4653 Airport Rd · Salisbury, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +9.3/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bed 2 bath home that is currently rented. New owner must honor current month to month lease agreement. Property is being sold AS IS WHERE IS.
Key facts
- 0.41 acre lot
- Built 1956
- Listed 54 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ground rent paid annually
- Financial info: Total actual rent reported as $18,200
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Private water supply; On-site septic
- Home design: Detached structure; Fee simple ownership; Finished above-grade area reported as 1,184 (per assessor)
- Construction: Stick built construction; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Not located in a federal flood zone; Other structures above and below grade
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Electric cooling (other type); Electric hot water
- Interior features: Living area reported by assessor; No basement; One fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $83 ($997/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (19.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $186k (19.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.8% in Salisbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#351 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Wicomico County Public Schools (urban): math 16% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #19 of 24 in MD (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Glen Avenue School (math 8% / reading 6%, grade F, #726 of 860 statewide, top 86%, 379 students, 70% FRL); Bennett Middle (math 13% / reading 29%, grade F, #134 of 225 statewide, top 62%, 906 students, 48% FRL); Parkside High (math 52% / reading 59%, grade C, #85 of 222 statewide, top 39%, 1,160 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 201 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Wicomico County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wicomico County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $160k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.55%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $239,512
- List price
- $230,000
- Delta
- -3.97%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-30,605
- Equity at exit
- $34,294
- IRR
- -3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-14,092
- Equity at exit
- $19,886
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21804
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 201
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,861 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,026/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $83
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $213 | -5% $148 | +0% $83 | +5% $18 | +10% $-47 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-64 | -5% $10 | +0% $83 | +5% $157 | +10% $230 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $199 | -0.5pp $142 | base $83 | +0.5pp $23 | +1.0pp $-37 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $230,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $230,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $230,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $230,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $230,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $230,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $230,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $230,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $230,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $230,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $230,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $230,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $230,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $230,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $230,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $230,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-28$230,000 Active 143-char remark
-
2023-02-27soldstatus $160,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,026 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,766 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- +$741/yr (+$62/mo · 72.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,337
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$1,026
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,787
- − Management
- −$1,787
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable loss
- −$2,987
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$717
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,714/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wicomico County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400690
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,745
- Composite
- 18.87/100
- National rank
- #8860
- State rank
- #19 of 24 in MD
Livability — Salisbury
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #351
- US rank
- #18948
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Wicomico County · 75,969 people
- City population
- 70,518
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,430
- Household income
- $73,156
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2096.0
Population outlook (Wicomico County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 108,548 people
- By 2030
- 111,783 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 118,139 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 123,641 · +13.9%
- By 2075
- 139,784 · +28.8%
- By 2100
- 145,334 · +33.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Black 30% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Romanian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wicomico
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.5) · D 46.1% · R 51.5% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.3pp no change · 2008: -5.8pp · 2024: -5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.5 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+6.9 2008: R+5.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.15%
- Current HPI
- 230.6099
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.78%
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+43.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Listed $230,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,026 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…