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2611 Lakeshore Cir 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 44.97
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$5,000

2611 Lakeshore Cir · Port Charlotte, FL 33952
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,364 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1977 10,019 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Easy access to all Charlotte county has to offer! Restaurants, beaches, fishing and much more. A must see!

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1977

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Other water source; Other sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Residential property
  • Construction: Construction details: See remarks
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Other roof

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 total room (listed as 1 room total)
  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating listed; No cooling listed
  • Interior features: Front porch

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $5,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$231,880) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $937 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).
  • Cap rate 333.6% vs local median 4.4% in Port Charlotte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#655 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 707 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $5,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
35.40%
Cap rate
333.62%
Cash-on-cash
1169.01%
DSCR
53.01
GRM
0.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$231,880
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1581 Faraday St 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,349 (-1%) 5mo $229,000 $170 55
737 Hartford Dr NW 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,225 (-10%) 15mo $190,000 $155 50
510 E Tarpon Blvd NW 0.53mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,316 (-4%) 18mo $489,900 $372 49
3172 Port Charlotte Blvd 0.46mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,504 (+10%) 14mo $235,000 $156 44
1660 Eagle St 0.59mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,176 (-14%) 1mo $199,999 $170 44
21227 Gladis Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,241 (-9%) 2mo $205,000 $165 41
509 Beal St NW 0.59mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,169 (-14%) 13mo $225,000 $192 32
417 Cypress Ave NW 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,162 (-15%) 14mo $130,000 $112 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
39.56×
Total profit
$53,989
Equity at exit
$746
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
76.01×
Total profit
$105,008
Equity at exit
$432

Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33952

Home prices YoY
-4.8%
Rents YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
707
Price-to-rent
0.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,770 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$26
Tax est. 1.5%
$6 /mo · $75/yr
Insurance
$2
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$372
Net cashflow
$937

Break-even live

Break-even rent $584
Max offer price $5,000
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $941 -5% $939 +0% $937 +5% $936 +10% $934
Rent -10% $797 -5% $867 +0% $937 +5% $1,007 +10% $1,077
Rate -1.0pp $940 -0.5pp $939 base $937 +0.5pp $936 +1.0pp $935

