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4156 176th Pl
D+ Composite 47.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$220,000

4156 176th Pl · Country Club Hills, IL 60478
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,568 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1971 9,375 sqft lot Est $257k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

SPACIOUS 4 BEDROOM, 2 BATH 2 STORY HOME WITH 2 CAR ATT GARAGE AND FULL BASEMENT. PROPERTY BEING SOLD AS IS. PROOF OF FUNDS OR LETTER FROM BANK/MTG COMPANY REQUESTED. ADDENDUMS REQUIRED-ACCESS VIA MLS. SELLER RESERVES RIGHT TO NEGOTIATE OWNER OCCUPANT OR PUBLIC ENTITY OFFERS FOR FIRST 15 DAYS OF LISTING. THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY-ELIGIBLE FOR HOMEPATH RENOVATION FINANCING-PURCHASE FOR AS LITTLE AS 3% DOWN

Key facts

  • New tile flooring
  • Large corner lot
  • Large backyard deck

Tags

LARGE CORNER LOTLARGE BACKYARD DECKBRAND NEW KITCHEN COUNTERTOPSNEW TILE FLOORINGLARGE SPACIOUS BASEMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Parcel number 28342150120000
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (2 parking spaces total)
  • Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan and public supply; Public sewer and storm sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Two-story design; Rehab completed in 2024; Fee simple ownership; Built approximately 51–60 years ago; Home built before 1978
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Rehabilitated in 2024
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 75 x 125; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre; School bus service; Easy interstate access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with eating area / table space
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (master bedroom on main level; three additional bedrooms on second level)
  • Flooring: Wood laminate flooring throughout main living areas and bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Partially finished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Basement laundry room (6 x 6)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-8 ($-99/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (0.7% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $220k).
  • Recommended offer: $213k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#212 in IL, #3,963 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, schools F.
  • Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $66k; list at $220k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price.
Recommended offer $213,400 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
6.25%
Cash-on-cash
-0.16%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$257,152
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17553 Sycamore Ave 0.07mi 3/2.5 1,600 (+2%) 9mo $286,000 $179 82
17740 Cedar Ave 0.21mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,642 (+5%) 1mo $255,000 $155 74
17700 Springfield Ave 0.33mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,450 (-8%) 2mo $240,000 $166 66
4501 180th St 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,577 (+1%) 8mo $95,000 $60 65
4131 178th St 0.23mi 3/3.0 1,372 (-12%) 1mo $254,000 $185 62
17142 Orchard Ln 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,610 (+3%) 2mo $150,000 $93 60
18057 Juneway Ct 0.57mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,552 (-1%) 5mo $233,900 $151 58
17840 Princeton Ln 0.74mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,583 (+1%) 8mo $289,000 $183 50
18037 Edwards Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,800 (+15%) 2mo $249,700 $139 47
4657 176th Pl 0.61mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,749 (+12%) 2mo $287,500 $164 42
17721 Sarah Ln 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,800 (+15%) 4mo $330,000 $183 37
18020 Anthony Ave 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,800 (+15%) 2mo $270,000 $150 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-35,820
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
-7.8%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-30,428
Equity at exit
$19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60478

Home prices YoY
-27.3%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,564 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$789 /mo · $9,463/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$538
Net cashflow
$-8

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,575
Max offer price $218,544
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18019 Ravisloe Ter Country Club Hills, IL 3.0 1.5 1150 $2,800 $2.43 1d 1 0.49mi
3900 171st St Country Club Hills, IL 3.0 1.0 1750 $2,250 $1.29 8d 1 0.73mi
3515 Bordeaux Ct Hazel Crest, IL 4.0 2.0 1486 $2,900 $1.95 2d 1 1.04mi
1153 Williamsburg Rd Country Club Hills, IL 2.0 1.5 1216 $1,900 $1.56 1d 1 1.04mi
2256 Windsor Ln Country Club Hills, IL 3.0 1.0 1212 $2,250 $1.86 1d 1 1.05mi
4453 Provincetown Dr Country Club Hills, IL 3.0 2.5 1300 $2,500 $1.92 1d 1 1.16mi
4193 186th St Country Club Hills, IL 4.0 2.5 1704 $3,200 $1.88 1d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    price $220,000 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $229,900 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $229,900 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $229,900 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $229,900 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $229,900 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $229,900 Active 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $229,900 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $229,900 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $249,900 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,900 Active 16 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,900 Active 15 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,900 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,900 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-05-18
    listed $259,900 Active
  16. 2013-04-29
    soldstatus $66,125 Closed Sale 420-char remark
    Show marketing remark (420 chars)

