4132 Westgate Rd · Pine Hills, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.5/30.0
- ARV discount +9.7/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$310,350
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity! Wonderful 3 bed 2 bath home in Pine Hills. Tenant in place through 11/30/19. Great rental opportunity.
Key facts
- Versatile layout
- Screened-in porch
- Bright living area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned R-1A; Lot size about 0.17 acres (0 to less than 1/4 acre)
- HOA & community: No HOA association indicated
Exterior
- Utilities: Water: See remarks; Sewer: Other; Utilities: Other
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Facing east
- Construction: Shingle roof; Other construction materials; Slab foundation; Built on or before public records indicate (see listing for year built)
- Exterior features: Sidewalk
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
- Interior features: Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $310k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $10 ($124/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $265k (14.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $265k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.9% in Pine Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#317 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 246 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,646/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 4039% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($306k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $132k; list at $310k implies a 134% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.14%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $326,610
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4003 Wendy Dr | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,022 (+6%) | 23mo | $345,000 | $171 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-57,386
- Equity at exit
- $46,274
- IRR
- -19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-79,093
- Equity at exit
- $26,833
Cash invested: $86,898 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32808
- Home prices YoY
- -22.6%
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 246
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,646 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,628
- Tax from tax record
- −$323 /mo · $3,880/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$556
- Net cashflow
- $10
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,588
- Closing costs
- $9,310
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3903 Pine Ridge Rd Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $1,949 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3402 Bretwood Dr Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1936 | $2,500 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4751 Beacon St Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1624 | $2,500 | $1.54 | 7d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 5061 Barnegat Point Rd Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1712 | $2,400 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 6926 Thousand Oaks Rd Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1916 | $2,950 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 6018 Brookhill Cir Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2252 | $2,800 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 6933 Rembrandt Dr Orlando, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $2,500 | $1.54 | 17d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $310,350 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $310,350 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $310,350 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $310,350 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $310,350 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $310,350 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $310,350 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $310,350 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $310,350 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $310,350 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $310,350 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $310,350 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $310,350 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $310,350 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$310,350 Active
-
2019-08-14soldstatus $132,500
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2019-08-13soldstatus $132,500 Sold 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
Great investment opportunity! Wonderful 3 bed 2 bath home in Pine Hills. Tenant in place through 11/30/19. Great rental opportunity.
-
2019-07-09status Pending 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
Great investment opportunity! Wonderful 3 bed 2 bath home in Pine Hills. Tenant in place through 11/30/19. Great rental opportunity.
-
2019-06-26price $141,600 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
Great investment opportunity! Wonderful 3 bed 2 bath home in Pine Hills. Tenant in place through 11/30/19. Great rental opportunity.
-
2019-05-24price $145,200 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
Great investment opportunity! Wonderful 3 bed 2 bath home in Pine Hills. Tenant in place through 11/30/19. Great rental opportunity.
-
2019-04-18$148,900 Active 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
Great investment opportunity! Wonderful 3 bed 2 bath home in Pine Hills. Tenant in place through 11/30/19. Great rental opportunity.
-
2018-09-21soldstatus $1,095,800
-
2015-05-14soldstatus $6,109,200
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2013-04-30soldstatus $60,000
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2013-04-19soldstatus $60,000 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Great Investment opportunity, not a short sale not bank owned. Long Term good tenant
-
2013-01-28$65,000 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Great Investment opportunity, not a short sale not bank owned. Long Term good tenant
-
2010-12-30soldstatus $35,000
-
2010-11-04$33,900
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2004-12-01soldstatus $150,000
-
2004-09-02soldstatus $90,100
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2004-09-02soldstatus $94,000
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2004-08-31soldstatus $90,023
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2004-07-21historical
-
2004-07-16$102,000
-
1999-02-15soldstatus $77,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,880 · $323/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,880 · $323/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,755
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,384
- − Property taxes
- −$3,880
- − Insurance
- −$1,552
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,540
- − Management
- −$2,540
- − Depreciation
- −$9,028
- Taxable loss
- −$5,171
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,241
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,365/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange
- NCES district ID
- 1201440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,350
- Composite
- 41.47/100
- National rank
- #3461
- State rank
- #43 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pine Hills
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #317
- US rank
- #5362
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pine Hills, FL
- County
- Orange County · 1,471,359 people
- City population
- 60,203
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,203
- Household income
- $49,700
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4039.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,618,226 people
- By 2030
- 1,787,404 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 2,125,621 · +31.4%
- By 2050
- 2,454,016 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 3,173,711 · +96.1%
- By 2100
- 3,607,781 · +122.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% Hispanic / Latino 13% White 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 20% Lithuanian 1% Scandinavian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 18% Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.15%
- Current HPI
- 376.3801
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.27%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+303.1% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $310,350 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $132,500 Public Records
- 2019-08-13 Sold (MLS) $132,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-09 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-06-26 Price Changed $141,600 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-24 Price Changed $145,200 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-04-18 Listed $148,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $1,095,800 Public Records
- 2015-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $6,109,200 Public Records
- 2013-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2013-04-19 Sold (MLS) $60,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-28 Listed $65,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-12-30 Sold (MLS) $35,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-11-04 Listed $33,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2004-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
- 2004-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $90,100 Public Records
- 2004-08-31 Sold (MLS) $90,023 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-07-21 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-07-16 Listed $102,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,880 · +13.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…