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315 Poplar St
B Composite 74.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

315 Poplar St · Plymouth, PA 18634
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,208 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1900 3,712 sqft lot Est $170k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Two-story home on a corner lot featuring 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. The main level includes a living room, dining room, and kitchen with laundry hookups. The second floor houses three bedrooms and a full bath. Exterior features include a 1-car detached garage at the rear. Call today to schedule a private tour!

Key facts

  • 3,712 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Listed 7 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $319 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 8.3% in Plymouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,068 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Greater Nanticoke Area SD (suburban): math 14% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #479 of 539 in PA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $89,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
11.43%
Cash-on-cash
18.36%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$170,328
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
315 Poplar St 0.00mi 3/1.5 1,208 (0%) 1mo $80,000 $66 99
399 Garfield St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,151 (-5%) 5mo $168,700 $147 55
125 Honey Pot St 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,280 (+6%) 2mo $180,000 $141 54
108 N Mill St 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,141 (-6%) 8mo $125,000 $110 51
93 Garfield St 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,312 (+9%) 23mo $133,000 $101 48
36 Maude St 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,250 (+4%) 15mo $185,500 $148 45
21 Orange St 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,113 (-8%) 21mo $180,000 $162 42
128 Garfield St 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,376 (+14%) 23mo $60,000 $44 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$5,788
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$31,402
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18634

Home prices YoY
-29.1%
Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,262 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,237/yr
Insurance
$37
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$319

Break-even live

Break-even rent $859
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
222 Honey Pot St Nanticoke, PA 2.0 1.0 1072 $1,200 $1.12 13d 1 0.57mi
277 E Spring St Nanticoke, PA 2.0 1.0 726 $1,100 $1.52 13d 1 0.88mi
61 W Main St Nanticoke, PA 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,350 $1.04 13d 1 0.89mi
293 State St Nanticoke, PA 2.0 1.0 1014 $1,200 $1.18 13d 1 0.93mi
260 E Green St Nanticoke, PA 3.0 1.5 1350 $1,400 $1.04 43d 1 1.04mi
117 E Green St Nanticoke, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 13d 1 1.07mi
12 1/2 W Church St Nanticoke, PA 2.0 1.0 1025 $1,000 $0.98 13d 1 1.12mi
39 W Ridge St Unit 3 Nanticoke, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 43d 1 1.29mi
39 W Ridge St Nanticoke, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 21d 1 1.29mi
121 E Grand St Nanticoke, PA 3.0 1.5 1350 $1,500 $1.11 43d 1 1.39mi
710 S Hanover St Nanticoke, PA 3.0 2.0 800 $1,600 $2.00 13d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-17
    listed $89,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,237 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,328 · $111/mo
Expected delta
+$92/yr (+$8/mo · 7.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,147
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,237
− Insurance
−$1,247
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,212
− Management
−$1,212
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$2,589
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$621
After-tax cash flow
$3,204/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greater Nanticoke Area SD
NCES district ID
4216290
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$38,990
Composite
20.1/100
National rank
#8647
State rank
#479 of 539 in PA

Livability — Plymouth

Score
66/100
State rank
#1068
US rank
#12056

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Nanticoke, PA
Population (ZIP)
13,638

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 31% Polish 3% Hispanic 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -101.20%
Current HPI
246.8063
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending LCAR
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $89,900 LCAR

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,237 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…