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4404 12th Street Ct E
B+ Composite 77.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

4404 12th Street Ct E · Ellenton, FL 34222
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1973 3,703 sqft lot Est $123k · 15% under $50/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Best value home in the Tidevue Estates! Lovely well maintained 2 bed/2 bath features beautiful engineered hardwood, ceramic tile & stone floors throughout. The updated kitchen includes an electric stove, refrigerator, dishwasher and microwave, plus white wood cabinets w/ pull out shelves. The furnished living room boasts of plenty of room to entertain w/ a sliding glass door to the FL room. The master bed room offers a walk-in closet & the master bath has a large walk-in shower. The 2nd bedroom also has its own private door to its own bathroom. The shed in the car port has a washer, dryer, sink, work bench and room for storage. Stove, refrigerator, dishwasher, washer/dryer and furniture included. This property is being sold AS IS with right to inspect. New AC in 2015. Extended carport 2019. And straps all around the house protective from hurricanes so the house will not blow away. TIDEVUE Estates: 55 yr & older park; You own the lot. No lot rent. $38/month association fee. Ideal place to live because this resident-owned community includes a heated swimming pool, shuffleboard courts, parks, recreation areas, etc; The clubhouse includes the office, a large, well-stocked library, crafts room, kitchen, billiard room, laundry, large hall with stage and a first class exercise room; 2 parks and 3 lakes. Activities run by volunteers, i. e. cards, dancing, exercise classes, golf, dance lessons, shuffleboard, helicopter club, pickle ball, and more. Many banks, grocery stores, USPS & restaurants w/ i 5 miles.

Key facts

  • 3,703 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Partially furnished; Total acreage: less than 1/4 acre
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Has HOA (Tidevue Estates Civic Organization); HOA fee $600 annually ($50/month); Association approval required; Association fee covers common area taxes, pool, escrow reserves; Community amenities: owned recreation, fitness center, park, pool, tennis courts, golf carts allowed; Deed restrictions; Buyer approval required; Senior community; No pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; Double wide; Single-story; Faces southeast
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Frame construction; Metal roof; Built on foundation
  • Exterior features: Porch (screened); Private mailbox; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Range hood; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Wood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Open floorplan; Thermostat; Window treatments; Sliding doors
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Outdoor laundry access; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.4% vs local median 4.5% in Ellenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#232 in FL, #3,666 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Blackburn Elementary School (math 62% / reading 42%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 551 students, 78% FRL); Palmetto High School (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #456 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 2,100 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 51% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 185 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,552/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 313% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $101,850 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.43%
Cap rate
20.43%
Cash-on-cash
50.50%
DSCR
3.25
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$122,880
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4212 13th St E 0.09mi 2/2.0 960 (0%) 2mo $175,000 $182 94
1005 45th Ave E 0.13mi 2/2.0 960 (0%) 4mo $100,000 $104 90
1210 44th Avenue Dr E 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,008 (+5%) 2mo $130,000 $129 89
1224 41st Avenue Dr E 0.20mi 2/2.0 963 (+0%) 4mo $125,000 $130 86
1204 43rd Ave E 0.07mi 2/2.0 903 (-6%) 4mo $73,500 $81 83
1208 45th Avenue Dr E 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,008 (+5%) 5mo $65,000 $64 83
1432 41st Ave E 0.24mi 2/1.5 1,000 (+4%) 3mo $189,000 $189 77
1206 45th Avenue Dr E 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+10%) 2mo $135,000 $128 77
4207 13th St E 0.13mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+10%) 3mo $123,000 $116 75
4508 14th St E 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+10%) 3mo $110,000 $104 75
4119 13th St E 0.15mi 2/2.0 1,056 (+10%) 7mo $109,000 $103 71
4208 13th St E 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,086 (+13%) 14mo $190,000 $175 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.3%
Equity multiple
3.10×
Total profit
$61,854
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
53.9%
Equity multiple
6.29×
Total profit
$155,615
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34222

