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210 3rd Ave SW
B- Composite 69.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

210 3rd Ave SW · Baudette, MN 56623
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,312 sqft · SingleFamily · 9 Days on market
Built 1984 0.48 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable 3 bedroom 2 bath home on large lot in West Baudette.

Key facts

  • Large deck
  • Almost a 1/2 an acre
  • Enclosed back porch

Tags

ALMOST A 1/2 AN ACRELARGE DECKENCLOSED BACK PORCHWORKBENCHUPDATED WINDOWSNEWER FLOORING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Utilities: City water connected (city water in street, shared system); City sewer connected (city sewer in street, shared septic); Circuit breaker electric; Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential manufactured home; Single-story; Entry on main level; Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Frame construction; Built or roof replaced within last 8 years; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Foundation dimensions approximately 16 x 76
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Rear porch; Deck; Storage shed; Medium tree coverage; Road frontage on paved county road; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Range; Refrigerator; Freezer; Exhaust fan
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath on main floor; 3/4 primary bath
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Cooktop; Range; Refrigerator; Freezer; Exhaust fan; Electric water heater; Kitchen and dining combined; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located in hall

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#243 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lake Of The Woods School District (rural): math 30% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #259 of 301 in MN (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lake of The Woods Elementary (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #604 of 857 statewide, top 74%, 255 students, 45% FRL); Lake of The Woods Secondary (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #369 of 471 statewide, top 79%, 191 students, 40% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Lake of the Woods County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake of the Woods County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $75k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.46%
Cash-on-cash
22.02%
DSCR
1.98
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$12,396
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
23.5%
Equity multiple
3.02×
Total profit
$42,428
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56623

Home prices YoY
-15.0%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,126 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $956/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$385

Break-even live

Break-even rent $638
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $428 -5% $407 +0% $385 +5% $364 +10% $343
Rent -10% $296 -5% $341 +0% $385 +5% $430 +10% $474
Rate -1.0pp $423 -0.5pp $404 base $385 +0.5pp $366 +1.0pp $346

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $75,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    remarks 680-char remark
  9. 2026-06-13
    listed $75,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$956 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$956 · $80/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,512
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$956
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,081
− Management
−$1,081
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$3,636
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$873
After-tax cash flow
$3,751/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake Of The Woods School District
NCES district ID
2717570
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$45,937
Composite
29.52/100
National rank
#6498
State rank
#259 of 301 in MN

Livability — Baudette

Score
73/100
State rank
#243
US rank
#5219

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baudette, MN
Population (ZIP)
2,684

Population outlook (Lake of the Woods County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,706 people
By 2030
3,565 · -3.8%
By 2040
3,224 · -13.0%
By 2050
2,957 · -20.2%
By 2075
2,685 · -27.5%
By 2100
2,544 · -31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 7%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 22% Scottish 6% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake of the Woods

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.8% · R 72.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-33.9pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -47.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.1 2020: R+42.9 2016: R+44.3 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+13.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -32.47%
Current HPI
184.2846
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+74.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $75,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-06-26 Sold (MLS) $37,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-06-13 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-12-31 Listed $43,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+8.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $956 · -4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…