7305 Old Madisonville Rd · Hopkinsville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! This three bedroom, one bathroom home has tenants in place and rents for $900/month. A spacious, open concept living & dining room feels even larger with a vaulted ceiling. Remodeled in 2024 with new HVAC, water heater, bathtub, fixtures, paint, and flooring. Nestled on a large corner lot just outside Hopkinsville in the beautiful and historic Kelly community. Pre-appraised. Lease contract is through January 31, 2027. Please allow 48 hour notice for showings and do not disturb tenants. Spring is around the corner--don't miss this exciting investment opportunity!
Key facts
- Open concept living
- Remodeled in 2024
- Vaulted ceiling
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $150k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.3% in Hopkinsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#305 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Christian County (town): math 30% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #93 of 165 in KY (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 193 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (66 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Christian County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $150k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.90%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-7,614
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $32,957
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42240
- Home prices YoY
- -17.5%
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 252
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,529 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$321
- Net cashflow
- $171
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-02-04status Active 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! This three bedroom, one bathroom home has tenants in place and rents for $900/month. A spacious, open concept living & dining room feels even larger with a vaulted ceiling. Remodeled in 2024 with new HVAC, water heater, bathtub, fixtures, paint, and flooring. Nestled on a large corner lot just outside Hopkinsville in the beautiful and historic Kelly community. Pre-appraised. Lease contract is through January 31, 2027. Please allow 48 hour notice for showings and do not disturb tenants. Spring is around the corner--don't miss this exciting investment opportunity!
-
2025-11-26status Active
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! This three bedroom, one bathroom home has tenants in place and rents for $900/month. A spacious, open concept living & dining room feels even larger with a vaulted ceiling. Remodeled in 2024 with new HVAC, water heater, bathtub, fixtures, paint, and flooring. Nestled on a large corner lot just outside Hopkinsville in the beautiful and historic Kelly community. Pre-appraised. Lease contract is through January 31, 2027. Please allow 48 hour notice for showings and do not disturb tenants. Spring is around the corner--don't miss this exciting investment opportunity!
-
2025-11-26$150,000 Active 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! This three bedroom, one bathroom home has tenants in place and rents for $900/month. A spacious, open concept living & dining room feels even larger with a vaulted ceiling. Remodeled in 2024 with new HVAC, water heater, bathtub, fixtures, paint, and flooring. Nestled on a large corner lot just outside Hopkinsville in the beautiful and historic Kelly community. Pre-appraised. Lease contract is through January 31, 2027. Please allow 48 hour notice for showings and do not disturb tenants. Spring is around the corner--don't miss this exciting investment opportunity!
-
2025-03-11status Active
-
2025-03-11price $149,000
-
2024-12-02$129,000 Active
-
2024-05-07soldstatus $55,000
-
2024-05-03soldstatus $55,000 Closed
-
2024-05-03soldstatus $55,000 Closed
-
2024-04-15historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-04-15status Pending
-
2024-04-03price $99,000
-
2024-04-03price $99,000
-
2023-10-31$124,900 Active
-
2023-10-31$124,900 Active
-
2023-04-04$124,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,349
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,250
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,468
- − Management
- −$1,468
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$353
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$85
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,141/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This three-bedroom, one-bathroom home is in good condition with recent renovations, including new appliances, flooring, and HVAC. It is move-in ready and has tenants in place, making it a solid investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Replace old appliances with energy-efficient models — Modern appliances improve energy efficiency and appeal to potential buyers/tenants.
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase property value and attract tech-savvy buyers/tenants.
- Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting enhances safety and curb appeal, making the property more attractive at night.
- Both Upgrade flooring in bathrooms — Upgraded flooring in bathrooms can significantly improve the home's value and appeal to potential buyers/tenants.
- Both Add a small outdoor patio or seating area — An outdoor seating area can increase the home's appeal and value, especially for rental properties.
- Both Install a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort, making the home more attractive to potential buyers/tenants.
- Both Add a small outdoor garden or landscaping feature — A small outdoor garden or landscaping feature can enhance the home's curb appeal and value, especially for rental properties.
- Both Install a security system — A security system can improve safety and attract potential buyers/tenants, especially for rental properties.
- Both Add a small outdoor garden or landscaping feature — A small outdoor garden or landscaping feature can enhance the home's curb appeal and value, especially for rental properties.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Replace old appliances with energy-efficient models — Modern appliances improve energy efficiency and appeal to potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase property value and attract tech-savvy buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting enhances safety and curb appeal, making the property more attractive at night. ↑
- Both Upgrade flooring in bathrooms — Upgraded flooring in bathrooms can significantly improve the home's value and appeal to potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Add a small outdoor patio or seating area — An outdoor seating area can increase the home's appeal and value, especially for rental properties. ↑
- Both Install a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort, making the home more attractive to potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Add a small outdoor garden or landscaping feature — A small outdoor garden or landscaping feature can enhance the home's curb appeal and value, especially for rental properties. ↑
- Both Install a security system — A security system can improve safety and attract potential buyers/tenants, especially for rental properties. ↑
- Both Add a small outdoor garden or landscaping feature — A small outdoor garden or landscaping feature can enhance the home's curb appeal and value, especially for rental properties. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Christian County
- NCES district ID
- 2101150
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,961
- Composite
- 26.8/100
- National rank
- #7118
- State rank
- #93 of 165 in KY
Livability — Hopkinsville
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #305
- US rank
- #14474
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Christian County · 51,080 people
- City population
- 41,415
- Metro
- Clarksville, TN-KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,415
- Household income
- $51,534
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1475.0
Population outlook (Christian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 67,861 people
- By 2030
- 65,808 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 60,090 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 54,561 · -19.6%
- By 2075
- 45,859 · -32.4%
- By 2100
- 38,310 · -43.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Christian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.4pp toward R · 2008: -21.2pp · 2024: -33.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.6 2020: R+28.4 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+23.8 2008: R+21.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.36%
- Current HPI
- 233.3958
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.61%
- Metro
- Clarksville, TN-KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+20.1% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-04 Relisted — HCTCBOR
- 2025-11-26 Relisted — HCTCBOR
- 2025-11-26 Listed $150,000 HCTCBOR
- 2025-03-11 Relisted — HCTCBOR
- 2025-03-11 Price Changed $149,000 HCTCBOR
- 2024-12-02 Listed $129,000 HCTCBOR
- 2024-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2024-05-03 Sold (MLS) $55,000 HCTCBOR
- 2024-05-03 Sold (MLS) $55,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-15 Contingent — HCTCBOR
- 2024-04-15 Pending — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-03 Price Changed $99,000 HCTCBOR
- 2024-04-03 Price Changed $99,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-31 Listed $124,900 HCTCBOR
- 2023-10-31 Listed $124,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-04 Listed $124,900 HCTCBOR
Property tax history
-64.7%/yrLatest (2025): $122 · -87.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…