Home prices YoY
-26.9%
Active inventory
185
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,552 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$135 /mo · $1,616/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$50
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$536
Net cashflow
$1,237

Break-even live

Break-even rent $986
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,297 -5% $1,267 +0% $1,237 +5% $1,207 +10% $1,178
Rent -10% $1,036 -5% $1,136 +0% $1,237 +5% $1,338 +10% $1,439
Rate -1.0pp $1,290 -0.5pp $1,264 base $1,237 +0.5pp $1,210 +1.0pp $1,182

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5021 US Highway 301 N Ellenton, FL 3.0 2.5 861 $3,900 $4.53 4d 1 0.38mi
4180 Yardly Dr Palmetto, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1021 $2,498 $2.45 4d 15 0.44mi
4403 7th St E #4 Ellenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1079 $2,700 $2.50 25d 1 0.49mi
1651 36th Ave E Ellenton, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 804 $1,397 $1.74 4d 13 0.70mi
5942 Factory Shops Blvd Ellenton, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 953 $2,362 $2.48 3d 67 1.14mi
2710 59th Dr E Ellenton, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1149 $2,234 $1.94 4d 37 1.33mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$50 · $600/yr
Likely covers
electricpool

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-13
    price $105,000
  3. 2026-04-04
    listed $115,000 Active
  4. 2020-01-31
    soldstatus $100,000 Sold 1547-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1547 chars)

    Best value home in the Tidevue Estates! Lovely well maintained 2 bed/2 bath features beautiful engineered hardwood, ceramic tile & stone floors throughout. The updated kitchen includes an electric stove, refrigerator, dishwasher and microwave, plus white wood cabinets w/ pull out shelves. The furnished living room boasts of plenty of room to entertain w/ a sliding glass door to the FL room. The master bed room offers a walk-in closet & the master bath has a large walk-in shower. The 2nd bedroom also has its own private door to its own bathroom. The shed in the car port has a washer, dryer, sink, work bench and room for storage. Stove, refrigerator, dishwasher, washer/dryer and furniture included. This property is being sold AS IS with right to inspect. New AC in 2015. Extended carport 2019. And straps all around the house protective from hurricanes so the house will not blow away. TIDEVUE Estates: 55 yr & older park; You own the lot. No lot rent. $38/month association fee. Ideal place to live because this resident-owned community includes a heated swimming pool, shuffleboard courts, parks, recreation areas, etc; The clubhouse includes the office, a large, well-stocked library, crafts room, kitchen, billiard room, laundry, large hall with stage and a first class exercise room; 2 parks and 3 lakes. Activities run by volunteers, i. e. cards, dancing, exercise classes, golf, dance lessons, shuffleboard, helicopter club, pickle ball, and more. Many banks, grocery stores, USPS & restaurants w/ i 5 miles.

  5. 2020-01-31
    soldstatus $100,000
    Show marketing remark (1547 chars)

    Best value home in the Tidevue Estates! Lovely well maintained 2 bed/2 bath features beautiful engineered hardwood, ceramic tile & stone floors throughout. The updated kitchen includes an electric stove, refrigerator, dishwasher and microwave, plus white wood cabinets w/ pull out shelves. The furnished living room boasts of plenty of room to entertain w/ a sliding glass door to the FL room. The master bed room offers a walk-in closet & the master bath has a large walk-in shower. The 2nd bedroom also has its own private door to its own bathroom. The shed in the car port has a washer, dryer, sink, work bench and room for storage. Stove, refrigerator, dishwasher, washer/dryer and furniture included. This property is being sold AS IS with right to inspect. New AC in 2015. Extended carport 2019. And straps all around the house protective from hurricanes so the house will not blow away. TIDEVUE Estates: 55 yr & older park; You own the lot. No lot rent. $38/month association fee. Ideal place to live because this resident-owned community includes a heated swimming pool, shuffleboard courts, parks, recreation areas, etc; The clubhouse includes the office, a large, well-stocked library, crafts room, kitchen, billiard room, laundry, large hall with stage and a first class exercise room; 2 parks and 3 lakes. Activities run by volunteers, i. e. cards, dancing, exercise classes, golf, dance lessons, shuffleboard, helicopter club, pickle ball, and more. Many banks, grocery stores, USPS & restaurants w/ i 5 miles.

