1937 James Ave · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
DUPLEX (RENOVATED + DUAL INCOME STREAM) Income producing duplex featuring a recently renovated 5BR/2BA from unit with a new roof installed in January 2026 and a section 8 tenant in place. The rear unit is a separate single-family residence, also leased, bringing total rental income to $1,500/month. Strong cash flow with dual income streams makes this property an excellent opportunity for investors seeking higher yield and portfolio growth
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Built 1924
- Listed 70 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,614/mo this rent would consume 97% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 642% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $140k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.67%
- DSCR
- 2.63
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $77,398
- List price
- $139,999
- Delta
- 80.88%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1807 St Charles Ave | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,736 (-4%) | 2mo | $65,500 | $38 | 71 |
| 403 Ryan St | 0.21mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,651 (-9%) | 16mo | $45,000 | $27 | 53 |
| 1824 St Charles Ave | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,998 (+10%) | 19mo | $192,000 | $96 | 50 |
| 2300 Mckinley Ave | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,755 (-3%) | 18mo | $61,000 | $35 | 48 |
| 559 Capitol Parkway Ct | 0.72mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,628 (-10%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $55 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.51×
- Total profit
- $59,088
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 42.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.42×
- Total profit
- $173,151
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36107
- Home prices YoY
- -10.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,614 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $899/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$549
- Net cashflow
- $1,198
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,277 | -5% $1,238 | +0% $1,198 | +5% $1,158 | +10% $1,119 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $991 | -5% $1,095 | +0% $1,198 | +5% $1,301 | +10% $1,404 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,268 | -0.5pp $1,233 | base $1,198 | +0.5pp $1,162 | +1.0pp $1,125 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 Capitol Ave Unit 1043879P Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1797 | $3,518 | $1.96 | 14d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1008 Pelham St Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,300 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2043 Hazel Hedge Ln Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2001 | $1,650 | $0.82 | 14d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3309 Hillcrest Ln Unit 1043908P Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $2,885 | $1.78 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 239 Forest Hills Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2009 Bullard St Montgomery, AL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1992 | $1,975 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3105 Pelzer Ave Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1605 | $1,425 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,999 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,999 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,999 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,999 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,999 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,999 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,999 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,999 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,999 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,999 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,999 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,999 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,999 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,999 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $139,999 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-04-08$139,999 Active 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
DUPLEX (RENOVATED + DUAL INCOME STREAM) Income producing duplex featuring a recently renovated 5BR/2BA from unit with a new roof installed in January 2026 and a section 8 tenant in place. The rear unit is a separate single-family residence, also leased, bringing total rental income to $1,500/month. Strong cash flow with dual income streams makes this property an excellent opportunity for investors seeking higher yield and portfolio growth
-
2023-11-13soldstatus $70,000
-
2022-03-16soldstatus $78,900
-
2020-08-02$74,900
-
2018-01-21$89,900
-
2017-05-30$89,900
-
2016-07-18$79,900
-
2015-01-05$98,000
-
2006-11-28soldstatus $64,900
-
2006-10-31soldstatus $64,900
-
2006-08-01$66,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $899 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $899 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,372
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$899
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,510
- − Management
- −$2,510
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $12,838
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,081
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,293/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,001
- Household income
- $32,492
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 642.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 43% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 20%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.16%
- Current HPI
- 147.8065
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.05%
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+109.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $139,999 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2022-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $78,900 Public Records
- 2020-08-02 Listed $74,900 MAAR
- 2018-01-21 Listed $89,900 MAAR
- 2017-05-30 Listed $89,900 MAAR
- 2016-07-18 Listed $79,900 MAAR
- 2015-01-05 Listed $98,000 MAAR
- 2006-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records
- 2006-10-31 Sold (MLS) $64,900 MAAR
- 2006-08-01 Listed $66,900 MAAR
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $899 · -18.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…