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4653 Airport Rd
D Composite 43.17
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.3/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$230,000

4653 Airport Rd · Salisbury, MD 21804
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,184 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1956 0.41 ac lot $194/sqft · at area comps Est $240k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 bed 2 bath home that is currently rented. New owner must honor current month to month lease agreement. Property is being sold AS IS WHERE IS.

Key facts

  • 0.41 acre lot
  • Built 1956
  • Listed 54 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ground rent paid annually
  • Financial info: Total actual rent reported as $18,200

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Private water supply; On-site septic
  • Home design: Detached structure; Fee simple ownership; Finished above-grade area reported as 1,184 (per assessor)
  • Construction: Stick built construction; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Not located in a federal flood zone; Other structures above and below grade

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Electric cooling (other type); Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Living area reported by assessor; No basement; One fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $83 ($997/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (19.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $186k (19.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.8% in Salisbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#351 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wicomico County Public Schools (urban): math 16% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #19 of 24 in MD (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Glen Avenue School (math 8% / reading 6%, grade F, #726 of 860 statewide, top 86%, 379 students, 70% FRL); Bennett Middle (math 13% / reading 29%, grade F, #134 of 225 statewide, top 62%, 906 students, 48% FRL); Parkside High (math 52% / reading 59%, grade C, #85 of 222 statewide, top 39%, 1,160 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 201 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Wicomico County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wicomico County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $160k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $186,141 (19.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.73%
Cash-on-cash
1.55%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$239,512
List price
$230,000
Delta
-3.97%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.1%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-30,605
Equity at exit
$34,294
10-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-14,092
Equity at exit
$19,886

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21804

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Rents YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
201
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,861 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,026/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$391
Net cashflow
$83

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,756
Max offer price $230,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $213 -5% $148 +0% $83 +5% $18 +10% $-47
Rent -10% $-64 -5% $10 +0% $83 +5% $157 +10% $230
Rate -1.0pp $199 -0.5pp $142 base $83 +0.5pp $23 +1.0pp $-37

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $230,000 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $230,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $230,000 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $230,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $230,000 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $230,000 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $230,000 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $230,000 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $230,000 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $230,000 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $230,000 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $230,000 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $230,000 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $230,000 Active 34 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $230,000 Active 33 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $230,000 Active 32 DOM
  17. 2026-04-28
    listed $230,000 Active 143-char remark
  18. 2023-02-27
    soldstatus $160,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,026 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,766 · $147/mo
Expected delta
+$741/yr (+$62/mo · 72.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,337
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$1,026
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,787
− Management
−$1,787
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable loss
−$2,987
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$717
After-tax cash flow
$1,714/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wicomico County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400690
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$51,745
Composite
18.87/100
National rank
#8860
State rank
#19 of 24 in MD

Livability — Salisbury

Score
60/100
State rank
#351
US rank
#18948

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Wicomico County · 75,969 people
City population
70,518
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
Population (ZIP)
40,430
Household income
$73,156
Rent vs Own
48.6% rent · 51.4% own
Severe rent burden
2096.0

Population outlook (Wicomico County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
108,548 people
By 2030
111,783 · +3.0%
By 2040
118,139 · +8.8%
By 2050
123,641 · +13.9%
By 2075
139,784 · +28.8%
By 2100
145,334 · +33.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 30% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 8% Romanian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
83% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wicomico

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.5) · D 46.1% · R 51.5% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
+0.3pp no change · 2008: -5.8pp · 2024: -5.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.5 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+6.9 2008: R+5.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.15%
Current HPI
230.6099
Rent YoY
▲ 3.78%
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+43.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $230,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,026 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…