🏗️ New Construction
3434 Sunbeam St Unit A · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.1/30.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$289,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Price to Sell! Check out this brand-new construction in South Houston’s Southcrest S/D. This 2-story single-family home offers 2 bedrooms & 1.5 full baths upstairs. Modern living, open concept, clean design features high ceilings, abundant natural light, and a stylish palette accented by sleek black fixtures and hardware. The kitchen showcases granite countertops, contemporary cabinetry, and a seamless flow into the living area extending out to the balcony, perfect for entertaining or family gatherings. The layout includes a primary suite with access to the balcony to enjoy your morning cup'o joe. second bedroom upstairs, along w/ 1.5 beautiful bathrooms & W/ D conx. The g
Key facts
- Open concept
- High ceilings
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area: 1,575; Lot area: 3,575 square feet
- Financial info: Full ownership; Lease considered: No
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway; Garage with garage door opener
- Security: Prewired for security; Leased security system; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; New construction (builder: Rangel Builders); Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Cement siding; Year built: 2026
- Exterior features: Balcony; Fenced backyard; Private yard; Cleared lot in a subdivision; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Gas range and gas oven; Disposal; Microwave; Ice maker; Oven
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on second level (17 x 11); Bedroom on second level (9 x 9); Total bedrooms possible: 3
- Flooring: Concrete; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning; Programmable thermostat; Energy-efficient HVAC and thermostat
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Balcony; Double vanity; Kitchen island; Kitchen/family room combo; Primary bedroom with bath; Self-closing cabinet doors and drawers; Ceiling fans; Kitchen/dining combo; Living/dining room; Programmable thermostat
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Utility rooms (6 x 5 on other level; 6 x 5 on second level)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-742 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $211k (27.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (36.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $184k (36.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Woodson School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 572 students, 99% FRL); Thomas Middle (math 3% / reading 13%, grade F, #1,654 of 1,662 statewide, top 100%, 526 students, 98% FRL); Worthing H S (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 827 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 312 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,844/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1446% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$55k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.58% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.99%
- DSCR
- 0.56
- GRM
- 14.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $318,150
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3623 Jipsie Ln | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,617 (+3%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $127 | 76 |
| 3609 Dawson Ln | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,648 (+5%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $121 | 69 |
| 9401 Kappa Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,631 (+4%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $123 | 61 |
| 10307 Penryn Forest Trl | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,586 (+1%) | 3mo | $304,990 | $192 | 60 |
| 10211 Penryn Forest Trl | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,486 (-6%) | 3mo | $304,990 | $205 | 53 |
| 10208 Penryn Forest Trl | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,486 (-6%) | 2mo | $299,990 | $202 | 52 |
| 10322 Penryn Forest Trl | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,486 (-6%) | 2mo | $304,990 | $205 | 51 |
| 2818 Milton Lodge Ln | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,384 (-12%) | 2mo | $279,990 | $202 | 44 |
| 2814 Milton Lodge Ln | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,384 (-12%) | 3mo | $279,990 | $202 | 43 |
| 10204 Penryn Forest Trl | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,384 (-12%) | 1mo | $284,990 | $206 | 42 |
| 10108 Penryn Forest Trl | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,384 (-12%) | 2mo | $279,990 | $202 | 41 |
| 10305 Penryn Forest Trl | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,384 (-12%) | 3mo | $279,990 | $202 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 4.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.45×
- Total profit
- $129,388
- Equity at exit
- $286,615
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.78×
- Total profit
- $425,528
- Equity at exit
- $618,095
Cash invested: $89,082 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77051
- Home prices YoY
- 9.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 312
- Price-to-rent
- 13.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,844 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,668
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$398 /mo · $4,772/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $-742
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,538
- Closing costs
- $9,544
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9606 Ashville Dr Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $1,570 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3710 Rockingham St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1890 | $1,700 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 9610 Buffum St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1605 | $1,799 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2937 Amherst Meadow Ln Unit NA Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1820 | $2,400 | $1.32 | 4d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2937 Amherst Meadow Ln Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1820 | $2,450 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 10514 Wellesley Terrace Trl Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1843 | $2,300 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2910 Reed Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 967 | $1,088 | $1.12 | 1d | 5 | 0.78mi |
| 10415 Lancaster Ln Houston, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5 | 1937 | $2,525 | $1.30 | 20d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2889 Reed Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 997 | $1,648 | $1.65 | 2d | 2 | 0.94mi |
| 2725 Reed Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 911 | $862 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4810 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $1,650 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4723 Mallow St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1472 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 5d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4526 Knoxville St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1474 | $1,775 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4514 Galesburg St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1680 | $3,500 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 11819 Leitrim Way Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1476 | $1,150 | $0.78 | 5d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3137 W Bellfort Ave Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $1,802 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4921a Pederson St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1765 | $2,150 | $1.22 | 12d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4918 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $2,100 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4406 Sterling St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1840 | $1,999 | $1.09 | 16d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 8328 Corinth St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 20d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5012 Higgins St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1611 | $1,650 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $289,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $289,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $289,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $289,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 685-char remark
-
2026-06-13$289,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,127
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,821
- − Property taxes
- −$4,772
- − Insurance
- −$1,591
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,770
- − Management
- −$1,770
- − Depreciation
- −$9,255
- Taxable loss
- −$14,853
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,565
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,339/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,795
- Household income
- $37,415
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1446.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% White 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.02%
- Current HPI
- 180.4283
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.77%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $289,900 HARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…