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5626 Gates Landing Rd
D Composite 40.43
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$270,000

5626 Gates Landing Rd · Virginia Beach, VA 23464
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,257 sqft · Townhouse public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1986 3,632 sqft lot Est $270k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 5626 Gates Landing Rd! This beautifully updated townhouse offers the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and scenic charm in Virginia Beach, with easy access to I-64 for effortless commuting. Inside, you'll find stylish LVP and tile flooring throughout, along with major updates that provide peace of mind, including an HVAC system replaced in 2018, a new roof in 2022, and a refrigerator installed in 2023. Featuring two spacious bedrooms and an expansive living room for entertaining family and friends, this home is designed for both relaxation and everyday living. Step outside to your private backyard retreat, where tranquil creek views and abundant wildlife create a picturesque

Key facts

  • Updated townhouse
  • Hvac system replaced
  • Easy access to i-64

Tags

UPDATED TOWNHOUSEEASY ACCESS TO I-64LVP AND TILE FLOORINGHVAC SYSTEM REPLACEDNEW ROOFPRIVATE BACKYARD RETREAT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA fees

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces; Street parking
  • Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power
  • Home design: Attached townhouse; 2 stories; Slab foundation; Simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl exterior; Slab foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Back yard fenced; Brick and vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: No bedroom and full bathroom on the first floor
  • Flooring: Ceramic flooring; Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump and electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: One fireplace; Ceramic and laminate flooring; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-143 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (9.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (26.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $199k (26.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.5% in Virginia Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#38 in VA, #880 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
  • Va Beach City Public School District (urban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #10 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Woodstock Elementary (math 57% / reading 70%, grade B, #460 of 1,108 statewide, top 42%, 664 students, 50% FRL); Kempsville High (math 73% / reading 78%, grade A-, #105 of 319 statewide, top 33%, 2,006 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 46% FRL vs 28% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 666 units permitted in Virginia Beach city in 2024 (347 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Virginia Beach County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $198,862 (26.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.66%
Cash-on-cash
-2.27%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$270,255
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5645 Gates Landing Rd 0.06mi 2/1.5 1,257 (0%) 8mo $270,000 $215 90
5630 Gates Landing Rd 0.01mi 2/1.5 1,377 (+10%) 7mo $205,000 $149 78

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.36% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.7%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-45,968
Equity at exit
$40,258
10-year hold
IRR
-3.8%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-21,449
Equity at exit
$23,345

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23464

Rents YoY
6.4%
Active inventory
235
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,989 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax from tax record
$186 /mo · $2,226/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$418
Net cashflow
$-143

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,170
Max offer price $244,754
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $10 -5% $-66 +0% $-143 +5% $-219 +10% $-296
Rent -10% $-300 -5% $-221 +0% $-143 +5% $-64 +10% $14
Rate -1.0pp $-7 -0.5pp $-74 base $-143 +0.5pp $-213 +1.0pp $-284

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,500
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
806 Jamestowne Dr Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 2.5 1700 $2,000 $1.18 22d 1 0.13mi
5519 New Colony Dr Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 2.5 1470 $1,795 $1.22 24d 1 0.20mi
658 Oleander Cir Virginia Beach, VA 2.0 2.5 1254 $2,050 $1.63 24d 1 0.89mi
611 Oleander Cir Virginia Beach, VA 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,900 $1.52 15d 1 1.01mi
5485 Glenville Cir Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 2.5 1588 $2,500 $1.57 24d 1 1.03mi
5313 Sir Barton Dr Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 2.0 1556 $2,750 $1.77 24d 1 1.18mi
1048 Commonwealth Pl Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 1.5 1242 $2,150 $1.73 24d 1 1.19mi
1102 Clear Springs Rd Virginia Beach, VA 3.0 1.5 1280 $1,695 $1.32 24d 1 1.28mi
6308 Blakely Sq Virginia Beach, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1036 $2,164 $2.09 4d 17 1.38mi
1101 Craftsman Dr Virginia Beach, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1014 $1,909 $1.88 3d 22 1.41mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $270,000 Under Contract 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $270,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $270,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $270,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-02
    listed $270,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,226 · $186/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,226 · $186/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,863
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$2,226
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,909
− Management
−$1,909
− Depreciation
−$7,855
Taxable loss
−$6,510
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,562
After-tax cash flow
$-153/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Va Beach City Public School District
NCES district ID
5103840
Math proficiency
69% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$66,452
Composite
63.81/100
National rank
#594
State rank
#10 of 131 in VA

Livability — Virginia Beach

Score
83/100
State rank
#38
US rank
#880

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living C- Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Virginia Beach, VA
County
Virginia Beach City · 448,227 people
City population
448,227
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
75,061
Household income
$92,468
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
1929.0

Population outlook (Virginia Beach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
480,401 people
By 2030
491,221 · +2.3%
By 2040
504,882 · +5.1%
By 2050
508,847 · +5.9%
By 2075
504,831 · +5.1%
By 2100
465,867 · -3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 23% Asian 10% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
85% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 5% Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Virginia Beach

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+3.4pp toward D · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.5 2012: R+2.5 2008: R+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -271.27%
Current HPI
324.1854
Rent YoY
▲ 6.36%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+206.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $270,000 REINMLS
  • 2024-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $256,000 Public Records
  • 2024-03-26 Pending REINMLS
  • 2024-03-25 Contingent REINMLS
  • 2024-03-22 Listed $234,999 REINMLS
  • 2015-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $144,000 Public Records
  • 2015-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $144,000 Public Records
  • 2006-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $157,000 Public Records
  • 2006-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $157,000 Public Records
  • 2002-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,226 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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