  6. 2020-01-06
    price $115,000 1547-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1547 chars)

    Best value home in the Tidevue Estates! Lovely well maintained 2 bed/2 bath features beautiful engineered hardwood, ceramic tile & stone floors throughout. The updated kitchen includes an electric stove, refrigerator, dishwasher and microwave, plus white wood cabinets w/ pull out shelves. The furnished living room boasts of plenty of room to entertain w/ a sliding glass door to the FL room. The master bed room offers a walk-in closet & the master bath has a large walk-in shower. The 2nd bedroom also has its own private door to its own bathroom. The shed in the car port has a washer, dryer, sink, work bench and room for storage. Stove, refrigerator, dishwasher, washer/dryer and furniture included. This property is being sold AS IS with right to inspect. New AC in 2015. Extended carport 2019. And straps all around the house protective from hurricanes so the house will not blow away. TIDEVUE Estates: 55 yr & older park; You own the lot. No lot rent. $38/month association fee. Ideal place to live because this resident-owned community includes a heated swimming pool, shuffleboard courts, parks, recreation areas, etc; The clubhouse includes the office, a large, well-stocked library, crafts room, kitchen, billiard room, laundry, large hall with stage and a first class exercise room; 2 parks and 3 lakes. Activities run by volunteers, i. e. cards, dancing, exercise classes, golf, dance lessons, shuffleboard, helicopter club, pickle ball, and more. Many banks, grocery stores, USPS & restaurants w/ i 5 miles.

  7. 2019-11-11
    price $119,000 1547-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1547 chars)

    Best value home in the Tidevue Estates! Lovely well maintained 2 bed/2 bath features beautiful engineered hardwood, ceramic tile & stone floors throughout. The updated kitchen includes an electric stove, refrigerator, dishwasher and microwave, plus white wood cabinets w/ pull out shelves. The furnished living room boasts of plenty of room to entertain w/ a sliding glass door to the FL room. The master bed room offers a walk-in closet & the master bath has a large walk-in shower. The 2nd bedroom also has its own private door to its own bathroom. The shed in the car port has a washer, dryer, sink, work bench and room for storage. Stove, refrigerator, dishwasher, washer/dryer and furniture included. This property is being sold AS IS with right to inspect. New AC in 2015. Extended carport 2019. And straps all around the house protective from hurricanes so the house will not blow away. TIDEVUE Estates: 55 yr & older park; You own the lot. No lot rent. $38/month association fee. Ideal place to live because this resident-owned community includes a heated swimming pool, shuffleboard courts, parks, recreation areas, etc; The clubhouse includes the office, a large, well-stocked library, crafts room, kitchen, billiard room, laundry, large hall with stage and a first class exercise room; 2 parks and 3 lakes. Activities run by volunteers, i. e. cards, dancing, exercise classes, golf, dance lessons, shuffleboard, helicopter club, pickle ball, and more. Many banks, grocery stores, USPS & restaurants w/ i 5 miles.

  8. 2019-06-28
    listed $122,900 Active 1547-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1547 chars)

