong rental demand and long-term growth potential in the 48227 area. Conveniently located near Grand River Ave, Southfield Freeway, and the Lodge, providing easy access to Downtown Detroit, Midtown, and Southfield employment centers. Enjoy close proximity to shopping, grocery stores, healthcare services, neighborhood parks, and everyday conveniences. Whether you’re looking for a place to call home or a smart addition to your portfolio, this location offers accessibility, comfort, and lasting value.

  6. 2026-02-26
    listed $129,000 Active 660-char remark
    Show marketing remark (660 chars)

    Turnkey opportunity in Detroit’s northwest Detroit! This 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers excellent value for both homeowners and investors, with strong rental demand and long-term growth potential in the 48227 area. Conveniently located near Grand River Ave, Southfield Freeway, and the Lodge, providing easy access to Downtown Detroit, Midtown, and Southfield employment centers. Enjoy close proximity to shopping, grocery stores, healthcare services, neighborhood parks, and everyday conveniences. Whether you’re looking for a place to call home or a smart addition to your portfolio, this location offers accessibility, comfort, and lasting value.

  7. 2009-02-03
    soldstatus $111,000
  8. 2007-12-31
    historical
  9. 2007-05-26
    listed $109,900
  10. 2006-01-06
    soldstatus $42,500
  11. 2006-01-06
    soldstatus $42,500
  12. 2005-12-23
    historical
  13. 2005-11-22
    listed $49,900
  14. 2005-11-22
    listed $49,900
  15. 2003-08-06
    historical
  16. 2003-06-06
    listed $109,900
  17. 2002-11-19
    soldstatus $92,000
  18. 2000-09-25
    historical
  19. 2000-06-19
    listed $78,000
  20. 2000-03-21
    historical
  21. 2000-03-11
    listed $77,000
  22. 2000-03-09
    historical
  23. 1999-12-09
    listed $77,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$665 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,195 · $100/mo
Expected delta
+$530/yr (+$44/mo · 79.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,626
− Mortgage interest
−$6,274
− Property taxes
−$665
− Insurance
−$560
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,410
− Management
−$1,410
− Depreciation
−$3,258
Taxable income
$4,049
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$972
After-tax cash flow
$4,680/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
40,302
Household income
$36,527
Rent vs Own
40.9% rent · 59.1% own
Severe rent burden
2371.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.00%
Current HPI
186.4158
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+45.5% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $112,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $112,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $129,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $111,000 Public Records
  • 2007-12-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-05-26 Listed $109,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-01-06 Sold (MLS) $42,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-01-06 Sold (MLS) $42,500 REALCOMP
  • 2005-12-23 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-11-22 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-11-22 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-08-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2003-06-06 Listed $109,900 REALCOMP
  • 2002-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
  • 2000-09-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2000-06-19 Listed $78,000 REALCOMP
  • 2000-03-21 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2000-03-11 Listed $77,000 REALCOMP
  • 2000-03-09 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 1999-12-09 Listed $77,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $665 · -6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…