1688 E 562nd Rd · Pleasant Hope, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.2/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 3 bedroom 1 1/2 bath home is just outside the Greene county line in Polk county. It sits on 3 acres. It's fenced with a shed. Home needs work.
Key facts
- 3 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1978
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $45 ($535/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (19.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $105k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#413 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Pleasant Hope R-VI (rural): math 21% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #281 of 324 in MO (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Pleasant Hope Elem. (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 268 students, 58% FRL); Pleasant Hope Middle (math 19% / reading 33%, grade F, #316 of 391 statewide, top 81%, 202 students, 67% FRL); Pleasant Hope High (math 15% / reading 34%, grade F, #436 of 521 statewide, top 85%, 282 students, 53% FRL).
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 188 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.47%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.02×
- Total profit
- $73,584
- Equity at exit
- $117,114
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.89×
- Total profit
- $214,352
- Equity at exit
- $252,561
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65617
- Home prices YoY
- 14.7%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,047 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $564/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $45
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-18status Pending
-
2026-04-06$130,000 Active
-
2014-09-09$72,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $564 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,261 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$697/yr (+$58/mo · 123.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,569
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$564
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,006
- − Management
- −$1,006
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$1,720
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$413
- After-tax cash flow
- $947/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pleasant Hope R-VI
- NCES district ID
- 2925350
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,804
- Composite
- 23.71/100
- National rank
- #7829
- State rank
- #281 of 324 in MO
Livability — Pleasant Hope
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #413
- US rank
- #17379
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,737
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,229 people
- By 2030
- 31,227 · +-0.0%
- By 2040
- 31,104 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 30,553 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 29,332 · -6.1%
- By 2100
- 26,387 · -15.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Scandinavian 27% Italian 10% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12%
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Other Indo-European 30%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.6% · R 80.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.5pp toward R · 2008: -32.1pp · 2024: -61.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.6 2020: R+59.5 2016: R+56.9 2012: R+43.2 2008: R+32.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 33.51%
- Current HPI
- 261.3119
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+80.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Pending — SOMO
- 2026-04-06 Listed $130,000 SOMO
- 2014-09-09 Listed $72,000 SOMO
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $564 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…