622 Scoggins St · Summerville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nestled in a peaceful neighborhood ,this charming fixer-upper features a lovely. spacious Yard. Its a blank canvas for customization all while offering tranquillity and comfort
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- 0.41 acre lot
- Parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $333 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 3.4% in Summerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#364 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Chattooga County (rural): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #140 of 174 in GA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Leroy Massey Elementary School (math 13% / reading 18%, grade F, #973 of 1,228 statewide, top 80%, 814 students, 83% FRL); Summerville Middle School (math 12% / reading 23%, grade F, #377 of 470 statewide, top 81%, 384 students, 80% FRL); Chattooga High School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #184 of 424 statewide, top 48%, 713 students, 65% FRL).
- Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Chattooga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chattooga County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 271 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 271 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.84%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $156,074
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -48.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94 Orchard Rd | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (+1%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $179 | 67 |
| 31 Bittings Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+7%) | 8mo | $237,000 | $195 | 62 |
| 141 Bittings Ave | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,234 (+9%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $36 | 58 |
| 387 Fourth St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,104 (-3%) | 17mo | $95,000 | $86 | 48 |
| 46 Megginson Dr | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 982 (-14%) | 1mo | $152,000 | $155 | 48 |
| 297 Farrar Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,229 (+8%) | 11mo | $115,000 | $94 | 47 |
| 400 Fourth St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,174 (+3%) | 13mo | $90,000 | $77 | 44 |
| 5 Megginson Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 972 (-14%) | 20mo | $163,000 | $168 | 36 |
| 5 Megginson Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 972 (-14%) | 20mo | $163,000 | $168 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $8,227
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $34,405
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30747
- Home prices YoY
- -11.0%
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,055 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $572/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $333
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $378 | -5% $356 | +0% $333 | +5% $310 | +10% $288 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $250 | -5% $291 | +0% $333 | +5% $375 | +10% $416 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $373 | -0.5pp $353 | base $333 | +0.5pp $312 | +1.0pp $291 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $80,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $80,000 Active 269 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 268 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $80,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $80,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $80,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-02-23status Under Contract 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
Nestled in a peaceful neighborhood ,this charming fixer-upper features a lovely. spacious Yard. Its a blank canvas for customization all while offering tranquillity and comfort
-
2025-09-30status Back On Market 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
Nestled in a peaceful neighborhood ,this charming fixer-upper features a lovely. spacious Yard. Its a blank canvas for customization all while offering tranquillity and comfort
-
2025-09-30status Active 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
Nestled in a peaceful neighborhood ,this charming fixer-upper features a lovely. spacious Yard. Its a blank canvas for customization all while offering tranquillity and comfort
-
2025-09-29status Active 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
Nestled in a peaceful neighborhood ,this charming fixer-upper features a lovely. spacious Yard. Its a blank canvas for customization all while offering tranquillity and comfort
-
2025-09-20status Pending Offer Approval 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
Nestled in a peaceful neighborhood ,this charming fixer-upper features a lovely. spacious Yard. Its a blank canvas for customization all while offering tranquillity and comfort
-
2025-08-19historical
-
2025-08-14$80,000 New 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
Nestled in a peaceful neighborhood ,this charming fixer-upper features a lovely. spacious Yard. Its a blank canvas for customization all while offering tranquillity and comfort
-
2025-08-14$80,000 Active 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
Nestled in a peaceful neighborhood ,this charming fixer-upper features a lovely. spacious Yard. Its a blank canvas for customization all while offering tranquillity and comfort
-
2025-08-14$80,000 New
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
Nestled in a peaceful neighborhood ,this charming fixer-upper features a lovely. spacious Yard. Its a blank canvas for customization all while offering tranquillity and comfort
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $572 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $736 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- +$164/yr (+$14/mo · 28.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,661
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$572
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,013
- − Management
- −$1,013
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $2,854
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$685
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,311/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chattooga County
- NCES district ID
- 1301080
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,123
- Composite
- 17.93/100
- National rank
- #8996
- State rank
- #140 of 174 in GA
Livability — Summerville
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #364
- US rank
- #18649
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Summerville, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,720
Population outlook (Chattooga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,451 people
- By 2030
- 22,595 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 20,808 · -11.3%
- By 2050
- 19,079 · -18.6%
- By 2075
- 15,131 · -35.5%
- By 2100
- 10,904 · -53.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chattooga
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.2) · D 17.7% · R 81.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.4pp toward R · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -64.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.2 2020: R+61.8 2016: R+58.8 2012: R+41.3 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.83%
- Current HPI
- 249.4655
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-23 Pending — GAMLS
- 2025-09-30 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2025-09-30 Relisted — FMLS
- 2025-09-29 Relisted — FMLS
- 2025-09-20 Pending — GAMLS
- 2025-08-19 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-08-14 Listed $80,000 GAMLS
- 2025-08-14 Listed $80,000 FMLS
- 2025-08-14 Listed $80,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $572 · +29.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…