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201 Sycamore St E
D Composite 43.69
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.1/30.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$270,000

201 Sycamore St E · Three Oaks, MI 49128
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,935 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 225 Days on market
Built 1910 8,765 sqft lot $140/sqft · 16% below area Est $316k · 15% under ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to 201 Sycamore East Street, located just a short distance from the heart of historic downtown Three Oaks, Michigan. This timeless 3 bedroom and 2 full bath residence has been held within the same family for nearly a century, offering a rare opportunity to own a piece of southwest Michigan's rich history. Featuring a traditional floor plan, this home boasts a spacious primary suite complete with wood parquet flooring, stone fireplace and private bath. The hardwood flooring in the living room and dining room are very pleasing to the eye adding warmth and character to each room. Just off the spacious kitchen is the sunroom where you can enjoy watching the sunset curled up with your favorite book or coffee. The second level with 2 bedrooms provides enough space to host your friends and family all year long. Enjoy the charm of small-town living with easy access to local shops, art galleries, antique stores, restaurants, and the beautiful Lake Michigan beaches just a shortdistance away. Perfect for full-time living or a weekend getaway, this home offers the perfect blend of location, history, and comfort. Don't miss your chance to own this Three Oaks treasure call today to arrange your private showing.

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Private bath
  • Sunroom

Tags

SPACIOUS PRIMARY SUITEWOOD PARQUET FLOORINGSTONE FIREPLACEPRIVATE BATHHARDWOOD FLOORINGSUNROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-107 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $251k (7.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (22.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $208k (22.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.5% in Three Oaks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#109 in MI, #2,625 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • River Valley School District (rural): math 30% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #171 of 540 in MI (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Chikaming Elementary School (114 students, 66% FRL); River Valley Middlehigh School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #264 of 713 statewide, top 41%, 287 students, 50% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 397 units permitted in Berrien County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berrien County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 225 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $208,401 (22.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 225 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.82%
Cash-on-cash
-1.70%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$315,835
List price
$270,000
Delta
-14.51%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
203 E Beech St 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,821 (-6%) 15mo $360,000 $198 70
402 S Elm St 0.52mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,900 (-2%) 10mo $409,000 $215 60
408 S Elm St 0.55mi 3/2.5 1,767 (-9%) 0mo $380,000 $215 58
409 Oak St 0.54mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,187 (+13%) 4mo $385,000 $176 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.1%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-50,604
Equity at exit
$40,258
10-year hold
IRR
-11.8%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-52,993
Equity at exit
$23,345

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49128

Home prices YoY
-23.9%
Active inventory
52
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,084 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax from tax record
$225 /mo · $2,699/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$438
Net cashflow
$-107

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,219
Max offer price $251,099
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $46 -5% $-31 +0% $-107 +5% $-183 +10% $-260
Rent -10% $-272 -5% $-189 +0% $-107 +5% $-25 +10% $58
Rate -1.0pp $29 -0.5pp $-38 base $-107 +0.5pp $-177 +1.0pp $-248

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,500
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 1229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1230 chars)

    Welcome home to 201 Sycamore East Street, located just a short distance from the heart of historic downtown Three Oaks, Michigan. This timeless 3 bedroom and 2 full bath residence has been held within the same family for nearly a century, offering a rare opportunity to own a piece of southwest Michigan's rich history. Featuring a traditional floor plan, this home boasts a spacious primary suite complete with wood parquet flooring, stone fireplace and private bath. The hardwood flooring in the living room and dining room are very pleasing to the eye adding warmth and character to each room. Just off the spacious kitchen is the sunroom where you can enjoy watching the sunset curled up with your favorite book or coffee. The second level with 2 bedrooms provides enough space to host your friends and family all year long. Enjoy the charm of small-town living with easy access to local shops, art galleries, antique stores, restaurants, and the beautiful Lake Michigan beaches just a short distance away. Perfect for full-time living or a weekend getaway, this home offers the perfect blend of location, history, and comfort. Don't miss your chance to own this Three Oaks treasure call today to arrange your private showing.

  2. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 1230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1230 chars)

    Welcome home to 201 Sycamore East Street, located just a short distance from the heart of historic downtown Three Oaks, Michigan. This timeless 3 bedroom and 2 full bath residence has been held within the same family for nearly a century, offering a rare opportunity to own a piece of southwest Michigan's rich history. Featuring a traditional floor plan, this home boasts a spacious primary suite complete with wood parquet flooring, stone fireplace and private bath. The hardwood flooring in the living room and dining room are very pleasing to the eye adding warmth and character to each room. Just off the spacious kitchen is the sunroom where you can enjoy watching the sunset curled up with your favorite book or coffee. The second level with 2 bedrooms provides enough space to host your friends and family all year long. Enjoy the charm of small-town living with easy access to local shops, art galleries, antique stores, restaurants, and the beautiful Lake Michigan beaches just a short distance away. Perfect for full-time living or a weekend getaway, this home offers the perfect blend of location, history, and comfort. Don't miss your chance to own this Three Oaks treasure call today to arrange your private showing.

