None · Whitehouse, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.1/30.0
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Incredible investment opportunity! This 1,010 sq. ft. brick ranch near Whitehouse schools and Lake Tyler is ready for a full refresh. Built in 1982, it features 3 beds, 1.5 baths, and an open living/kitchen area. The kitchen offers granite counters and stainless steel appliances, while the backyard boasts an inground pool and covered patio. With some sweat equity, this distressed gem in an established neighborhood will shine again. Sold "as is" and perfect for investors or DIY buyers looking to build instant equity!
Key facts
- Covered patio
- Inground pool
- Granite counters
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $160k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $141 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (1.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.7% in Whitehouse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#55 in TX, #2,180 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Whitehouse ISD (suburban): math 68% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #38 of 826 in TX (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.78%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $186,443
- List price
- $160,000
- Delta
- -14.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-17,013
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,539
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75791
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,578 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$200 /mo · $2,400/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $141
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 Shady Ln Whitehouse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 806 Fleetwood Whitehouse, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $1,050 | $1.02 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 804 Fleetwood Whitehouse, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $1,025 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 820 Lindsey Ln Whitehouse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $1,895 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 210 Memory Ln Whitehouse, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,050 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 308 Hanks St Whitehouse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,650 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 703 Memory Ln Whitehouse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,700 | $1.31 | 13d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 531-char remark
Show marketing remark (531 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity! This 1,010 sq. ft. brick ranch near Whitehouse schools and Lake Tyler is ready for a full refresh. Built in 1982, it features 3 beds, 1.5 baths, and an open living/kitchen area. The kitchen offers granite counters and stainless steel appliances, while the backyard boasts an inground pool and covered patio. With some sweat equity, this distressed gem in an established neighborhood will shine again. Sold "as is" and perfect for investors or DIY buyers looking to build instant equity!
-
2026-04-14price $160,000 531-char remark
Show marketing remark (531 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity! This 1,010 sq. ft. brick ranch near Whitehouse schools and Lake Tyler is ready for a full refresh. Built in 1982, it features 3 beds, 1.5 baths, and an open living/kitchen area. The kitchen offers granite counters and stainless steel appliances, while the backyard boasts an inground pool and covered patio. With some sweat equity, this distressed gem in an established neighborhood will shine again. Sold "as is" and perfect for investors or DIY buyers looking to build instant equity!
-
2026-03-12price $176,000 531-char remark
Show marketing remark (531 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity! This 1,010 sq. ft. brick ranch near Whitehouse schools and Lake Tyler is ready for a full refresh. Built in 1982, it features 3 beds, 1.5 baths, and an open living/kitchen area. The kitchen offers granite counters and stainless steel appliances, while the backyard boasts an inground pool and covered patio. With some sweat equity, this distressed gem in an established neighborhood will shine again. Sold "as is" and perfect for investors or DIY buyers looking to build instant equity!
-
2026-02-10price $191,000 531-char remark
Show marketing remark (531 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity! This 1,010 sq. ft. brick ranch near Whitehouse schools and Lake Tyler is ready for a full refresh. Built in 1982, it features 3 beds, 1.5 baths, and an open living/kitchen area. The kitchen offers granite counters and stainless steel appliances, while the backyard boasts an inground pool and covered patio. With some sweat equity, this distressed gem in an established neighborhood will shine again. Sold "as is" and perfect for investors or DIY buyers looking to build instant equity!
-
2026-01-05$200,950 Active 531-char remark
Show marketing remark (531 chars)
Incredible investment opportunity! This 1,010 sq. ft. brick ranch near Whitehouse schools and Lake Tyler is ready for a full refresh. Built in 1982, it features 3 beds, 1.5 baths, and an open living/kitchen area. The kitchen offers granite counters and stainless steel appliances, while the backyard boasts an inground pool and covered patio. With some sweat equity, this distressed gem in an established neighborhood will shine again. Sold "as is" and perfect for investors or DIY buyers looking to build instant equity!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,939
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$2,400
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,515
- − Management
- −$1,515
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$909
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$218
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,911/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
This 1982 brick ranch requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Key areas for improvement include painting, landscaping, and HVAC maintenance.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Slight wear
- Minor Bathroom cabinets — Slight wear
- Minor Landscaping — Overgrowth
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and property value
- Both HVAC maintenance — Regular maintenance ensures efficient operation and extends lifespan
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom cabinets · Slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Landscaping · Overgrowth | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both HVAC maintenance — Regular maintenance ensures efficient operation and extends lifespan ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Whitehouse ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845600
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,060
- Composite
- 55.18/100
- National rank
- #1274
- State rank
- #38 of 826 in TX
Livability — Whitehouse
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #2180
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Whitehouse, TX
- County
- Smith County · 180,570 people
- City population
- 15,786
- Metro
- Tyler, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,786
- Household income
- $92,107
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 313.0
Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,890 people
- By 2030
- 261,665 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 286,114 · +15.0%
- By 2050
- 308,006 · +23.8%
- By 2075
- 354,171 · +42.3%
- By 2100
- 372,828 · +49.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Smith
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.16%
- Current HPI
- 201.297
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- Metro
- Tyler, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-20.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — GTAR
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $160,000 GTAR
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $176,000 GTAR
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $191,000 GTAR
- 2026-01-05 Listed $200,950 GTAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…