191 Oxbow St · Prescott, AZ 86305

$79,900

3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured · 1 Days on market

Built 1988 435 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Schools +3.3/10.0
• Rent growth +2.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This is a 55+ community. Land is leased. One title holder must be 55 or older. Amenities include pool, spa, clubhouse, tennis court, billiard room, workout room, community kitchen and meeting room, 2 lakes, dog park, miles of hiking trails and nature trails nearby. Pine Lakes is an official Firewise community. Land lease at $893/mo.

Key facts

• Rv parking
• Replaced cabinets
• Replaced appliances

Tags

• REPLACED HVAC
• REPLACED WATER HEATER
• REPLACED ROOF
• REPLACED APPLIANCES
• REPLACED CABINETS
• RV PARKING

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Located in Pine Lakes subdivision; Road frontage on county and private roads with asphalt surface; County-maintained road responsibility
• HOA & community: Senior community; Land lease community

Exterior

• Parking: 2 parking spaces total; 1 attached carport; 1 detached carport; RV parking/garage (see remarks)
• Utilities: Private water source; City sewer (WWT); Electricity available; Phone available
• Home design: Residential manufactured home; Double wide; Single story
• Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Foundation present
• Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Paver block parking; RV parking available; Screens on windows; Hillside and Juniper/Pinon topography; Community amenities include clubhouse, community kitchen, fitness/exercise room, game/hobby room, pool, spa/hot tub, tennis, RV parking; membership included

Interior

• Kitchen: Built-in gas oven; Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
• Flooring: Carpet; Tile; See remarks
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 three-quarter bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Living/dining combo; Washer/dryer connection
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; 40-gallon natural gas water heater

🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $79,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$162,624) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
• Cap rate 23.5% vs local median 2.4% in Prescott — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, amenities A, schools A-; Watch: cost of living D, commute F.
• Prescott Unified District (4466) (urban): math 34% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #70 of 249 in AZ (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 707 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $15k; list at $80k implies a 433% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.69% ✓
• Cap rate: 23.51%
• Cash-on-cash: 61.48%
• DSCR: 3.74
• GRM: 3.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $162,624
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
156 Cascade St	0.08mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,280 (-5%)	3mo	$155,000	$121	77
73 Oakmont St	0.20mi	3/2.0	1,300 (-3%)	12mo	$101,000	$78	71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.01% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 54.1%
• Equity multiple: 3.31×
• Total profit: $51,673
• Equity at exit: $11,913

10-year hold

• IRR: 58.5%
• Equity multiple: 6.24×
• Total profit: $117,201
• Equity at exit: $6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 86305

• Home prices YoY: -18.7%
• Rents YoY: 1.0%
• Active inventory: 707
• Price-to-rent: 3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,150 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$419
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$451
• Net cashflow: $1,080

Break-even live

Break-even rent $783

Max offer price $79,900

Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,975
• Closing costs: $2,397
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-18
   remarks 526-char remark
2. 2026-06-18
   listed $79,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,798
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,476
• − Property taxes: −$1,198
• − Insurance: −$1,197
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,064
• − Management: −$2,064
• − Depreciation: −$2,324
• Taxable income: $12,474
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,994
• After-tax cash flow: $9,963/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Prescott Unified District (4466)
• NCES district ID: 0406730
• Math proficiency: 34% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▼ -13.00%
• Median HH income: $48,354
• Composite: 33.47/100
• National rank: #5450
• State rank: #70 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Prescott

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #22
• US rank: #5579

Category grades

Amenities A Commute F Cost of living D Crime C+ Employment C+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Yavapai County · 190,406 people
• City population: 66,312
• Metro: Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 19,790
• Household income: $80,436
• Rent vs Own: 19.1% rent · 80.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 380.0

Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 241,389 people
• By 2030: 249,523 · +3.4%
• By 2040: 259,966 · +7.7%
• By 2050: 264,736 · +9.7%
• By 2075: 269,334 · +11.6%
• By 2100: 256,505 · +6.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 86% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -80.31%
• Current HPI: 348.5199
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.01%
• Metro: Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

+432.7% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-18 Relisted — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-06-09 Listing Removed — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-06-06 Listed $79,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2020-07-06 Sold (MLS) $15,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid