200 Ruby Ln · Columbia, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
POSSIBLE 3BR GOOD COND CONVENIENT 2YR OLD APPL DOG RUN 2 OWNER HOME MN-(1300) K, LR, DR, FR, 2BR, B, UTR CRAWL YR-54
Key facts
- Generous lot
- 1950s ranch
- 8,122 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $718 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 2.9% in Columbia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#9 in MO, #862 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Columbia 93 (urban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #194 of 324 in MO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: West Blvd. Elem. (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #879 of 1,115 statewide, top 81%, 337 students, 99% FRL); West Middle School (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #300 of 391 statewide, top 77%, 504 students, 58% FRL); David H. Hickman High (math 27% / reading 55%, grade F, #236 of 521 statewide, top 45%, 2,044 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 35% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 459 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,303 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (549 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Boone County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.22%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $226,548
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 Ruby Ln | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,302 (0%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $111 | 99 |
| 612 Pennant St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,192 (-8%) | 10mo | $200,000 | $168 | 61 |
| 18 Clinton Dr | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,334 (+2%) | 12mo | $235,000 | $176 | 60 |
| 1303 London Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,192 (-8%) | 2mo | $252,000 | $211 | 58 |
| 1609 W Broadway | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,439 (+10%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $174 | 57 |
| 105 Westridge Dr | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,426 (+10%) | 2mo | $294,900 | $207 | 57 |
| 902 Hardin St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,350 (+4%) | 12mo | $235,000 | $174 | 51 |
| 1008 W Broadway | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,190 (-9%) | 11mo | $266,000 | $224 | 48 |
| 701 Independence St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,318 (+1%) | 14mo | $199,500 | $151 | 48 |
| 611 Rowe Ln | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+11%) | 12mo | $204,900 | $142 | 46 |
| 211 Bourn Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,119 (-14%) | 3mo | $209,000 | $187 | 41 |
| 601 Ridgeway Ave | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,108 (-15%) | 11mo | $170,000 | $153 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $28,915
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.79×
- Total profit
- $113,276
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65203
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 459
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,088 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$110 /mo · $1,325/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$438
- Net cashflow
- $718
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $800 | -5% $759 | +0% $718 | +5% $677 | +10% $636 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $553 | -5% $636 | +0% $718 | +5% $800 | +10% $883 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $791 | -0.5pp $755 | base $718 | +0.5pp $680 | +1.0pp $642 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1311 W Worley St Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,500 | $1.59 | 22d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 211 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,550 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 207 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,800 | $1.92 | 22d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 205 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,800 | $1.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 205 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,800 | $1.92 | 15d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 203 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,800 | $1.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 215 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,550 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 201 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,800 | $1.92 | 15d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 201 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,800 | $1.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 210 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,550 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 202 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,800 | $1.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 212 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,800 | $1.92 | 22d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 204 Wheaton Ct Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,800 | $1.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1011 W Ash St Columbia, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,550 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1007 W Ash St Columbia, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,550 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1103 W Broadway Unit 1121B;1/2HW Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 319 West Blvd N Columbia, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,800 | $1.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 215 West Blvd N Columbia, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,800 | $1.92 | 15d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 215 West Blvd N Columbia, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,800 | $1.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 205 West Blvd N Columbia, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,550 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 5 S Greenwood Ave Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1003 Hardin St Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1007 Hardin St Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1554 | $1,625 | $1.05 | 22d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1009 Hardin St Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 211 Bourn Ave Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1119 | $1,995 | $1.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 409 Sanford Ave Unit 102 Columbia, MO | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1798 | $2,400 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 302 Alexander Ave Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 22d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2609 Wee Wynd Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1600 Parkside Dr Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $950 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 301 W Forest Ave Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,395 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 113 Crestmere Ave Unit 201 Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1022 | $1,750 | $1.71 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 113 Crestmere Ave Unit 101 Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $3,000 | $2.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 103 N Garth Ave Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $2,950 | $2.47 | 22d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1530 Timber Creek Dr Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,300 | $1.03 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2901 W Rollins Rd Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 854 | $1,312 | $1.54 | 15d | 2 | 1.27mi |
| 1008 Lakeshore Dr Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1783 | $1,850 | $1.04 | 22d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2011 Bridgewater Dr Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,825 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1712 Garden Dr Unit A Columbia, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1181 | $1,350 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1810 Highridge Dr Columbia, MO | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1636 | $2,200 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1409 Mills Dr Columbia, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1416 | $1,800 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-25status Pending
-
2026-04-22$145,000 Active
-
2024-06-04soldstatus
-
1998-12-17soldstatus 116-char remark
Show marketing remark (116 chars)
POSSIBLE 3BR GOOD COND CONVENIENT 2YR OLD APPL DOG RUN 2 OWNER HOME MN-(1300) K, LR, DR, FR, 2BR, B, UTR CRAWL YR-54
-
1998-10-02$69,900 116-char remark
Show marketing remark (116 chars)
POSSIBLE 3BR GOOD COND CONVENIENT 2YR OLD APPL DOG RUN 2 OWNER HOME MN-(1300) K, LR, DR, FR, 2BR, B, UTR CRAWL YR-54
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,325 · $110/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,406 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- +$81/yr (+$7/mo · 6.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,053
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$1,325
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,004
- − Management
- −$2,004
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $6,653
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,597
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,020/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia 93
- NCES district ID
- 2901000
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,547
- Composite
- 31.21/100
- National rank
- #6036
- State rank
- #194 of 324 in MO
Livability — Columbia
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #9
- US rank
- #862
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbia, MO
- County
- Boone County · 158,877 people
- City population
- 158,877
- Metro
- Columbia, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 61,539
- Household income
- $79,960
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1991.0
Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,891 people
- By 2030
- 217,799 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 246,789 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 276,116 · +36.1%
- By 2075
- 348,426 · +71.7%
- By 2100
- 400,856 · +97.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 9% Asian 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · China, South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Chinese 2% Spanish 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Boone
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 53.9% · R 44.1% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+12.5 2016: D+5.9 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -274.18%
- Current HPI
- 194.3615
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.09%
- Metro
- Columbia, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+107.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Pending — CBORMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $145,000 CBORMLS
- 2024-06-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1998-12-17 Sold (MLS) — CBORMLS
- 1998-10-02 Listed $69,900 CBORMLS
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2024): $1,325 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…