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3034 Tioga Pkwy
D Composite 42.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$32,000

3034 Tioga Pkwy · Baltimore, MD 21215
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · Townhouse public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1942 1,306 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

AGENT IS UNAWARE OF OFFERS. THIS PROPERTY IS AN REO. For access please use ShowingTime. Featuring a covered front porch and a traditional layout, the main level includes a living room, dining area, and kitchen. Upstairs offers three bedrooms and one full bath. CIdeally situated with convenient access to Reisterstown Road and Liberty Heights Avenue, this property is just minutes from shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences. This is one of the hottest neighborhoods in the city! Perfect for investors. Hurry, this place will not last! * INVESTORS CAN BID. *

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Convenient access
  • Traditional layout

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHTRADITIONAL LAYOUTCONVENIENT ACCESS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Other foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Built year per assessor
  • Exterior features: No tidal water

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Interior features: Basement with interior access and connecting stairway; Living area listed per assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $32k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $32k).
  • Cap rate 50.2% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 354 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $221 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $960 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $32,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.51%
Cap rate
50.20%
Cash-on-cash
156.82%
DSCR
7.98
GRM
1.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$211,200
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3104 Tioga Pkwy 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,640 (+2%) 3mo $217,000 $132 86
2326 Braddish Ave 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,500 (-6%) 2mo $159,000 $106 76
2105 Whittier Ave 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,587 (-1%) 1mo $80,000 $50 70
2521 Reisterstown Rd 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,578 (-1%) 3mo $215,000 $136 70
3014 Tioga Pkwy 0.04mi 3/1.0 1,360 (-15%) 4mo $180,000 $132 70
2009 Ruxton Ave 0.49mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (0%) 1mo $234,000 $146 67
2117 N Smallwood St 0.50mi 3/2.5 1,680 (+5%) 1mo $192,000 $114 62
3015 Windsor Ave 0.57mi 3/2.5 1,674 (+5%) 2mo $240 58
2402 Liberty Heights Ave 0.34mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,800 (+12%) 4mo $90,000 $50 53
3031 Hanlon Ave 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,820 (+14%) 1mo $260,000 $143 47
1722 N Bentalou St 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,450 (-9%) 3mo $245,000 $169 42
3635 Wabash Ave 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,400 (-12%) 4mo $159,000 $114 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.63×
Total profit
$68,379
Equity at exit
$4,771
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.90×
Total profit
$151,465
Equity at exit
$2,767

Cash invested: $8,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21215

Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
354
Price-to-rent
1.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,762 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$168
Tax est. 1.5%
$40 /mo · $480/yr
Insurance
$13
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$370
Net cashflow
$1,171

Break-even live

Break-even rent $280
Max offer price $32,000
Occupancy floor 29%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,193 -5% $1,182 +0% $1,171 +5% $1,160 +10% $1,149
Rent -10% $1,032 -5% $1,101 +0% $1,171 +5% $1,241 +10% $1,310
Rate -1.0pp $1,187 -0.5pp $1,179 base $1,171 +0.5pp $1,163 +1.0pp $1,154

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,000
Closing costs
$960
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3104 Tioga Pkwy Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1640 $2,050 $1.25 23d 1 0.07mi
2910 Reisterstown Rd Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0 950 $1,414 $1.49 16d 4 0.40mi
2305 Wichita Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1950 $1,300 $0.67 25d 1 0.41mi
2812 Clifton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1650 $1,850 $1.12 44d 1 0.45mi
2204 Clifton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,450 $1.04 5d 1 0.49mi
2636 W North Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 975 $1,475 $1.51 5d 1 0.50mi
3028 Hanlon Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,711 $1.43 25d 1 0.52mi
2128 N Pulaski St Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 2166 $2,200 $1.02 44d 1 0.53mi
2917 Clifton Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 4.0 1700 $2,150 $1.26 25d 1 0.54mi
2405 W North Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 1826 $1,900 $1.04 5d 1 0.57mi
3030 Windsor Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 2124 $1,995 $0.94 5d 1 0.57mi
2201 Whittier Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1750 $1,700 $0.97 44d 1 0.62mi
2201 Whittier Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1750 $1,700 $0.97 19d 1 0.62mi
1816 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,700 $1.26 25d 1 0.63mi
1816 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,700 $1.26 12d 1 0.63mi
2301 Whittier Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,400 $1.27 44d 1 0.66mi
2301 Whittier Ave Unit 3 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,650 $1.49 44d 1 0.66mi
2301 Whittier Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1104 $1,400 $1.27 44d 1 0.66mi
2231 Orem Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1140 $1,750 $1.54 18d 1 0.67mi
1617-A Moreland Ave Unit 2nd Flr Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,400 $0.93 44d 1 0.69mi
3403 Carlisle Ave Apt 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 12d 1 0.83mi
2800 Presstman St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1460 $1,799 $1.23 25d 1 0.86mi
3204 Sequoia Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 1791 $2,600 $1.45 44d 1 0.89mi
2614 Pennsylvania Ave Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 982 $1,141 $1.16 5d 4 0.92mi
1530 N Rosedale St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1641 $1,895 $1.15 16d 1 0.94mi
1729 N Fulton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1081 $1,795 $1.66 44d 1 0.94mi
2505 Woodbrook Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1256 $1,745 $1.39 3d 1 0.95mi
1633 N Hilton St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 1920 $2,600 $1.35 19d 1 0.95mi
1806 N Mount St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 21d 1 0.96mi
3003 Presstman St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1450 $1,400 $0.97 45d 1 0.97mi
3003 Presstman St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1450 $1,300 $0.90 25d 1 0.97mi
1402 Poplar Grove St Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 1540 $800 $0.52 44d 1 0.97mi
1501 N Payson St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,550 $1.11 44d 1 0.99mi
1616 N Fulton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1620 $1,795 $1.11 5d 1 1.00mi
1515 Retreat St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1098 $1,800 $1.64 25d 1 1.00mi
1507 Retreat St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1098 $2,500 $2.28 44d 1 1.01mi
1513 N Ellamont St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,700 $1.00 25d 1 1.01mi
2728 Winchester St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1260 $1,800 $1.43 4d 1 1.07mi
3309 Brighton St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1134 $1,700 $1.50 44d 1 1.07mi
1516 N Mount St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1830 $1,750 $0.96 16d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $32,000 Pending 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $32,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $32,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $32,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $32,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $32,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $32,000 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    remarks 565-char remark
  9. 2026-06-07
    listed $32,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 48% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,146
− Mortgage interest
−$1,792
− Property taxes
−$480
− Insurance
−$160
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,692
− Management
−$1,692
− Depreciation
−$931
Taxable income
$14,399
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,456
After-tax cash flow
$10,596/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
52,229
Household income
$51,587
Rent vs Own
45.2% rent · 54.8% own
Severe rent burden
3644.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (73%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 73% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -318.58%
Current HPI
291.4926
Rent YoY
▲ 2.41%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $32,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,331 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…