167 Leona Stewart Ln · Hopewell, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.1/15.0
- Cash flow +7.5/30.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$555,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This three-story townhome offers everything you need to live in comfort. A one-car garage occupies the first floor, while upstairs is the open living area, which features a family room, dining room and kitchen. On the third floor is a loft that is surrounded by three bedrooms, including the owner's suite with a private bathroom.
Key facts
- One car garage
- Kitchen
- Loft
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $556k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-683 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $457k (17.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $400k (28.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $400k (28.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 2.6% in Hopewell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#125 in NJ, #3,403 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F, cost of living F.
- Hopewell Valley Regional School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #72 of 472 in NJ (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 2% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Bear Tavern Elementary School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #422 of 1,303 statewide, top 35%, 459 students, 3% FRL); Timberlane Middle School (math 40% / reading 69%, grade B-, #68 of 431 statewide, top 16%, 780 students, 3% FRL); Hopewell Valley Central High School (math 44% / reading 71%, grade C, #67 of 399 statewide, top 17%, 1,079 students, 5% FRL) — zoned schools at 4% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.2%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,256 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (1,303 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mercer County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($506k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.27%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $604,021
- List price
- $555,990
- Delta
- -7.95%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 162 Leona Stewart Blvd | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 2,129 (-1%) | 1mo | $552,500 | $260 | 97 |
| 130 Leona Stewart Blvd | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 2,129 (-1%) | 8mo | $579,990 | $272 | 92 |
| 146 Leona Stewart Blvd | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 2,129 (-1%) | 7mo | $585,000 | $275 | 92 |
| 154 Leona Stewart Blvd | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 2,129 (-1%) | 7mo | $595,000 | $279 | 91 |
| 138 Leona Stewart Blvd | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 2,129 (-1%) | 8mo | $569,990 | $268 | 91 |
| 150 Leona Stewart | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 2,185 (+2%) | 7mo | $570,000 | $261 | 89 |
| 108 Fred Clark Dr | 0.22mi | 3/3.5 | 2,453 (+14%) | 2mo | $728,890 | $297 | 60 |
| 112 Fred Clark Dr | 0.22mi | 3/3.5 | 2,453 (+14%) | 2mo | $771,090 | $314 | 60 |
| 148 Ada Hightower Ave | 0.24mi | 3/3.5 | 2,453 (+14%) | 2mo | $785,000 | $320 | 59 |
| 107 Fred Clark Dr | 0.23mi | 3/3.5 | 2,453 (+14%) | 5mo | $728,090 | $297 | 57 |
| 109 Fred Clark Dr | 0.23mi | 3/3.5 | 2,453 (+14%) | 5mo | $709,090 | $289 | 57 |
| 101 Fred Clark Dr | 0.24mi | 3/3.5 | 2,453 (+14%) | 6mo | $765,090 | $312 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.07×
- Total profit
- $-145,264
- Equity at exit
- $82,900
- IRR
- -45.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.46×
- Total profit
- $-227,565
- Equity at exit
- $48,072
Cash invested: $155,677 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 9 active · 9 under contract
- Months of supply
- 5.4 mo (19%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $589,900 ($280/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 55 d
- This list price
- 22% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +0.6% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 08534
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Rents YoY
- -2.2%
- Active inventory
- 198
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,999 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,916
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$695 /mo · $8,340/yr
- Insurance
- −$232
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$840
- Net cashflow
- $-683
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-299 | -5% $-491 | +0% $-683 | +5% $-875 | +10% $-1,067 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-999 | -5% $-841 | +0% $-683 | +5% $-525 | +10% $-367 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-403 | -0.5pp $-542 | base $-683 | +0.5pp $-827 | +1.0pp $-974 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $138,998
- Closing costs
- $16,680
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135 Stoutsburg Blvd Hopewell Township, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2129 | $3,800 | $1.78 | 139d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 126 Ada Hightower Ave Pennington, NJ | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2453 | $4,900 | $2.00 | 139d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 144 Ada Hightower Ave Pennington, NJ | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2453 | $4,400 | $1.79 | 6d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 148 Ada Hightower Ave Pennington, NJ | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2453 | $4,750 | $1.94 | 2d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 206 Concord Pl Pennington, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1594 | $3,250 | $2.04 | 6d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1 Samuel Peterson Dr Ewing Township, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1109 | $3,915 | $3.53 | 0d | 18 | 1.23mi |
| 406 Pebble Creek Ct Pennington, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1908 | $3,150 | $1.65 | 6d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 229 Lewis Fisher Dr Titusville, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2129 | $3,500 | $1.64 | 6d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 417 Timberlake Dr Unit 417 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $2,395 | $1.54 | 4d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 635 Timberlake Dr Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1510 | $1,750 | $1.16 | 6d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Financial info
- List price $604,440
- HOA & community