    Best value home in the Tidevue Estates! Lovely well maintained 2 bed/2 bath features beautiful engineered hardwood, ceramic tile & stone floors throughout. The updated kitchen includes an electric stove, refrigerator, dishwasher and microwave, plus white wood cabinets w/ pull out shelves. The furnished living room boasts of plenty of room to entertain w/ a sliding glass door to the FL room. The master bed room offers a walk-in closet & the master bath has a large walk-in shower. The 2nd bedroom also has its own private door to its own bathroom. The shed in the car port has a washer, dryer, sink, work bench and room for storage. Stove, refrigerator, dishwasher, washer/dryer and furniture included. This property is being sold AS IS with right to inspect. New AC in 2015. Extended carport 2019. And straps all around the house protective from hurricanes so the house will not blow away. TIDEVUE Estates: 55 yr & older park; You own the lot. No lot rent. $38/month association fee. Ideal place to live because this resident-owned community includes a heated swimming pool, shuffleboard courts, parks, recreation areas, etc; The clubhouse includes the office, a large, well-stocked library, crafts room, kitchen, billiard room, laundry, large hall with stage and a first class exercise room; 2 parks and 3 lakes. Activities run by volunteers, i. e. cards, dancing, exercise classes, golf, dance lessons, shuffleboard, helicopter club, pickle ball, and more. Many banks, grocery stores, USPS & restaurants w/ i 5 miles.

  9. 2014-12-05
    soldstatus $60,000
  10. 2012-01-24
    soldstatus $59,000
  11. 2012-01-18
    soldstatus $59,000 578-char remark
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    MOVE-IN READY! 2 bed room 2 bath home in Tidevue Estates. Just a short walk to the pool and club house, this home features a updated kitchen with Bosch dishwasher and stove, light wood cabinets with pull out shelves. The beautifully furnishedliving room features an electic fire place, plenty of room to entertain and sliding door to the lanai. The master bed room offers a walk-in closet and the master bath has a large walk-in shower. The shed in the car port has a washer, dryer, sink, work bench and room for storage. This property is being sold AS IS with right to inspect.

  12. 2011-08-29
    listed $62,000 578-char remark
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    MOVE-IN READY! 2 bed room 2 bath home in Tidevue Estates. Just a short walk to the pool and club house, this home features a updated kitchen with Bosch dishwasher and stove, light wood cabinets with pull out shelves. The beautifully furnishedliving room features an electic fire place, plenty of room to entertain and sliding door to the lanai. The master bed room offers a walk-in closet and the master bath has a large walk-in shower. The shed in the car port has a washer, dryer, sink, work bench and room for storage. This property is being sold AS IS with right to inspect.

  13. 2010-11-10
    historical
  14. 2010-07-24
    listed $79,900
  15. 2009-11-12
    soldstatus $50,000
  16. 2008-06-27
    listed $49,000
  17. 2007-11-30
    listed $88,000
  18. 2007-01-02
    soldstatus $82,500
  19. 2006-12-29
    soldstatus $82,500
  20. 2006-01-14
    listed $89,900
  21. 1991-01-31
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,616 · $135/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,616 · $135/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 57% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,627
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,616
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,450
− Management
−$2,450
− HOA
−$600
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$14,049
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,372
After-tax cash flow
$11,475/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manatee
NCES district ID
1201230
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,607
Composite
44.43/100
National rank
#2806
State rank
#26 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ellenton

Score
76/100
State rank
#232
US rank
#3666

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ellenton, FL
County
Manatee County · 416,364 people
City population
14,819
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
14,819
Household income
$64,355
Rent vs Own
21.9% rent · 78.1% own
Severe rent burden
313.0

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,342 people
By 2030
488,911 · +9.3%
By 2040
567,934 · +27.0%
By 2050
637,995 · +42.6%
By 2075
781,970 · +74.8%
By 2100
848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 13% Black 7% Native American 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.75%
Current HPI
293.2597
Rent YoY
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+133.3% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $105,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-04 Listed $115,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2020-01-31 Sold (MLS) $100,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-06 Price Changed $115,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-11-11 Price Changed $119,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-06-28 Listed $122,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2012-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
  • 2012-01-18 Sold (MLS) $59,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-08-29 Listed $62,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-11-10 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-07-24 Listed $79,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-11-12 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-06-27 Listed $49,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-11-30 Listed $88,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
  • 2006-12-29 Sold (MLS) $82,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-01-14 Listed $89,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1991-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,616 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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