  3. 2026-01-15
    price $270,000 1229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1230 chars)

    Welcome home to 201 Sycamore East Street, located just a short distance from the heart of historic downtown Three Oaks, Michigan. This timeless 3 bedroom and 2 full bath residence has been held within the same family for nearly a century, offering a rare opportunity to own a piece of southwest Michigan's rich history. Featuring a traditional floor plan, this home boasts a spacious primary suite complete with wood parquet flooring, stone fireplace and private bath. The hardwood flooring in the living room and dining room are very pleasing to the eye adding warmth and character to each room. Just off the spacious kitchen is the sunroom where you can enjoy watching the sunset curled up with your favorite book or coffee. The second level with 2 bedrooms provides enough space to host your friends and family all year long. Enjoy the charm of small-town living with easy access to local shops, art galleries, antique stores, restaurants, and the beautiful Lake Michigan beaches just a short distance away. Perfect for full-time living or a weekend getaway, this home offers the perfect blend of location, history, and comfort. Don't miss your chance to own this Three Oaks treasure call today to arrange your private showing.

  4. 2026-01-15
    price $270,000 1230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1230 chars)

    Welcome home to 201 Sycamore East Street, located just a short distance from the heart of historic downtown Three Oaks, Michigan. This timeless 3 bedroom and 2 full bath residence has been held within the same family for nearly a century, offering a rare opportunity to own a piece of southwest Michigan's rich history. Featuring a traditional floor plan, this home boasts a spacious primary suite complete with wood parquet flooring, stone fireplace and private bath. The hardwood flooring in the living room and dining room are very pleasing to the eye adding warmth and character to each room. Just off the spacious kitchen is the sunroom where you can enjoy watching the sunset curled up with your favorite book or coffee. The second level with 2 bedrooms provides enough space to host your friends and family all year long. Enjoy the charm of small-town living with easy access to local shops, art galleries, antique stores, restaurants, and the beautiful Lake Michigan beaches just a short distance away. Perfect for full-time living or a weekend getaway, this home offers the perfect blend of location, history, and comfort. Don't miss your chance to own this Three Oaks treasure call today to arrange your private showing.

  5. 2025-09-30
    listed $299,000 Active 1229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1230 chars)

    Welcome home to 201 Sycamore East Street, located just a short distance from the heart of historic downtown Three Oaks, Michigan. This timeless 3 bedroom and 2 full bath residence has been held within the same family for nearly a century, offering a rare opportunity to own a piece of southwest Michigan's rich history. Featuring a traditional floor plan, this home boasts a spacious primary suite complete with wood parquet flooring, stone fireplace and private bath. The hardwood flooring in the living room and dining room are very pleasing to the eye adding warmth and character to each room. Just off the spacious kitchen is the sunroom where you can enjoy watching the sunset curled up with your favorite book or coffee. The second level with 2 bedrooms provides enough space to host your friends and family all year long. Enjoy the charm of small-town living with easy access to local shops, art galleries, antique stores, restaurants, and the beautiful Lake Michigan beaches just a short distance away. Perfect for full-time living or a weekend getaway, this home offers the perfect blend of location, history, and comfort. Don't miss your chance to own this Three Oaks treasure call today to arrange your private showing.

  6. 2025-09-30
    listed $299,000 Active 1230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1230 chars)

    Welcome home to 201 Sycamore East Street, located just a short distance from the heart of historic downtown Three Oaks, Michigan. This timeless 3 bedroom and 2 full bath residence has been held within the same family for nearly a century, offering a rare opportunity to own a piece of southwest Michigan's rich history. Featuring a traditional floor plan, this home boasts a spacious primary suite complete with wood parquet flooring, stone fireplace and private bath. The hardwood flooring in the living room and dining room are very pleasing to the eye adding warmth and character to each room. Just off the spacious kitchen is the sunroom where you can enjoy watching the sunset curled up with your favorite book or coffee. The second level with 2 bedrooms provides enough space to host your friends and family all year long. Enjoy the charm of small-town living with easy access to local shops, art galleries, antique stores, restaurants, and the beautiful Lake Michigan beaches just a short distance away. Perfect for full-time living or a weekend getaway, this home offers the perfect blend of location, history, and comfort. Don't miss your chance to own this Three Oaks treasure call today to arrange your private showing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,699 · $225/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,429 · $286/mo
Expected delta
+$729/yr (+$61/mo · 27.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,008
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$2,699
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,001
− Management
−$2,001
− Depreciation
−$7,855
Taxable loss
−$6,021
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,445
After-tax cash flow
$161/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
River Valley School District
NCES district ID
2629790
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$47,899
Composite
36.67/100
National rank
#4609
State rank
#171 of 540 in MI

Livability — Three Oaks

Score
78/100
State rank
#109
US rank
#2625

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Three Oaks, MI
Population (ZIP)
3,461

Population outlook (Berrien County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
149,273 people
By 2030
145,211 · -2.7%
By 2040
135,435 · -9.3%
By 2050
125,543 · -15.9%
By 2075
103,986 · -30.3%
By 2100
82,256 · -44.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Iranian 6% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Berrien

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.9) · D 45.4% · R 53.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-13.3pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -7.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+7.9 2020: R+7.4 2016: R+12.7 2012: R+6.6 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.74%
Current HPI
273.5945
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-13 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $270,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $270,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-09-30 Listed $299,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-30 Listed $299,000 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

+7.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,699 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…