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🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 74.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

357 Niagara St · Park Forest, IL 60466
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 949 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 356 Days on market
Built 1953 7,405 sqft lot Est $135k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This cozy 2 bedroom and 1 bathroom home is ready for it's new home owner. 2 car garage with workspace. Renovated in 2016, the home has been used as a rental. It has had the same occupant for the last 9 years. Roomy lot size for outdoor living. The furnace is from 2007 and maintained annually. The water heater was installed in 2019. A few projects for the handy. Property is being sold as-is. Buyer is responsible for all village required repair, if applicable. Home is tenant-occupied with a lease expiration of 10/31/2025.

Key facts

  • Roomy lot size
  • 2 car garage
  • Workspace

Tags

2 CAR GARAGEWORKSPACEROOMY LOT SIZEFURNACE MAINTAINED ANNUALLYWATER HEATER INSTALLED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Age indicated as 71–80 years; Built before 1978
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (owned) with asphalt surface; 2 garage spaces; 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978 (71–80 years old)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 54 x 130; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre; Lot size per county records

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (19 x 12) with ceramic tile; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (14 x 11) with carpet; Second bedroom on main level (12 x 10) with carpet; Additional bedrooms noted (bedroom 3, bedroom 4)
  • Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms; Wood laminate in living room; Ceramic tile in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 4 total rooms; Property is currently leased
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $100,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$134,758) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $764 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 9.5% in Park Forest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#148 in IL, #2,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
  • Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 356 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 356 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.84%
Cap rate
15.46%
Cash-on-cash
32.73%
DSCR
2.46
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$134,758
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
209 Miami St 0.25mi 2/1.0 974 (+3%) 1mo $108,000 $111 83
310 Nassau St 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 953 (+0%) 1mo $129,000 $135 80
49 Sauk Trl 0.42mi 2/1.0 949 (0%) 4mo $99,900 $105 76
223 S Orchard Dr 0.53mi 2/1.0 949 (0%) 0mo $105,000 $111 75
136 Peach St 0.41mi 2/1.0 974 (+3%) 3mo $163,000 $167 74
316 Mohawk St 0.66mi 2/1.0 949 (0%) 2mo $141,000 $149 68
254 Blackhawk Dr 0.50mi 2/1.0 1,000 (+5%) 2mo $105,000 $105 66
252 Blackhawk Dr 0.49mi 2/1.0 1,000 (+5%) 4mo $104,000 $104 65
314 Seminole St 0.75mi 2/1.0 949 (0%) 1mo $135,000 $142 64
318 Minocqua St 0.69mi 2/1.0 974 (+3%) 1mo $145,000 $149 63
429 Natoma St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,035 (+9%) 0mo $159,000 $154 62
208 Miami St 0.24mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,053 (+11%) 2mo $175,000 $166 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.9%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$32,461
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
35.4%
Equity multiple
4.25×
Total profit
$91,009
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60466

Home prices YoY
-21.1%
Active inventory
106
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,841 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$387
Net cashflow
$764

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $833 -5% $798 +0% $764 +5% $729 +10% $695
Rent -10% $618 -5% $691 +0% $764 +5% $836 +10% $909
Rate -1.0pp $814 -0.5pp $789 base $764 +0.5pp $738 +1.0pp $711

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
411 Huron St Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1092 $2,200 $2.01 0d 1 0.33mi
277 Somonauk St Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 966 $2,000 $2.07 4d 1 0.56mi
194 Monee Rd Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,971 $1.80 23d 1 0.57mi
235 Tampa St Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1092 $2,000 $1.83 26d 1 0.75mi
3484 Western Ave Unit 3484-B Park Forest, IL 1.0 1.0 600 $1,300 $2.17 0d 1 0.80mi
23439 Western Ave Unit C29 Park Forest, IL 2.0 2.0 975 $1,570 $1.61 0d 1 0.90mi
23439 Western Ave Unit K12 Park Forest, IL 1.0 1.0 800 $1,415 $1.77 0d 1 0.90mi
3324 Western Ave Park Forest, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0 1026 $1,680 $1.64 0d 11 0.95mi
11 Fir St Park Forest, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0 1026 $1,669 $1.63 0d 1 1.05mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 356 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 355 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 354 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 353 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 352 DOM
  6. 2025-08-27
    status Active
  7. 2025-07-28
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  8. 2025-06-13
    listed $100,000 Active
  9. 2004-08-19
    soldstatus $93,000
  10. 1995-08-16
    soldstatus $78,000
  11. 1990-04-20
    soldstatus $55,000
  12. 1984-07-01
    soldstatus $54,500
  13. 1979-01-26
    soldstatus $37,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,097
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,768
− Management
−$1,768
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$8,051
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,932
After-tax cash flow
$7,232/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rich Twp Hsd 227
NCES district ID
1733420
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$56,056
Composite
8.93/100
National rank
#9885
State rank
#577 of 620 in IL

Livability — Park Forest

Score
78/100
State rank
#148
US rank
#2726

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Park Forest, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
21,461
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
21,461
Household income
$61,654
Rent vs Own
33.7% rent · 66.3% own
Severe rent burden
900.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.87%
Current HPI
219.9692
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+170.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-27 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-28 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-13 Listed $100,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
  • 1995-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 1990-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 1984-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records
  • 1979-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2023): $8,052 · +71.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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