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612 Kimball St
C+ Composite 61.8
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

612 Kimball St · Sault Ste. Marie, MI 49783
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,692 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 275 Days on market
Built 1900 $71/sqft · 55% above area ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This duplex is in very good condition an would make Ownership very affordable. Rent out one unit and live economically in other. Each unit has 2 bedrooms , kitchen, living room a mud room and utility room with washer and dryer. Unit 1 down , unit 2 up. Building also has full basement , for access to updated electric panel and storage.

Key facts

  • Built 1900
  • Listed 274 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.5% in Sault Ste. Marie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Sault Ste. Marie Area Schools (town): math 35% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #230 of 540 in MI (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in Chippewa County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chippewa County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 275 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $105,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 275 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.70%
Cash-on-cash
12.15%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$77,573
List price
$120,000
Delta
54.69%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
914 Bingham Ave 0.42mi 4/1.5 1,680 (-1%) 9mo $159,000 $95 70
920 Superior St 0.36mi 4/2.0 1,605 (-5%) 6mo $230,000 $143 69
1211 Augusta St 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,700 (+0%) 3mo $230,000 $135 65
217 Hursley St 0.24mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,616 (-4%) 13mo $198,500 $123 64
805 E Spruce St 0.60mi 4/2.0 1,696 (+0%) 13mo $302,500 $178 61
533 Maple St 0.35mi 4/2.0 1,536 (-9%) 11mo $229,000 $149 59
403 Pine St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,624 (-4%) 1mo $199,500 $123 57
323 Emmett St 0.72mi 4/2.0 1,600 (-5%) 9mo $269,900 $169 50
1203 Seymour St 0.58mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,530 (-10%) 3mo $209,000 $137 49
811 Young St 0.30mi 4/1.0 1,449 (-14%) 11mo $99,900 $69 49
1100 Davitt St 0.68mi 5/2.5 (+1) 1,808 (+7%) 3mo $350,000 $194 47
423 W Easterday Ave 0.74mi 4/1.5 1,455 (-14%) 10mo $220,000 $151 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$2,226
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$29,844
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49783

Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,436 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$115 /mo · $1,377/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$302
Net cashflow
$340

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,005
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 275 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 274 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 273 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 272 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 270 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $120,000 Active 269 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 266 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 265 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 264 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 263 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $120,000 Active 260 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 259 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    price $120,000 Active 258 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,000 Active 258 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,000 Active 257 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,000 Active 256 DOM
  17. 2026-04-20
    price $129,000 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    This duplex is in very good condition an would make Ownership very affordable. Rent out one unit and live economically in other. Each unit has 2 bedrooms , kitchen, living room a mud room and utility room with washer and dryer. Unit 1 down , unit 2 up. Building also has full basement , for access to updated electric panel and storage.

  18. 2026-01-17
    price $134,000 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    This duplex is in very good condition an would make Ownership very affordable. Rent out one unit and live economically in other. Each unit has 2 bedrooms , kitchen, living room a mud room and utility room with washer and dryer. Unit 1 down , unit 2 up. Building also has full basement , for access to updated electric panel and storage.

  19. 2025-10-31
    price $137,500 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    This duplex is in very good condition an would make Ownership very affordable. Rent out one unit and live economically in other. Each unit has 2 bedrooms , kitchen, living room a mud room and utility room with washer and dryer. Unit 1 down , unit 2 up. Building also has full basement , for access to updated electric panel and storage.

  20. 2025-09-16
    listed $140,000 Active 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    This duplex is in very good condition an would make Ownership very affordable. Rent out one unit and live economically in other. Each unit has 2 bedrooms , kitchen, living room a mud room and utility room with washer and dryer. Unit 1 down , unit 2 up. Building also has full basement , for access to updated electric panel and storage.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,377 · $115/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,613 · $134/mo
Expected delta
+$235/yr (+$20/mo · 17.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,230
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,377
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,378
− Management
−$1,378
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$2,283
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$548
After-tax cash flow
$3,535/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sault Ste. Marie Area Schools
NCES district ID
2630990
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$40,273
Composite
33.12/100
National rank
#5559
State rank
#230 of 540 in MI

Livability — Sault Ste. Marie

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Sault Ste. Marie, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,778

Population outlook (Chippewa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,043 people
By 2030
36,431 · -1.7%
By 2040
34,911 · -5.8%
By 2050
33,350 · -10.0%
By 2075
29,789 · -19.6%
By 2100
24,171 · -34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Native American 14% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 6% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chippewa

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.2) · D 37.0% · R 61.3% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-23.8pp toward R · 2008: -0.5pp · 2024: -24.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.2 2020: R+22.9 2016: R+24.2 2012: R+7.6 2008: R+0.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -183.63%
Current HPI
149.9878
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $129,000 EUPBR
  • 2026-01-17 Price Changed $134,000 EUPBR
  • 2025-10-31 Price Changed $137,500 EUPBR
  • 2025-09-16 Listed $140,000 EUPBR

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,377 · +40.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…