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B+ Composite 78.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

200 Ruby Ln · Columbia, MO 65203
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,302 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1955 8,122 sqft lot Est $227k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

POSSIBLE 3BR GOOD COND CONVENIENT 2YR OLD APPL DOG RUN 2 OWNER HOME MN-(1300) K, LR, DR, FR, 2BR, B, UTR CRAWL YR-54

Key facts

  • Generous lot
  • 1950s ranch
  • 8,122 sq ft lot

Tags

1950S RANCHGENEROUS LOTTHOUGHTFUL RENOVATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $718 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 2.9% in Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#9 in MO, #862 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+.
  • Columbia 93 (urban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #194 of 324 in MO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: West Blvd. Elem. (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #879 of 1,115 statewide, top 81%, 337 students, 99% FRL); West Middle School (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #300 of 391 statewide, top 77%, 504 students, 58% FRL); David H. Hickman High (math 27% / reading 55%, grade F, #236 of 521 statewide, top 45%, 2,044 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 35% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 459 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,303 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (549 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Boone County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $145,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
12.24%
Cash-on-cash
21.22%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$226,548
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
200 Ruby Ln 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,302 (0%) 1mo $145,000 $111 99
612 Pennant St 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,192 (-8%) 10mo $200,000 $168 61
18 Clinton Dr 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,334 (+2%) 12mo $235,000 $176 60
1303 London Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,192 (-8%) 2mo $252,000 $211 58
1609 W Broadway 0.26mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,439 (+10%) 5mo $250,000 $174 57
105 Westridge Dr 0.37mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,426 (+10%) 2mo $294,900 $207 57
902 Hardin St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,350 (+4%) 12mo $235,000 $174 51
1008 W Broadway 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,190 (-9%) 11mo $266,000 $224 48
701 Independence St 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,318 (+1%) 14mo $199,500 $151 48
611 Rowe Ln 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+11%) 12mo $204,900 $142 46
211 Bourn Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,119 (-14%) 3mo $209,000 $187 41
601 Ridgeway Ave 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,108 (-15%) 11mo $170,000 $153 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.09% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.0%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$28,915
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
27.6%
Equity multiple
3.79×
Total profit
$113,276
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65203

Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
459
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,088 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$110 /mo · $1,325/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$438
Net cashflow
$718

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,179
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $800 -5% $759 +0% $718 +5% $677 +10% $636
Rent -10% $553 -5% $636 +0% $718 +5% $800 +10% $883
Rate -1.0pp $791 -0.5pp $755 base $718 +0.5pp $680 +1.0pp $642

