469 Holiday Park Blvd NE · Palm Bay, FL 32907

$78,500

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured public records · 2 Days on market

Built 1972 4,356 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.7/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

ROOMY 2BEDROOM 1.5BATH IN HOLIDAY PARK!! Just past the entrance of this sought after 55+ manufactured home community is a home w/ plenty of space & offering affordable living. The approx 15x30 addition contains a large living room & the master bedroom/bath & huge closet area. Stepping up from the living room leads to the kitchen & dining area, as well as another bathroom & bedroom. Outside there is a screened-in porch & a utility shed. The A/C & duct work were replaced within the past 5 years, & there is laminate & vinyl throughout the home w/ the exception of the 2nd bedroom that has new carpet. Some repairs are needed, so the seller may offer concessions for repairs.

Key facts

• Gated community
• Screened-in porch
• Utility shed

Tags

• GATED COMMUNITY
• SCREENED-IN PORCH
• UTILITY SHED
• LARGE LIVING ROOM
• HUGE CLOSET AREA
• LAMINATE AND VINYL FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Unfurnished; Senior community
• HOA & community: Part of Port Malabar Holiday Park; Community amenities: clubhouse, gated entry, grounds maintenance, full-time management, park, shuffleboard court; Voluntary association fee ($5) that may include cable TV, internet, grounds maintenance, and security

Exterior

• Parking: Carport (1 space)
• Security: Gated community with guard; Security gate
• Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water available; Cable available
• Home design: Single wide mobile home; One story; Faces southwest
• Construction: Frame construction with vinyl and wood siding; Metal roof
• Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Screened porch; Shed(s); Private road frontage; Asphalt road surface

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
• Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fans; Split bedroom layout
• Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $78k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $980 ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $78k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#366 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, health & safety D-.
• Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Lockmar Elementary School (math 45% / reading 53%, grade D, #1,134 of 2,144 statewide, top 54%, 583 students, 58% FRL); Southwest Middle School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 920 students, 58% FRL); Palm Bay Magnet Senior High School (math 25% / reading 37%, grade F, #429 of 667 statewide, top 65%, 1,486 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 43% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 40% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 739 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $543 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $35k; list at $78k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $78,500

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.46% ✓
• Cap rate: 21.28%
• Cash-on-cash: 53.52%
• DSCR: 3.38
• GRM: 3.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.93% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 49.3%
• Equity multiple: 3.08×
• Total profit: $45,813
• Equity at exit: $11,705

10-year hold

• IRR: 53.9%
• Equity multiple: 5.77×
• Total profit: $104,925
• Equity at exit: $6,787

Cash invested: $21,980 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32907

• Home prices YoY: -10.1%
• Rents YoY: 0.9%
• Active inventory: 739
• Price-to-rent: 3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,928 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$412
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$98 /mo · $1,178/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$405
• Net cashflow: $980

Break-even live

Break-even rent $687

Max offer price $78,500

Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,035	-5% $1,007	+0% $980	+5% $953	+10% $926
Rent	-10% $828	-5% $904	+0% $980	+5% $1,056	+10% $1,133
Rate	-1.0pp $1,020	-0.5pp $1,000	base $980	+0.5pp $960	+1.0pp $939

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,625
• Closing costs: $2,355
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
205 Valor Dr SE Palm Bay, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	901	$1,937	$2.15	15d	17	0.55mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $78,500 Active 2 DOM
2. 2026-06-16
   remarks 653-char remark
3. 2026-06-16
   listed $78,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,132
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,397
• − Property taxes: −$1,178
• − Insurance: −$392
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,851
• − Management: −$1,851
• − Depreciation: −$2,284
• Taxable income: $11,180
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,683
• After-tax cash flow: $9,081/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Brevard
• NCES district ID: 1200150
• Math proficiency: 53% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 57% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $49,426
• Composite: 46.86/100
• National rank: #2370
• State rank: #19 of 73 in FL

Livability — Palm Bay

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #366
• US rank: #6458

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Palm Bay, FL
• County: Brevard County · 602,871 people
• City population: 132,211
• Metro: Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
• Population (ZIP): 49,080
• Household income: $75,311
• Rent vs Own: 13.3% rent · 86.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 702.0

Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 623,254 people
• By 2030: 648,420 · +4.0%
• By 2040: 690,009 · +10.7%
• By 2050: 715,669 · +14.8%
• By 2075: 775,744 · +24.5%
• By 2100: 776,687 · +24.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
• Race & ethnicity: White 56% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 15% Two or more races 14% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 2% Dominican 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 2%
• Foreign-born: 16% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 77% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brevard

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -34.79%
• Current HPI: 308.9719
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.93%
• Metro: Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+273.8% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-16 Listed $78,500 SCMLS
• 2017-01-27 Sold (MLS) $35,000 SCMLS
• 2016-10-17 Listed $49,900 SCMLS
• 2016-08-16 Listing Removed — SCMLS
• 2005-09-10 Listed $89,900 SCMLS
• 1985-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,377 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.