3034 Tioga Pkwy · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.48%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$32,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
AGENT IS UNAWARE OF OFFERS. THIS PROPERTY IS AN REO. For access please use ShowingTime. Featuring a covered front porch and a traditional layout, the main level includes a living room, dining area, and kitchen. Upstairs offers three bedrooms and one full bath. CIdeally situated with convenient access to Reisterstown Road and Liberty Heights Avenue, this property is just minutes from shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences. This is one of the hottest neighborhoods in the city! Perfect for investors. Hurry, this place will not last! * INVESTORS CAN BID. *
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Convenient access
- Traditional layout
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Other foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Built year per assessor
- Exterior features: No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Interior features: Basement with interior access and connecting stairway; Living area listed per assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $32k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $32k).
- Cap rate 50.2% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 354 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $221 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $960 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 50.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 156.82%
- DSCR
- 7.98
- GRM
- 1.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $211,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3104 Tioga Pkwy | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,640 (+2%) | 3mo | $217,000 | $132 | 86 |
| 2326 Braddish Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,500 (-6%) | 2mo | $159,000 | $106 | 76 |
| 2105 Whittier Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,587 (-1%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $50 | 70 |
| 2521 Reisterstown Rd | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,578 (-1%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $136 | 70 |
| 3014 Tioga Pkwy | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 1,360 (-15%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $132 | 70 |
| 2009 Ruxton Ave | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (0%) | 1mo | $234,000 | $146 | 67 |
| 2117 N Smallwood St | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 | 1,680 (+5%) | 1mo | $192,000 | $114 | 62 |
| 3015 Windsor Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 | 1,674 (+5%) | 2mo | $240 | — | 58 |
| 2402 Liberty Heights Ave | 0.34mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,800 (+12%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $50 | 53 |
| 3031 Hanlon Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,820 (+14%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $143 | 47 |
| 1722 N Bentalou St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,450 (-9%) | 3mo | $245,000 | $169 | 42 |
| 3635 Wabash Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (-12%) | 4mo | $159,000 | $114 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.63×
- Total profit
- $68,379
- Equity at exit
- $4,771
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 17.90×
- Total profit
- $151,465
- Equity at exit
- $2,767
Cash invested: $8,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21215
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 354
- Price-to-rent
- 1.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,762 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$168
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$40 /mo · $480/yr
- Insurance
- −$13
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $1,171
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,193 | -5% $1,182 | +0% $1,171 | +5% $1,160 | +10% $1,149 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,032 | -5% $1,101 | +0% $1,171 | +5% $1,241 | +10% $1,310 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,187 | -0.5pp $1,179 | base $1,171 | +0.5pp $1,163 | +1.0pp $1,154 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,000
- Closing costs
- $960
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3104 Tioga Pkwy Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $2,050 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2910 Reisterstown Rd Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,414 | $1.49 | 16d | 4 | 0.40mi |
| 2305 Wichita Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1950 | $1,300 | $0.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2812 Clifton Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $1,850 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2204 Clifton Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,450 | $1.04 | 5d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2636 W North Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,475 | $1.51 | 5d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3028 Hanlon Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,711 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2128 N Pulaski St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2166 | $2,200 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2917 Clifton Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1700 | $2,150 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2405 W North Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1826 | $1,900 | $1.04 | 5d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3030 Windsor Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2124 | $1,995 | $0.94 | 5d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2201 Whittier Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,700 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2201 Whittier Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,700 | $0.97 | 19d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1816 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,700 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1816 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,700 | $1.26 | 12d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2301 Whittier Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2301 Whittier Ave Unit 3 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,650 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2301 Whittier Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2231 Orem Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1140 | $1,750 | $1.54 | 18d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1617-A Moreland Ave Unit 2nd Flr Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3403 Carlisle Ave Apt 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 12d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2800 Presstman St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1460 | $1,799 | $1.23 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3204 Sequoia Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1791 | $2,600 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2614 Pennsylvania Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 982 | $1,141 | $1.16 | 5d | 4 | 0.92mi |
| 1530 N Rosedale St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1641 | $1,895 | $1.15 | 16d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1729 N Fulton Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1081 | $1,795 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2505 Woodbrook Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $1,745 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1633 N Hilton St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1920 | $2,600 | $1.35 | 19d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1806 N Mount St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3003 Presstman St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3003 Presstman St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1402 Poplar Grove St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1540 | $800 | $0.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1501 N Payson St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,550 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1616 N Fulton Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,795 | $1.11 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1515 Retreat St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1507 Retreat St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1098 | $2,500 | $2.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1513 N Ellamont St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,700 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2728 Winchester St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,800 | $1.43 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3309 Brighton St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $1,700 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1516 N Mount St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1830 | $1,750 | $0.96 | 16d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-17status $32,000 Pending 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $32,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $32,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $32,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $32,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $32,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $32,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 565-char remark
-
2026-06-07$32,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 48% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,146
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,792
- − Property taxes
- −$480
- − Insurance
- −$160
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,692
- − Management
- −$1,692
- − Depreciation
- −$931
- Taxable income
- $14,399
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,456
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,596/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,229
- Household income
- $51,587
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3644.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -318.58%
- Current HPI
- 291.4926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $32,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,331 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…