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814 Ogontz St
C+ Composite 61.43
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.7/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

814 Ogontz St · Sandusky, OH 44870
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 880 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1910 1,651 sqft lot Est $115k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute as cute can be! Here's your opportunity to own a little place by the lake, or investment property. Not a lot to maintain at all! Two quaint bedrooms, full bath with new flooring in the bath, bedrooms, living room, and freshly painted. The roof was replaced in 2019, as well as the exterior being painted. It's a great little getaway and so close to the wonderful revitalization of downtown Sandusky!

Key facts

  • Roof 7 years old
  • Near shopping
  • Near parks

Tags

UPDATED BATHROOMROOF 7 YEARS OLDNEAR LOCAL RESTAURANTSNEAR SHOPPINGNEAR PARKSMINUTES FROM WATERFRONT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 Amp electrical service
  • Home design: Single-family residential property
  • Construction: Aluminum, vinyl, and wood siding
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Lot dimensions approximately 33 x 50

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 5 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $416 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 5.4% in Sandusky — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#63 in OH, #929 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, employment F.
  • Sandusky City (town): math 24% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #583 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 209 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 128 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Erie County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $83k; list at $125k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $123,026 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
10.29%
Cash-on-cash
14.28%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$115,280
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
910 Ogontz St 0.05mi 2/1.0 880 (0%) 7mo $126,000 $143 92
719 Ogontz St 0.05mi 2/1.0 920 (+4%) 4mo $129,900 $141 86
1014 Fourth St St 0.11mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (+5%) 2mo $120,000 $130 80
816 Perry St 0.26mi 2/1.0 884 (+0%) 10mo $88,100 $100 78
404 Reese St 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (+2%) 7mo $101,000 $112 65
510 Reese St 0.35mi 2/1.0 952 (+8%) 7mo $124,900 $131 64
903 Sycamore Line 0.21mi 2/1.0 989 (+12%) 14mo $79,000 $80 58
1648 Oakmont Lane Ln 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 925 (+5%) 1mo $150,000 $162 58
226 E Monroe St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (+2%) 15mo $88,000 $98 51
1225 East Farwell St 0.67mi 2/1.0 814 (-8%) 8mo $141,000 $173 50
216 Reese St 0.58mi 2/1.0 937 (+6%) 22mo $57,000 $61 44
1306 E Larchmont St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 999 (+14%) 4mo $140,000 $140 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$6,243
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$39,492
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44870

Active inventory
209
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,539 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,111/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$323
Net cashflow
$416

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,012
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
305 Perry St Sandusky, OH 1.0 1.0 750 $995 $1.33 44d 1 0.64mi
1227 Avondale St Sandusky, OH 1.0 1.0 670 $1,045 $1.56 44d 1 0.68mi
156 E Market St Sandusky, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1266 $3,539 $2.79 44d 5 0.93mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $124,900 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    price $124,900 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $129,900 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $129,900 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,900 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $129,900 Active 3 DOM
  17. 2026-05-27
    listed $129,900 Active
  18. 2022-09-09
    historical
  19. 2022-09-09
    listed $83,000
  20. 2022-09-02
    soldstatus $83,000 404-char remark
    Show marketing remark (404 chars)

    Cute as cute can be! Here's your opportunity to own a little place by the lake, or investment property. Not a lot to maintain at all! Two quaint bedrooms, full bath with new flooring in the bath, bedrooms, living room, and freshly painted. The roof was replaced in 2019, as well as the exterior being painted. It's a great little getaway and so close to the wonderful revitalization of downtown Sandusky!

  21. 2022-09-01
    soldstatus $83,000
  22. 2022-06-30
    listed $75,000 404-char remark
    Show marketing remark (404 chars)

    Cute as cute can be! Here's your opportunity to own a little place by the lake, or investment property. Not a lot to maintain at all! Two quaint bedrooms, full bath with new flooring in the bath, bedrooms, living room, and freshly painted. The roof was replaced in 2019, as well as the exterior being painted. It's a great little getaway and so close to the wonderful revitalization of downtown Sandusky!

  23. 2001-11-27
    soldstatus $65,000
  24. 1998-12-15
    soldstatus $32,000
  25. 1996-01-05
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,111 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,530 · $127/mo
Expected delta
+$419/yr (+$35/mo · 37.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,465
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$1,111
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,477
− Management
−$1,477
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$3,146
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$755
After-tax cash flow
$4,237/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sandusky City
NCES district ID
3904474
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$34,583
Composite
25.1/100
National rank
#7532
State rank
#583 of 656 in OH

Livability — Sandusky

Score
83/100
State rank
#63
US rank
#929

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sandusky, OH
County
Erie County · 39,883 people
City population
39,883
Metro
Sandusky, OH
Population (ZIP)
39,883
Household income
$62,082
Rent vs Own
39.1% rent · 60.9% own
Severe rent burden
1602.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
73,204 people
By 2030
71,341 · -2.5%
By 2040
66,771 · -8.8%
By 2050
62,512 · -14.6%
By 2075
56,154 · -23.3%
By 2100
49,045 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 15% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Subsaharan African 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
R (+14.1) · D 42.5% · R 56.6%
2008→2024 swing
-28.0pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: -14.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.6 2016: R+9.8 2012: D+11.3 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -151.99%
Current HPI
209.6383
Rent YoY
Metro
Sandusky, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+305.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $129,900 FAOR
  • 2022-09-09 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2022-09-09 Listed $83,000 NORIS
  • 2022-09-02 Sold (MLS) $83,000 FAOR
  • 2022-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
  • 2022-06-30 Listed $75,000 FAOR
  • 2001-11-27 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 1998-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
  • 1996-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,111 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…