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623 W Mesquite St
A- Composite 81.13
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$90,000

623 W Mesquite St · Jacksboro, TX 76458
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,118 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 858 Days on market
Built 1965 7,710 sqft lot $81/sqft · 23% below area Est $117k · 23% under ↓ 50% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

Key facts

  • 7,710 sq ft lot
  • 3 parking spots
  • Built 1965

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $882 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#753 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Jacksboro ISD (town): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #337 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10 units permitted in Jack County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 858 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $90k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 858 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.24%
Cap rate
18.05%
Cash-on-cash
42.00%
DSCR
2.87
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$117,384
List price
$90,000
Delta
-23.33%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
621 W Pine St 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,218 (+9%) 20mo $149,900 $123 64
502 W Belknap St 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 984 (-12%) 0mo $42,000 $43 60
1107 W Archer St 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (+7%) 9mo $79,900 $67 52
314 N 3rd St 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,224 (+10%) 18mo $117,500 $96 44
538 W Pine St 0.17mi 2/1.0 (-1) 952 (-15%) 23mo $85,000 $89 43
416 N Knox St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,236 (+11%) 16mo $140,000 $113 36
410 N Knox St 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,253 (+12%) 20mo $215,000 $172 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.2%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$48,169
Equity at exit
$20,329
10-year hold
IRR
45.7%
Equity multiple
5.79×
Total profit
$120,624
Equity at exit
$20,180

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76458

Home prices YoY
-0.7%
Active inventory
124
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,019 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$204 /mo · $2,442/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$424
Net cashflow
$882

Break-even live

Break-even rent $903
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
611 W College St Jacksboro, TX 2.0 1.0 782 $2,300 $2.94 44d 1 0.36mi
320 N 2nd St Jacksboro, TX 3.0 2.0 1356 $1,700 $1.25 44d 1 0.48mi

Listing history 43 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 858 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 857 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active 856 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 855 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $90,000 Active 853 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $90,000 Active 852 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $90,000 Active 849 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Active 848 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $90,000 Active 847 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $90,000 Active 844 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $90,000 Active 843 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $90,000 Active 842 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,000 Active 841 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 840 DOM
  15. 2026-03-09
    price $90,000 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  16. 2026-03-09
    status Active 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  17. 2026-02-28
    historical 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  18. 2026-01-23
    price $95,000 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  19. 2025-10-21
    price $100,000 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  20. 2025-07-02
    status Active 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  21. 2025-07-01
    status Active 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  22. 2025-06-30
    historical 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  23. 2025-06-30
    historical 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  24. 2025-06-27
    price $110,000 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  25. 2025-04-22
    price $115,000 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  26. 2025-03-18
    price $120,000 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  27. 2025-01-11
    price $125,000 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  28. 2024-12-03
    price $135,000 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  29. 2024-10-21
    price $138,000 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  30. 2024-09-11
    price $143,000 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  31. 2024-09-01
    status Active 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  32. 2024-08-31
    historical 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  33. 2024-06-25
    price $148,000 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  34. 2024-06-03
    price $154,888 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  35. 2024-05-23
    price $159,999 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  36. 2024-04-06
    price $169,999 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  37. 2024-02-23
    price $174,999 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  38. 2024-01-31
    listed $180,000 Active 94-char remark
    Show marketing remark (94 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.

  39. 2022-07-13
    soldstatus
  40. 2006-12-08
    soldstatus
  41. 2000-10-19
    soldstatus
  42. 1989-10-25
    soldstatus
  43. 1988-10-25
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,442 · $204/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,442 · $204/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,227
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$2,442
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,938
− Management
−$1,938
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$9,799
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,352
After-tax cash flow
$8,232/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jacksboro ISD
NCES district ID
4824530
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$47,739
Composite
35.94/100
National rank
#4802
State rank
#337 of 826 in TX

Livability — Jacksboro

Score
64/100
State rank
#753
US rank
#13881

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksboro, TX
Population (ZIP)
6,103

Population outlook (Jack County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,560 people
By 2030
8,423 · -1.6%
By 2040
8,433 · -1.5%
By 2050
8,605 · +0.5%
By 2075
9,047 · +5.7%
By 2100
8,844 · +3.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 7% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 16%

Political lean MEDSL · Jack

2024 margin
Solid R (+82.3) · D 8.6% · R 90.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: -68.1pp · 2024: -82.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+82.3 2020: R+81.6 2016: R+79.6 2012: R+78.3 2008: R+68.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.32%
Current HPI
202.1533
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-50.0% since first listed
29 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $90,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-09 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-02-28 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2026-01-23 Price Changed $95,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-10-21 Price Changed $100,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-07-02 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2025-07-01 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2025-06-30 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-06-30 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-06-27 Price Changed $110,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-04-22 Price Changed $115,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-03-18 Price Changed $120,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-01-11 Price Changed $125,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-12-03 Price Changed $135,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-10-21 Price Changed $138,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-09-11 Price Changed $143,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-09-01 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2024-08-31 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2024-06-25 Price Changed $148,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-06-03 Price Changed $154,888 NTREIS
  • 2024-05-23 Price Changed $159,999 NTREIS
  • 2024-04-06 Price Changed $169,999 NTREIS
  • 2024-02-23 Price Changed $174,999 NTREIS
  • 2024-01-31 Listed $180,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-07-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-12-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2000-10-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1989-10-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-10-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+15.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,442 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…