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5005 Collins Ave #518
D Composite 44.86
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0

$399,000

5005 Collins Ave #518 · Miami Beach, FL 33140
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 938 sqft · Condo public records · 101 Days on market
Built 1964

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Miami Beach- Millionaire's Row - AMAZING "SOUTH EXPOSURE WITH SIDE VIEW TO THE OCEAN" AND Lazy-River, Garden , Pool/Deck - this light & bright One-of-a Kind unit 1 Bedroom CONVERTED TO TWO BEDROOMS WITH SEPARATE ENTRANCE (enclosed balcony for additional space) and 1 Bathroom. FULL Service Building: Beachfront Heated Swimming Pool & Beach Chair, Gym, Hair Salon, 24-Hour Concierge, Garage Parking and Valet Parking and access to the Board Walk. Special assessment to be paid by Seller.

Key facts

  • Valet parking
  • Separate entrance
  • Enclosed balcony

Tags

SOUTH EXPOSURE VIEW24 HOUR CONCIERGEVALET PARKINGSEPARATE ENTRANCEENCLOSED BALCONY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets: conditional or not allowed (restrictions may apply)
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee covers cable TV, hot water, insurance, internet, laundry, parking, pest control, pool(s), reserve fund, sewer and water; Community amenities include bike storage, clubhouse, fitness center, laundry, library, barbecue, picnic area, playground, pool, spa/hot tub and trash service

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned covered parking (1 space); 1-car garage
  • Security: Closed circuit cameras; Intercom; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Cable available; Water, sewer and power included in association (see HOA includes)
  • Home design: Condo/Apartment in a 16-story building; Faces south; Entry on level 5; Property attached
  • Construction: Block construction; Resale property
  • Exterior features: Heated pool; Ocean front with ocean access; Complex fenced

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level; Convertible bedroom
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Eat-in kitchen; Living/dining room; Walk-in closet(s); Blinds; Impact glass
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $399k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-400 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $399k).
  • Recommended offer: $363k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 1.5% in Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#108 in FL, #1,672 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D-, cost of living F.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 673 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,663/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($107k/yr) (locally 870% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($363k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $146k; list at $399k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 31% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $363,090 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  6. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  7. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  8. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  9. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
5.29%
Cash-on-cash
-3.58%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.96% appreciation · 3.52% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-15,370
Equity at exit
$135,484
10-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$41,653
Equity at exit
$179,485

Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33140

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
673
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,663 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,092
Tax from tax record
$292 /mo · $3,501/yr
Insurance
$166
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA est. from 5 same-building comps
$1,467
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$979
Net cashflow
$-400

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,169
Max offer price $328,314
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-174 -5% $-287 +0% $-400 +5% $-513 +10% $-626
Rent -10% $-769 -5% $-584 +0% $-400 +5% $-216 +10% $-32
Rate -1.0pp $-199 -0.5pp $-299 base $-400 +0.5pp $-504 +1.0pp $-609

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,750
Closing costs
$11,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
poolgymdoorman
⚠ Special-assessment mentions

…& Beach Chair, Gym, Hair Salon, 24-Hour Concierge, Garage Parking and Valet Parking and access to the Board Walk. Special assessment to be paid by Seller.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $399,000 Active 101 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $399,000 Active 98 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $399,000 Active 97 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $399,000 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $399,000 Active 95 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $399,000 Active 93 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $399,000 Active 89 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $399,000 Active 88 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $399,000 Active 87 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $399,000 Active 84 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $399,000 Active 83 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $399,000 Active 82 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $399,000 Active 81 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $399,000 Active 80 DOM
  15. 2026-05-22
    price $399,000
  16. 2026-03-12
    listed $410,000 Active
  17. 2001-05-04
    soldstatus $146,000
  18. 1989-10-27
    soldstatus $88,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,501 · $292/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,501 · $292/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$55,955
− Mortgage interest
−$22,350
− Property taxes
−$3,501
− Insurance
−$2,792
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,476
− Management
−$4,476
− HOA
−$17,604
− Depreciation
−$11,607
Taxable loss
−$10,853
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,605
After-tax cash flow
$-2,197/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Miami Beach

Score
80/100
State rank
#108
US rank
#1672

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment B Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Miami Beach, FL
County
Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
City population
90,533
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
20,342
Household income
$107,063
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
870.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 44% Two or more races 23% Black 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 19% Salvadoran 6%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
44% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
Languages at home
43% English-only · Spanish 45% Other Indo-European 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.96%
Current HPI
302.8514
Rent YoY
▲ 3.52%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+353.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $399,000 MARMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $410,000 MARMLS
  • 2001-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $146,000 Public Records
  • 1989-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,501 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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