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7305 Old Madisonville Rd
C- Composite 52.45
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

7305 Old Madisonville Rd · Hopkinsville, KY 42240
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,515 sqft · Other · 180 Days on market
Built 1950 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! This three bedroom, one bathroom home has tenants in place and rents for $900/month. A spacious, open concept living & dining room feels even larger with a vaulted ceiling. Remodeled in 2024 with new HVAC, water heater, bathtub, fixtures, paint, and flooring. Nestled on a large corner lot just outside Hopkinsville in the beautiful and historic Kelly community. Pre-appraised. Lease contract is through January 31, 2027. Please allow 48 hour notice for showings and do not disturb tenants. Spring is around the corner--don't miss this exciting investment opportunity!

Key facts

  • Open concept living
  • Remodeled in 2024
  • Vaulted ceiling

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT LIVINGVAULTED CEILINGREMODELED IN 2024NEW HVACNEW WATER HEATERNEW BATHTUB

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $150k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.3% in Hopkinsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#305 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Christian County (town): math 30% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #93 of 165 in KY (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 193 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (66 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Christian County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $150k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.66%
Cash-on-cash
4.90%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-7,614
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$32,957
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42240

Home prices YoY
-17.5%
Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
252
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,529 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax est. 1.5%
$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$321
Net cashflow
$171

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,312
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-02-04
    status Active 598-char remark
    Show marketing remark (598 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! This three bedroom, one bathroom home has tenants in place and rents for $900/month. A spacious, open concept living & dining room feels even larger with a vaulted ceiling. Remodeled in 2024 with new HVAC, water heater, bathtub, fixtures, paint, and flooring. Nestled on a large corner lot just outside Hopkinsville in the beautiful and historic Kelly community. Pre-appraised. Lease contract is through January 31, 2027. Please allow 48 hour notice for showings and do not disturb tenants. Spring is around the corner--don't miss this exciting investment opportunity!

  2. 2025-11-26
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (598 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! This three bedroom, one bathroom home has tenants in place and rents for $900/month. A spacious, open concept living & dining room feels even larger with a vaulted ceiling. Remodeled in 2024 with new HVAC, water heater, bathtub, fixtures, paint, and flooring. Nestled on a large corner lot just outside Hopkinsville in the beautiful and historic Kelly community. Pre-appraised. Lease contract is through January 31, 2027. Please allow 48 hour notice for showings and do not disturb tenants. Spring is around the corner--don't miss this exciting investment opportunity!

  3. 2025-11-26
    listed $150,000 Active 598-char remark
    Show marketing remark (598 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! This three bedroom, one bathroom home has tenants in place and rents for $900/month. A spacious, open concept living & dining room feels even larger with a vaulted ceiling. Remodeled in 2024 with new HVAC, water heater, bathtub, fixtures, paint, and flooring. Nestled on a large corner lot just outside Hopkinsville in the beautiful and historic Kelly community. Pre-appraised. Lease contract is through January 31, 2027. Please allow 48 hour notice for showings and do not disturb tenants. Spring is around the corner--don't miss this exciting investment opportunity!

  4. 2025-03-11
    status Active
  5. 2025-03-11
    price $149,000
  6. 2024-12-02
    listed $129,000 Active
  7. 2024-05-07
    soldstatus $55,000
  8. 2024-05-03
    soldstatus $55,000 Closed
  9. 2024-05-03
    soldstatus $55,000 Closed
  10. 2024-04-15
    historical Active Under Contract
  11. 2024-04-15
    status Pending
  12. 2024-04-03
    price $99,000
  13. 2024-04-03
    price $99,000
  14. 2023-10-31
    listed $124,900 Active
  15. 2023-10-31
    listed $124,900 Active
  16. 2023-04-04
    listed $124,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,349
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,250
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,468
− Management
−$1,468
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$353
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$85
After-tax cash flow
$2,141/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This three-bedroom, one-bathroom home is in good condition with recent renovations, including new appliances, flooring, and HVAC. It is move-in ready and has tenants in place, making it a solid investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace old appliances with energy-efficient models — Modern appliances improve energy efficiency and appeal to potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase property value and attract tech-savvy buyers/tenants.
  • Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting enhances safety and curb appeal, making the property more attractive at night.
  • Both Upgrade flooring in bathrooms — Upgraded flooring in bathrooms can significantly improve the home's value and appeal to potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Add a small outdoor patio or seating area — An outdoor seating area can increase the home's appeal and value, especially for rental properties.
  • Both Install a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort, making the home more attractive to potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Add a small outdoor garden or landscaping feature — A small outdoor garden or landscaping feature can enhance the home's curb appeal and value, especially for rental properties.
  • Both Install a security system — A security system can improve safety and attract potential buyers/tenants, especially for rental properties.
  • Both Add a small outdoor garden or landscaping feature — A small outdoor garden or landscaping feature can enhance the home's curb appeal and value, especially for rental properties.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace old appliances with energy-efficient models — Modern appliances improve energy efficiency and appeal to potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase property value and attract tech-savvy buyers/tenants.
  • Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting enhances safety and curb appeal, making the property more attractive at night.
  • Both Upgrade flooring in bathrooms — Upgraded flooring in bathrooms can significantly improve the home's value and appeal to potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Add a small outdoor patio or seating area — An outdoor seating area can increase the home's appeal and value, especially for rental properties.
  • Both Install a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort, making the home more attractive to potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Add a small outdoor garden or landscaping feature — A small outdoor garden or landscaping feature can enhance the home's curb appeal and value, especially for rental properties.
  • Both Install a security system — A security system can improve safety and attract potential buyers/tenants, especially for rental properties.
  • Both Add a small outdoor garden or landscaping feature — A small outdoor garden or landscaping feature can enhance the home's curb appeal and value, especially for rental properties.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Christian County
NCES district ID
2101150
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$38,961
Composite
26.8/100
National rank
#7118
State rank
#93 of 165 in KY

Livability — Hopkinsville

Score
64/100
State rank
#305
US rank
#14474

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety B+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Christian County · 51,080 people
City population
41,415
Metro
Clarksville, TN-KY
Population (ZIP)
41,415
Household income
$51,534
Rent vs Own
46.8% rent · 53.2% own
Severe rent burden
1475.0

Population outlook (Christian County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
67,861 people
By 2030
65,808 · -3.0%
By 2040
60,090 · -11.5%
By 2050
54,561 · -19.6%
By 2075
45,859 · -32.4%
By 2100
38,310 · -43.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Christian

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.1% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-12.4pp toward R · 2008: -21.2pp · 2024: -33.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.6 2020: R+28.4 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+23.8 2008: R+21.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.36%
Current HPI
233.3958
Rent YoY
▲ 6.61%
Metro
Clarksville, TN-KY
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+20.1% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-04 Relisted HCTCBOR
  • 2025-11-26 Relisted HCTCBOR
  • 2025-11-26 Listed $150,000 HCTCBOR
  • 2025-03-11 Relisted HCTCBOR
  • 2025-03-11 Price Changed $149,000 HCTCBOR
  • 2024-12-02 Listed $129,000 HCTCBOR
  • 2024-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2024-05-03 Sold (MLS) $55,000 HCTCBOR
  • 2024-05-03 Sold (MLS) $55,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-15 Contingent HCTCBOR
  • 2024-04-15 Pending REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-03 Price Changed $99,000 HCTCBOR
  • 2024-04-03 Price Changed $99,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-31 Listed $124,900 HCTCBOR
  • 2023-10-31 Listed $124,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-04 Listed $124,900 HCTCBOR

Property tax history

-64.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $122 · -87.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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