623 W Mesquite St · Jacksboro, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.3/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
Key facts
- 7,710 sq ft lot
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1965
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $882 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#753 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Jacksboro ISD (town): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #337 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10 units permitted in Jack County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 858 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $90k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 858 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.00%
- DSCR
- 2.87
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $117,384
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -23.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 621 W Pine St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,218 (+9%) | 20mo | $149,900 | $123 | 64 |
| 502 W Belknap St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 984 (-12%) | 0mo | $42,000 | $43 | 60 |
| 1107 W Archer St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+7%) | 9mo | $79,900 | $67 | 52 |
| 314 N 3rd St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,224 (+10%) | 18mo | $117,500 | $96 | 44 |
| 538 W Pine St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 952 (-15%) | 23mo | $85,000 | $89 | 43 |
| 416 N Knox St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,236 (+11%) | 16mo | $140,000 | $113 | 36 |
| 410 N Knox St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,253 (+12%) | 20mo | $215,000 | $172 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $48,169
- Equity at exit
- $20,329
- IRR
- 45.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.79×
- Total profit
- $120,624
- Equity at exit
- $20,180
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76458
- Home prices YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,019 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$204 /mo · $2,442/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$424
- Net cashflow
- $882
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 611 W College St Jacksboro, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 782 | $2,300 | $2.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 320 N 2nd St Jacksboro, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1356 | $1,700 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 858 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 857 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 856 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 855 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 853 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 852 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 849 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 848 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 847 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $90,000 Active 844 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 843 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 842 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 841 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 840 DOM
-
2026-03-09price $90,000 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2026-03-09status Active 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2026-02-28historical 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2026-01-23price $95,000 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2025-10-21price $100,000 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2025-07-02status Active 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2025-07-01status Active 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2025-06-30historical 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2025-06-30historical 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2025-06-27price $110,000 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2025-04-22price $115,000 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2025-03-18price $120,000 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2025-01-11price $125,000 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2024-12-03price $135,000 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2024-10-21price $138,000 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2024-09-11price $143,000 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2024-09-01status Active 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2024-08-31historical 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2024-06-25price $148,000 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2024-06-03price $154,888 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2024-05-23price $159,999 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2024-04-06price $169,999 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2024-02-23price $174,999 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
-
2024-01-31$180,000 Active 94-char remark
Show marketing remark (94 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL - Perfect find for savvy buyers looking for a quick flip or a turnkey rental.
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2022-07-13soldstatus
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2006-12-08soldstatus
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2000-10-19soldstatus
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1989-10-25soldstatus
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1988-10-25soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,442 · $204/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,442 · $204/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,227
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$2,442
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,938
- − Management
- −$1,938
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $9,799
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,352
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,232/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jacksboro ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4824530
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,739
- Composite
- 35.94/100
- National rank
- #4802
- State rank
- #337 of 826 in TX
Livability — Jacksboro
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #753
- US rank
- #13881
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksboro, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,103
Population outlook (Jack County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,560 people
- By 2030
- 8,423 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 8,433 · -1.5%
- By 2050
- 8,605 · +0.5%
- By 2075
- 9,047 · +5.7%
- By 2100
- 8,844 · +3.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 7% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 16%
Political lean MEDSL · Jack
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+82.3) · D 8.6% · R 90.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.2pp toward R · 2008: -68.1pp · 2024: -82.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+82.3 2020: R+81.6 2016: R+79.6 2012: R+78.3 2008: R+68.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.32%
- Current HPI
- 202.1533
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-50.0% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $90,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-09 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-02-28 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-01-23 Price Changed $95,000 NTREIS
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $100,000 NTREIS
- 2025-07-02 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-07-01 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-06-30 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-06-30 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-06-27 Price Changed $110,000 NTREIS
- 2025-04-22 Price Changed $115,000 NTREIS
- 2025-03-18 Price Changed $120,000 NTREIS
- 2025-01-11 Price Changed $125,000 NTREIS
- 2024-12-03 Price Changed $135,000 NTREIS
- 2024-10-21 Price Changed $138,000 NTREIS
- 2024-09-11 Price Changed $143,000 NTREIS
- 2024-09-01 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2024-08-31 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2024-06-25 Price Changed $148,000 NTREIS
- 2024-06-03 Price Changed $154,888 NTREIS
- 2024-05-23 Price Changed $159,999 NTREIS
- 2024-04-06 Price Changed $169,999 NTREIS
- 2024-02-23 Price Changed $174,999 NTREIS
- 2024-01-31 Listed $180,000 NTREIS
- 2022-07-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-12-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-10-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1989-10-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-10-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+15.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,442 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…