612 Hunting Club Ave · Montura, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +12.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.5/10.0
$233,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PRICE ADJUSTMENT! Motivated Seller!!! New 2021 doublewide mobile home in Montura Ranch. This home is situated in a PRIVATE LOT (1.25 ACRES), with the BEST of living in a rural setting. This double-wide manufactured home has a spacious living area with 3 BEDROOMS and 2 BATHROOMS. Montura Ranch Estates is a rural community of South Central Florida in Hendry County, residing between the cities of Clewiston and LaBelle. Centrally located within 1-1.5 hours from Miami, Naples, Fort Myers, Cape Coral, Fort Lauderdale, West Palm Beach, Port Charlotte, and Okeechobee.
Key facts
- Private lot
- Centrally located
- Rural setting
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community clubhouse; Community pool; No pet restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured home; Faces north
- Construction: Composition roof; Manufactured construction; Effective year built
- Exterior features: Fence; Fruit trees; Community pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Bedroom on main level; First floor entry; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $233k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (5.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $205k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.3% in Montura — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#777 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
- Hendry (town): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #65 of 73 in FL (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 404 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 557 units permitted in Hendry County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hendry County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $154k; list at $233k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.41%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $262,080
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 668 Montura Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (-3%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $99 | 65 |
| 745 S Trebol St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (-5%) | 15mo | $250,000 | $210 | 48 |
| 360 S Cabbage Palm St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (-10%) | 13mo | $243,000 | $217 | 47 |
| 340 S Romero | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-12%) | 22mo | $180,000 | $164 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-22,528
- Equity at exit
- $34,741
- IRR
- -0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-106
- Equity at exit
- $20,146
Cash invested: $65,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33440
- Home prices YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 404
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,222
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,153/yr
- Insurance
- −$97
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $240
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,250
- Closing costs
- $6,990
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 651 Hunting Club Ave Clewiston, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $2,200 | $1.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $233,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $233,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $233,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $233,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $233,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $233,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $233,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $233,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $233,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $233,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $233,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $233,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $233,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $233,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $233,000
-
2026-01-21price $259,000
-
2026-01-21$251,000 Active
-
2019-03-26soldstatus $154,000
-
2017-06-09soldstatus $11,000
-
2011-12-27soldstatus $9,000
-
2010-10-27soldstatus $10,000
-
2009-01-20soldstatus $10,000
-
2008-12-01soldstatus $10,000
-
2005-09-15soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,153 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,153 · $179/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,052
- − Property taxes
- −$2,153
- − Insurance
- −$1,165
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,112
- − Management
- −$2,112
- − Depreciation
- −$6,778
- Taxable loss
- −$971
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$233
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,109/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hendry
- NCES district ID
- 1200780
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,043
- Composite
- 31.16/100
- National rank
- #6054
- State rank
- #65 of 73 in FL
Livability — Montura
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #777
- US rank
- #17589
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montura, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,119
Population outlook (Hendry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,866 people
- By 2030
- 38,558 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 37,743 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 36,117 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 30,070 · -22.6%
- By 2100
- 21,966 · -43.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% Two or more races 26% White 23% Black 18% Native American 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 18%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 48% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hendry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.3) · D 30.4% · R 68.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.1pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -38.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.3 2020: R+23.0 2016: R+14.2 2012: R+5.9 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.08%
- Current HPI
- 414.9243
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+2230.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $233,000 MARMLS
- 2026-01-21 Price Changed $259,000 MARMLS
- 2026-01-21 Listed $251,000 MARMLS
- 2019-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $154,000 Public Records
- 2017-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
- 2011-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
- 2010-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 2009-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 2008-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 2005-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+16.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,153 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…