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1311 W Worley St Columbia, MO 3.0 1.0 944 $1,500 $1.59 22d 1 0.25mi
211 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO 3.0 2.0 1456 $1,550 $1.06 45d 1 0.33mi
207 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO 3.0 2.0 1456 $2,800 $1.92 22d 1 0.33mi
205 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO 3.0 2.0 1456 $2,800 $1.92 45d 1 0.33mi
205 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO 3.0 2.0 1456 $2,800 $1.92 15d 1 0.33mi
203 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO 3.0 2.0 1456 $2,800 $1.92 45d 1 0.33mi
215 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO 3.0 2.0 1456 $1,550 $1.06 45d 1 0.33mi
201 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO 3.0 2.0 1456 $2,800 $1.92 15d 1 0.33mi
201 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO 3.0 2.0 1456 $2,800 $1.92 45d 1 0.33mi
210 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO 3.0 2.0 1456 $1,550 $1.06 45d 1 0.36mi
202 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO 3.0 2.0 1456 $2,800 $1.92 45d 1 0.36mi
212 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO 3.0 2.0 1456 $2,800 $1.92 22d 1 0.36mi
204 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO 3.0 2.0 1456 $2,800 $1.92 45d 1 0.36mi
1011 W Ash St Columbia, MO 4.0 2.0 1456 $1,550 $1.06 45d 1 0.40mi
1007 W Ash St Columbia, MO 4.0 2.0 1456 $1,550 $1.06 45d 1 0.41mi
1103 W Broadway Unit 1121B;1/2HW Columbia, MO 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,395 $1.16 45d 1 0.41mi
319 West Blvd N Columbia, MO 4.0 2.0 1456 $2,800 $1.92 45d 1 0.42mi
215 West Blvd N Columbia, MO 4.0 2.0 1456 $2,800 $1.92 15d 1 0.42mi
215 West Blvd N Columbia, MO 4.0 2.0 1456 $2,800 $1.92 45d 1 0.42mi
205 West Blvd N Columbia, MO 4.0 2.0 1456 $1,550 $1.06 45d 1 0.43mi
5 S Greenwood Ave Columbia, MO 2.0 1.0 1104 $1,600 $1.45 22d 1 0.68mi
1003 Hardin St Columbia, MO 2.0 1.0 950 $1,100 $1.16 45d 1 0.70mi
1007 Hardin St Columbia, MO 3.0 2.0 1554 $1,625 $1.05 22d 1 0.71mi
1009 Hardin St Columbia, MO 2.0 2.0 1300 $1,500 $1.15 22d 1 0.72mi
211 Bourn Ave Columbia, MO 3.0 2.0 1119 $1,995 $1.78 45d 1 0.73mi
409 Sanford Ave Unit 102 Columbia, MO 4.0 3.0 1798 $2,400 $1.33 45d 1 0.85mi
302 Alexander Ave Columbia, MO 3.0 2.0 1296 $1,350 $1.04 22d 1 0.95mi
2609 Wee Wynd Columbia, MO 3.0 1.5 1600 $2,500 $1.56 45d 1 0.96mi
1600 Parkside Dr Columbia, MO 2.0 1.0 885 $950 $1.07 45d 1 1.01mi
301 W Forest Ave Columbia, MO 3.0 2.0 1162 $1,395 $1.20 15d 1 1.10mi
113 Crestmere Ave Unit 201 Columbia, MO 2.0 1.0 1022 $1,750 $1.71 45d 1 1.19mi
113 Crestmere Ave Unit 101 Columbia, MO 2.0 1.0 1300 $3,000 $2.31 45d 1 1.19mi
103 N Garth Ave Columbia, MO 3.0 2.0 1196 $2,950 $2.47 22d 1 1.20mi
1530 Timber Creek Dr Columbia, MO 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,300 $1.03 22d 1 1.26mi
2901 W Rollins Rd Columbia, MO 2.0 1.0 854 $1,312 $1.54 15d 2 1.27mi
1008 Lakeshore Dr Columbia, MO 3.0 1.0 1783 $1,850 $1.04 22d 1 1.31mi
2011 Bridgewater Dr Columbia, MO 3.0 2.0 1436 $1,825 $1.27 22d 1 1.35mi
1712 Garden Dr Unit A Columbia, MO 2.0 1.0 1181 $1,350 $1.14 45d 1 1.41mi
1810 Highridge Dr Columbia, MO 4.0 3.0 1636 $2,200 $1.34 22d 1 1.46mi
1409 Mills Dr Columbia, MO 3.0 1.5 1416 $1,800 $1.27 15d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-25
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-22
    listed $145,000 Active
  3. 2024-06-04
    soldstatus
  4. 1998-12-17
    soldstatus 116-char remark
    Show marketing remark (116 chars)

    POSSIBLE 3BR GOOD COND CONVENIENT 2YR OLD APPL DOG RUN 2 OWNER HOME MN-(1300) K, LR, DR, FR, 2BR, B, UTR CRAWL YR-54

  5. 1998-10-02
    listed $69,900 116-char remark
    Show marketing remark (116 chars)

    POSSIBLE 3BR GOOD COND CONVENIENT 2YR OLD APPL DOG RUN 2 OWNER HOME MN-(1300) K, LR, DR, FR, 2BR, B, UTR CRAWL YR-54

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,325 · $110/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,406 · $117/mo
Expected delta
+$81/yr (+$7/mo · 6.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,053
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$1,325
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,004
− Management
−$2,004
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$6,653
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,597
After-tax cash flow
$7,020/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Columbia 93
NCES district ID
2901000
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,547
Composite
31.21/100
National rank
#6036
State rank
#194 of 324 in MO

Livability — Columbia

Score
83/100
State rank
#9
US rank
#862

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Columbia, MO
County
Boone County · 158,877 people
City population
158,877
Metro
Columbia, MO
Population (ZIP)
61,539
Household income
$79,960
Rent vs Own
37.9% rent · 62.1% own
Severe rent burden
1991.0

Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,891 people
By 2030
217,799 · +7.3%
By 2040
246,789 · +21.6%
By 2050
276,116 · +36.1%
By 2075
348,426 · +71.7%
By 2100
400,856 · +97.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 9% Asian 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · China, South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Chinese 2% Spanish 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Boone

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 53.9% · R 44.1% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+12.5 2016: D+5.9 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -274.18%
Current HPI
194.3615
Rent YoY
▲ 6.09%
Metro
Columbia, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+107.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Pending CBORMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $145,000 CBORMLS
  • 2024-06-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1998-12-17 Sold (MLS) CBORMLS
  • 1998-10-02 Listed $69,900 CBORMLS

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,325 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…