5803 Mission Blvd · Jurupa Valley, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 27 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 32 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.4
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming mobile home located at 5803 Mission Blvd in Jurupa Valley! Perfectly situated in a central location, this home offers easy access to shopping centers, the Rubidoux Swap Meet, and major freeways including the 60 and 91. Enjoy being just minutes from Downtown Riverside, schools, colleges, and the popular Mt. Rubidoux recreation area. With its convenient location and great surroundings, this home is a wonderful place to start creating unforgettable memories.
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Open dining area
- Fenced yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $894 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 3.1% in Jurupa Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,170 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Jurupa Unified (suburban): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #953 of 1,400 in CA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: West Riverside Elementary (600 students, 88% FRL); Mission Middle (694 students, 89% FRL); Rubidoux High (1,407 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 64% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 233 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 30d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.56%
- DSCR
- 2.89
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $117,075
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -23.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5803 Mission Blvd Blvd #74 | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-8%) | 10mo | $118,000 | $123 | 78 |
| 3319 Avalon St #101 | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (0%) | 12mo | $110,000 | $106 | 74 |
| 3319 Avalon St #39 | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 980 (-6%) | 1mo | $179,900 | $184 | 69 |
| 3661 Pacific Ave #36 | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (0%) | 17mo | $92,000 | $88 | 57 |
| 6154 Mission Blvd #65 | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 900 (-14%) | 0mo | $179,900 | $200 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $39,303
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 43.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.79×
- Total profit
- $95,459
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active · 2 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $145,000 ($167/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 237 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -32.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 92509
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 233
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,802 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $239/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $894
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $945 | -5% $919 | +0% $894 | +5% $868 | +10% $843 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $752 | -5% $823 | +0% $894 | +5% $965 | +10% $1,036 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $939 | -0.5pp $917 | base $894 | +0.5pp $871 | +1.0pp $847 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3701 Mintern St Unit 3701 Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,995 | $2.28 | 93d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4184 Pacific Ave Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $3,375 | $2.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4006 Mennes Ave Unit 4006 Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,495 | $1.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4330 Pacific Ave Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $3,300 | $3.63 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5943 Limonite Ave Unit C Riverside, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,600 | $2.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5943 Limonite Ave Unit D Riverside, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,500 | $2.14 | 29d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5286 Odell St Unit C Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,400 | $2.40 | 93d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3825 Crestmore Rd Jurupa Valley, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,095 | $1.61 | 73d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3502 Crestmore Rd Unit 1 Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,095 | $1.61 | 73d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- Land lease of $1,100
- HOA & community
- Community features include sidewalksLocated in the Riverview park (land lease community)
Exterior
- Parking
- Located in Riverview park
- Utilities
- Public sewerDistrict/public water
- Home design
- Single-story mobile homeMobile home dimensions approximately 12 ft by 56 ftLiving area estimatedEntry level is 1
- Construction
- Mobile home remains on siteYear built per public records
- Exterior features
- No poolRectangular lot shapeElevation measured in feet
Interior
- Bathrooms
- One full bathroom
- Interior features
- Entry on Riverview Dr
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry area located outside
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $90,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $90,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $90,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $90,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $90,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $90,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $90,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $90,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $90,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $90,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $90,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $90,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $90,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $90,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $90,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $90,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $90,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $90,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $90,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $90,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $90,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $90,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $90,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $90,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $90,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $90,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $90,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $90,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $90,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $90,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $90,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $90,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $90,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $90,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $90,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $90,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $90,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $90,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $90,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $90,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $90,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $239 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $684 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$445/yr (+$37/mo · 186.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 27 unhealthy d/yr today · 32 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,618
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$239
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,729
- − Management
- −$1,729
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $9,811
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,355
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,371/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with a good condition score of 75. It has a good kitchen, bathroom, and exterior. The home is move-in ready and has a good location with easy access to shopping centers and major freeways.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting the exterior siding — A fresh coat of paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jurupa Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0619260
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,100
- Composite
- 30.97/100
- National rank
- #11327
- State rank
- #953 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Jurupa Valley
- Score
- 49/100
- State rank
- #1170
- US rank
- #25915
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jurupa Valley, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,664,475 people
- City population
- 119,165
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 81,182
- Household income
- $95,355
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14% of renters
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 74% White 17% Two or more races 16% Black 4% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 67%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Spanish 54% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -374.91%
- Current HPI
- 464.8939
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.31%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+12.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $90,000 CRMLS
- 2026-01-06 Listed $110,000 CRMLS
- 2020-10-15 Sold (MLS) $75,000 CRMLS
- 2020-10-15 Sold (MLS) $75,000 Greater Lansing AoR
- 2020-09-03 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2020-07-16 Pending — CRMLS
- 2020-06-17 Listed $79,900 CRMLS
- 2020-06-17 Listed $79,900 Greater Lansing AoR
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $239 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…