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3917 Country Club Rd
D Composite 40.93
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,000

3917 Country Club Rd · Carbondale, IL 62901
4 bd · 3.5 ba · 2,103 sqft · Other · 43 Days on market
Built 1966 0.93 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.93 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.5–0.99 acre (dimensions 280 x 147); Listed possession at closing
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required; Paved streets

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (owned) with 2 garage spaces; Asphalt parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story design; Fee simple ownership; School bus service available
  • Construction: Built approximately 51–60 years ago; Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Asphalt roof; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: In-ground pool; Patio and porch; Partial wood fencing; Corner lot with mature trees and level terrain

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Kitchen on main level (approx. 13 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms, all on the main level; Master bedroom with shower-only bath (main level); Bedroom sizes include 16 x 14, 11 x 10, and 10 x 10
  • Flooring: Carpet in living areas and bedrooms; Vinyl in kitchen and laundry
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 9 total rooms; Drapes and window treatments; Wood-burning fireplace in the family room; Heated sun room (main level)
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry (approx. 9 x 7)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath other listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-25 ($-303/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $105k (4.1% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (4.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.9% in Carbondale — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#375 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, crime F, employment F.
  • Carbondale Chsd 165 (urban): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #279 of 620 in IL (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Carbondale Comm H S (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #175 of 693 statewide, top 26%, 997 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $104,544 (4.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
6.02%
Cash-on-cash
-0.99%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.6%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-17,307
Equity at exit
$16,252
10-year hold
IRR
-4.0%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-8,861
Equity at exit
$9,424

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62901

Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,179 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax from tax record
$340 /mo · $4,080/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$-25

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,211
Max offer price $104,544
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $109,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,000 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $109,000 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $109,000 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $129,999 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,999 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,999 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,999 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,999 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,999 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,999 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $129,999 Active 23 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,080 · $340/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,080 · $340/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,154
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$4,080
− Insurance
−$545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,132
− Management
−$1,132
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable loss
−$2,012
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$483
After-tax cash flow
$180/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carbondale Chsd 165
NCES district ID
1708370
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$22,075
Composite
23.92/100
National rank
#7787
State rank
#279 of 620 in IL

Livability — Carbondale

Score
70/100
State rank
#375
US rank
#7806

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Jackson County · 22,946 people
City population
22,946
Metro
Carbondale-Marion, IL
Population (ZIP)
22,946
Household income
$35,089
Rent vs Own
70.0% rent · 30.0% own
Severe rent burden
2038.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,093 people
By 2030
59,628 · +0.9%
By 2040
59,495 · +0.7%
By 2050
58,811 · -0.5%
By 2075
57,683 · -2.4%
By 2100
55,337 · -6.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 26% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 47.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 3.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+3.5 2020: D+1.3 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+10.3 2008: D+21.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.62%
Current HPI
88.7209
Rent YoY
▲ 4.51%
Metro
Carbondale-Marion, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $4,080 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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