    SPACIOUS 4 BEDROOM, 2 BATH 2 STORY HOME WITH 2 CAR ATT GARAGE AND FULL BASEMENT. PROPERTY BEING SOLD AS IS. PROOF OF FUNDS OR LETTER FROM BANK/MTG COMPANY REQUESTED. ADDENDUMS REQUIRED-ACCESS VIA MLS. SELLER RESERVES RIGHT TO NEGOTIATE OWNER OCCUPANT OR PUBLIC ENTITY OFFERS FOR FIRST 15 DAYS OF LISTING. THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY-ELIGIBLE FOR HOMEPATH RENOVATION FINANCING-PURCHASE FOR AS LITTLE AS 3% DOWN

  17. 2013-03-20
    status Pending 420-char remark
    Show marketing remark (420 chars)

    SPACIOUS 4 BEDROOM, 2 BATH 2 STORY HOME WITH 2 CAR ATT GARAGE AND FULL BASEMENT. PROPERTY BEING SOLD AS IS. PROOF OF FUNDS OR LETTER FROM BANK/MTG COMPANY REQUESTED. ADDENDUMS REQUIRED-ACCESS VIA MLS. SELLER RESERVES RIGHT TO NEGOTIATE OWNER OCCUPANT OR PUBLIC ENTITY OFFERS FOR FIRST 15 DAYS OF LISTING. THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY-ELIGIBLE FOR HOMEPATH RENOVATION FINANCING-PURCHASE FOR AS LITTLE AS 3% DOWN

  18. 2013-03-06
    listed $54,500 New 420-char remark
    Show marketing remark (420 chars)

    SPACIOUS 4 BEDROOM, 2 BATH 2 STORY HOME WITH 2 CAR ATT GARAGE AND FULL BASEMENT. PROPERTY BEING SOLD AS IS. PROOF OF FUNDS OR LETTER FROM BANK/MTG COMPANY REQUESTED. ADDENDUMS REQUIRED-ACCESS VIA MLS. SELLER RESERVES RIGHT TO NEGOTIATE OWNER OCCUPANT OR PUBLIC ENTITY OFFERS FOR FIRST 15 DAYS OF LISTING. THIS IS A FANNIE MAE HOMEPATH PROPERTY-ELIGIBLE FOR HOMEPATH RENOVATION FINANCING-PURCHASE FOR AS LITTLE AS 3% DOWN

  19. 2012-03-01
    historical
  20. 2011-10-18
    listed New
  21. 2004-08-13
    soldstatus $145,000
  22. 1992-02-04
    soldstatus $78,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$9,463 · $789/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,463 · $789/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,770
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$9,463
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,462
− Management
−$2,462
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$3,439
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$825
After-tax cash flow
$727/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bremen Chsd 228
NCES district ID
1707050
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$57,625
Composite
15.32/100
National rank
#9327
State rank
#468 of 620 in IL

Livability — Country Club Hills

Score
75/100
State rank
#212
US rank
#3963

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Country Club Hills, IL
City population
16,549
Population (ZIP)
16,549

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 87% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.73%
Current HPI
212.3917
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+233.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $259,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-04-29 Sold (MLS) $66,125 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-03-20 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-03-06 Listed $54,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-03-01 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-10-18 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 1992-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2023): $9,463 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…