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,250
Closing costs
$150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2443 Duke Ln Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1831 $1,650 $0.90 14d 1 0.15mi
2472 Picnic St Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 2.0 990 $1,575 $1.59 21d 1 0.15mi
2395 Alda Ln Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 2.0 1150 $1,775 $1.54 21d 1 0.27mi
2456 Elkcam Blvd Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 2.0 1015 $1,700 $1.67 21d 1 0.34mi
2425 Caring Way Unit 205 Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 2.0 900 $1,400 $1.56 21d 1 0.38mi
533 Crandall St NW Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1328 $1,550 $1.17 21d 1 0.59mi
21061 Midway Blvd Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 1.0 897 $1,600 $1.78 21d 1 0.62mi
401 Skylark Ln NW Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1167 $1,650 $1.41 21d 1 0.62mi
21155 Meehan Ave Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,300 $1.23 21d 1 0.63mi
650 Hartford Dr NW Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 21d 1 0.64mi
21307 Gertrude Ave Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 3.0 1170 $1,650 $1.41 21d 1 0.68mi
21298 Stillwater Ave Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 1.0 1798 $1,300 $0.72 21d 1 0.71mi
21322 Stillwater Ave Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,300 $1.20 21d 1 0.75mi
20310 Lorenzo Ave Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,100 $1.31 21d 1 0.83mi
21212 Burkhart Dr Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1863 $2,350 $1.26 21d 1 0.87mi
21385 Gibralter Dr Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 2.0 1172 $1,650 $1.41 21d 1 0.89mi
20254 Lorenzo Ave Port Charlotte, FL 4.0 2.0 1449 $1,895 $1.31 21d 1 0.89mi
266 Rockwood St NW Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,850 $1.32 14d 1 0.89mi
3100 Harbor Blvd Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 1.0–1.5 994 $1,472 $1.48 21d 2 0.90mi
249 Seminole Blvd NW Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1389 $1,750 $1.26 21d 1 0.91mi
3126 Harbor Blvd Unit 3A Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 14d 1 0.95mi
21422 Kenyon Ave Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 2.0 1149 $1,400 $1.22 21d 1 0.97mi
21440 Mallory Ave Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 1.0 930 $1,550 $1.67 21d 1 1.01mi
125 Cambridge Dr NW Unit NA Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,750 $1.46 21d 1 1.04mi
557 Mayview Ave NW Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1513 $1,796 $1.19 21d 1 1.04mi
651 Chamber St NW Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1196 $1,900 $1.59 21d 1 1.05mi
3509 Port Charlotte Blvd Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1830 $5,000 $2.73 21d 1 1.06mi
322 Lasayette Dr NE Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 1.5 1140 $1,475 $1.29 21d 1 1.06mi
21426 Glendale Ave Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 1.5 1423 $1,511 $1.06 14d 1 1.08mi
177 Dartmouth Dr NW Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 1.5 1541 $3,250 $2.11 21d 1 1.12mi
182 Chelsea Ct NW Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 2.0 1389 $2,200 $1.58 21d 1 1.15mi
1506 Dewitt St Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1198 $1,800 $1.50 21d 1 1.15mi
1358 Arrow St Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 1.0 1650 $1,500 $0.91 14d 1 1.16mi
2000 Forrest Nelson Blvd Unit B6 Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 2.5 1218 $1,400 $1.15 21d 1 1.16mi
1342 Eagle St Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 2.0 1693 $2,000 $1.18 21d 1 1.17mi
21499 Glendale Ave Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 1.0 1077 $1,600 $1.49 21d 1 1.18mi
21988 Cellini Ave Port Charlotte, FL 4.0 3.0 1500 $2,000 $1.33 21d 1 1.18mi
525 Altoona St NW Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 2.0 1002 $1,750 $1.75 21d 1 1.20mi
2171 Birchcrest Blvd Port Charlotte, FL 2.0 1.5 1162 $1,500 $1.29 21d 1 1.23mi
979 Roseway Ter NW Port Charlotte, FL 3.0 1.5 1140 $1,525 $1.34 21d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    listed $5,000 Active
  2. 2018-03-30
    soldstatus $135,025 Sold 107-char remark
    Show marketing remark (107 chars)

    Easy access to all Charlotte county has to offer! Restaurants, beaches, fishing and much more. A must see!

  3. 2018-03-24
    status Pending 107-char remark
    Show marketing remark (107 chars)

    Easy access to all Charlotte county has to offer! Restaurants, beaches, fishing and much more. A must see!

  4. 2018-03-22
    status Pending 107-char remark
    Show marketing remark (107 chars)

    Easy access to all Charlotte county has to offer! Restaurants, beaches, fishing and much more. A must see!

  5. 2018-02-06
    status Pending 107-char remark
    Show marketing remark (107 chars)

    Easy access to all Charlotte county has to offer! Restaurants, beaches, fishing and much more. A must see!

  6. 2018-01-25
    listed $120,000 Active 107-char remark
    Show marketing remark (107 chars)

    Easy access to all Charlotte county has to offer! Restaurants, beaches, fishing and much more. A must see!

  7. 2003-09-10
    soldstatus $92,000
  8. 1998-10-19
    soldstatus $67,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 98% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,242
− Mortgage interest
−$280
− Property taxes
−$75
− Insurance
−$5,144
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,699
− Management
−$1,699
− Depreciation
−$145
Taxable income
$12,199
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,928
After-tax cash flow
$8,320/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charlotte
NCES district ID
1200240
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,864
Composite
45.62/100
National rank
#2586
State rank
#22 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port Charlotte

Score
65/100
State rank
#655
US rank
#13081

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Port Charlotte, FL
County
Charlotte County · 196,994 people
City population
102,180
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,231
Household income
$61,382
Rent vs Own
20.8% rent · 79.2% own
Severe rent burden
733.0

Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
198,646 people
By 2030
210,507 · +6.0%
By 2040
230,857 · +16.2%
By 2050
247,148 · +24.4%
By 2075
281,777 · +41.8%
By 2100
293,609 · +47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -17.18%
Current HPI
339.0932
Rent YoY
▼ -1.35%
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-92.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $5,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2018-03-30 Sold (MLS) $135,025 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-03-24 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-03-22 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-02-06 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-01-25 Listed $120,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
  • 1998-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $67,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,594 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…