🏷️ Likely Rental
2611 Lakeshore Cir · Port Charlotte, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.98%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$5,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Easy access to all Charlotte county has to offer! Restaurants, beaches, fishing and much more. A must see!
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1977
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Other water source; Other sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Residential property
- Construction: Construction details: See remarks
- Exterior features: Front porch; Other roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 total room (listed as 1 room total)
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heating listed; No cooling listed
- Interior features: Front porch
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $937 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).
- Cap rate 333.6% vs local median 4.4% in Port Charlotte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#655 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 707 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 35.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 333.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1169.01%
- DSCR
- 53.01
- GRM
- 0.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $231,880
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1581 Faraday St | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,349 (-1%) | 5mo | $229,000 | $170 | 55 |
| 737 Hartford Dr NW | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,225 (-10%) | 15mo | $190,000 | $155 | 50 |
| 510 E Tarpon Blvd NW | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,316 (-4%) | 18mo | $489,900 | $372 | 49 |
| 3172 Port Charlotte Blvd | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,504 (+10%) | 14mo | $235,000 | $156 | 44 |
| 1660 Eagle St | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,176 (-14%) | 1mo | $199,999 | $170 | 44 |
| 21227 Gladis Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,241 (-9%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $165 | 41 |
| 509 Beal St NW | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,169 (-14%) | 13mo | $225,000 | $192 | 32 |
| 417 Cypress Ave NW | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,162 (-15%) | 14mo | $130,000 | $112 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 39.56×
- Total profit
- $53,989
- Equity at exit
- $746
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 76.01×
- Total profit
- $105,008
- Equity at exit
- $432
Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33952
- Home prices YoY
- -4.8%
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 707
- Price-to-rent
- 0.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,770 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$26
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$6 /mo · $75/yr
- Insurance
- −$2
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $937
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $941 | -5% $939 | +0% $937 | +5% $936 | +10% $934 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $797 | -5% $867 | +0% $937 | +5% $1,007 | +10% $1,077 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $940 | -0.5pp $939 | base $937 | +0.5pp $936 | +1.0pp $935 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,250
- Closing costs
- $150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2443 Duke Ln Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1831 | $1,650 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 2472 Picnic St Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $1,575 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 2395 Alda Ln Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,775 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2456 Elkcam Blvd Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $1,700 | $1.67 | 21d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2425 Caring Way Unit 205 Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 533 Crandall St NW Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $1,550 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 21061 Midway Blvd Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 401 Skylark Ln NW Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1167 | $1,650 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 21155 Meehan Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,300 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 650 Hartford Dr NW Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 21307 Gertrude Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1170 | $1,650 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 21298 Stillwater Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1798 | $1,300 | $0.72 | 21d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 21322 Stillwater Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,300 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 20310 Lorenzo Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 21212 Burkhart Dr Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1863 | $2,350 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 21385 Gibralter Dr Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $1,650 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 20254 Lorenzo Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $1,895 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 266 Rockwood St NW Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,850 | $1.32 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3100 Harbor Blvd Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 994 | $1,472 | $1.48 | 21d | 2 | 0.90mi |
| 249 Seminole Blvd NW Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $1,750 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3126 Harbor Blvd Unit 3A Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 21422 Kenyon Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1149 | $1,400 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 21440 Mallory Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,550 | $1.67 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 125 Cambridge Dr NW Unit NA Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 557 Mayview Ave NW Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1513 | $1,796 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 651 Chamber St NW Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,900 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3509 Port Charlotte Blvd Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1830 | $5,000 | $2.73 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 322 Lasayette Dr NE Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1140 | $1,475 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 21426 Glendale Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1423 | $1,511 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 177 Dartmouth Dr NW Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1541 | $3,250 | $2.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 182 Chelsea Ct NW Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $2,200 | $1.58 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1506 Dewitt St Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1358 Arrow St Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1650 | $1,500 | $0.91 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2000 Forrest Nelson Blvd Unit B6 Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1218 | $1,400 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1342 Eagle St Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1693 | $2,000 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 21499 Glendale Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1077 | $1,600 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 21988 Cellini Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 525 Altoona St NW Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1002 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2171 Birchcrest Blvd Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1162 | $1,500 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 979 Roseway Ter NW Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1140 | $1,525 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-18$5,000 Active
-
2018-03-30soldstatus $135,025 Sold 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Easy access to all Charlotte county has to offer! Restaurants, beaches, fishing and much more. A must see!
-
2018-03-24status Pending 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Easy access to all Charlotte county has to offer! Restaurants, beaches, fishing and much more. A must see!
-
2018-03-22status Pending 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Easy access to all Charlotte county has to offer! Restaurants, beaches, fishing and much more. A must see!
-
2018-02-06status Pending 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Easy access to all Charlotte county has to offer! Restaurants, beaches, fishing and much more. A must see!
-
2018-01-25$120,000 Active 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Easy access to all Charlotte county has to offer! Restaurants, beaches, fishing and much more. A must see!
-
2003-09-10soldstatus $92,000
-
1998-10-19soldstatus $67,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 98% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,242
- − Mortgage interest
- −$280
- − Property taxes
- −$75
- − Insurance
- −$5,144
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,699
- − Management
- −$1,699
- − Depreciation
- −$145
- Taxable income
- $12,199
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,928
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,320/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Port Charlotte
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #655
- US rank
- #13081
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port Charlotte, FL
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- City population
- 102,180
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,231
- Household income
- $61,382
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 733.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.18%
- Current HPI
- 339.0932
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.35%
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-92.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $5,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2018-03-30 Sold (MLS) $135,025 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-03-24 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-03-22 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-02-06 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-01-25 Listed $120,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
- 1998-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $67,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,594 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…