Exterior
- Parking
- 1-car garage (1 total parking space)
- Security
- Utilities
- Home design
- Single-family residenceActive listing
- Construction
- Exterior features
- Living area approximately 2,145
Interior
- Kitchen
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Flooring
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Interior features
- Spec new-construction home (Plan: Arnold)
- Laundry & utility
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-29days on market $555,990 Active 98 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $555,990 Active 97 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $555,990 Active 96 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $555,990 Active 94 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $555,990 Active 93 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $555,990 Active 92 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $555,990 Active 91 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $555,990 Active 90 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $555,990 Active 89 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $555,990 Active 88 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $555,990 Active 87 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $555,990 Active 86 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $555,990 Active 85 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $555,990 Active 84 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $555,990 Active 83 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $555,990 Active 82 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $555,990 Active 81 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $555,990 Active 80 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $555,990 Active 79 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $555,990 Active 78 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $555,990 Active 77 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $555,990 Active 76 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $555,990 Active 75 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $555,990 Active 74 DOM
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2026-08-04pricedays on market $555,990 Active 73 DOM
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2026-08-03pricedays on market $557,190 Active 72 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $555,190 Active 69 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $555,190 Active 67 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $555,190 Active 65 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $555,190 Active 63 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $555,190 Active 61 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $555,190 Active 60 DOM
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2026-07-22price $555,190 Active 59 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $559,090 Active 59 DOM
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2026-07-19price $559,090 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $563,290 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $563,290 Active 54 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $563,290 Active 53 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $563,290 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $563,290 Active 51 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $563,290 Active 50 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $563,290 Active 49 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $563,290 Active 48 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $563,290 Active 47 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $563,290 Active 46 DOM
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2026-07-07price $563,290 Active 45 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $569,690 Active 45 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $569,690 Active 44 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $569,690 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $569,690 Active 42 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,987
- − Mortgage interest
- −$31,144
- − Property taxes
- −$8,340
- − Insurance
- −$2,780
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,839
- − Management
- −$3,839
- − Depreciation
- −$16,174
- Taxable loss
- −$18,129
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,351
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,847/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 22 photos
This three-story townhome is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a great opportunity for a buyer looking for a move-in ready home with potential for further updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Updating the flooring in the bathrooms — Modern flooring can improve the look and feel of the bathrooms ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and appealing ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hopewell Valley Regional School District
- NCES district ID
- 3407530
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $126,131
- Composite
- 52.03/100
- National rank
- #1636
- State rank
- #72 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Hopewell
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #125
- US rank
- #3403
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Mercer County · 381,395 people
- Metro
- Trenton-Princeton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,272
- Household income
- $175,573
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,395 people
- By 2030
- 384,640 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 391,431 · +2.6%
- By 2050
- 397,845 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 417,281 · +9.4%
- By 2100
- 420,327 · +10.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Asian 18% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Italian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 5% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Mercer
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+33.9) · D 65.9% · R 32.0% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.2pp toward R · 2008: 36.1pp · 2024: 33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+33.9 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+36.2 2012: D+36.8 2008: D+36.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -115.16%
- Current HPI
- 234.5759
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.25%
- Metro
- Trenton-Princeton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…