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863 Edgewood Ave
D Composite 41.99
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$16,000

863 Edgewood Ave · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31201
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1930 5,662 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity!!

Key facts

  • 5,662 sq ft lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed as fixer; Corner lot approximately 0.13 acres
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water available; Public sewer (connected); Sewer connected; Water available
  • Home design: Single family residence (house); Built in 1930
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Built in 1930; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Other interior features; One level (single-story); Crawl space basement; Office
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry features listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $16k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $637 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $16k).
  • Cap rate 59.1% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Central High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #394 of 424 statewide, top 97%, 844 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($29k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $111 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $480 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $11k; list at $16k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $16,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.44%
Cap rate
59.05%
Cash-on-cash
188.43%
DSCR
9.38
GRM
1.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.52×
Total profit
$38,149
Equity at exit
$2,386
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
20.23×
Total profit
$86,159
Equity at exit
$1,383

Cash invested: $4,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31201

Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
1.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,030 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$84
Tax est. 1.5%
$20 /mo · $240/yr
Insurance
$7
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$216
Net cashflow
$637

Break-even live

Break-even rent $224
Max offer price $16,000
Occupancy floor 33%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,000
Closing costs
$480
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
781 Spring St Unit 1356283P Macon, GA 1.0 398 $1,732 $4.35 21d 1 0.64mi
864 Tattnall St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 640 $800 $1.25 43d 1 0.70mi
805 Martin Luther King Junior Blvd Apt 13 Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 640 $1,200 $1.88 21d 1 0.73mi
1249 Duncan Ave Unit B Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 700 $1,095 $1.56 43d 1 0.86mi
1874 Moore St Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 470 $799 $1.70 13d 1 0.90mi
1890 Moore St Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 470 $799 $1.70 13d 1 0.90mi
524 2nd St Macon, GA 1.0 700 $945 $1.35 43d 1 0.95mi
618 Poplar St Unit 202 Macon, GA 1.0 623 $1,125 $1.81 21d 1 0.95mi
946 Magnolia St Apt 3 Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 489 $725 $1.48 43d 1 1.01mi
482 Poplar St Macon, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 850 $1,195 $1.41 21d 4 1.01mi
470 Poplar St Unit 201 Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,295 $1.85 43d 1 1.02mi
928 Magnolia St Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 600 $925 $1.54 43d 1 1.02mi
476 3rd St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 942 $1,535 $1.63 13d 8 1.05mi
450 3rd St Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,300 $1.86 43d 1 1.08mi
363 New St Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 475 $795 $1.67 13d 1 1.11mi
587 Cherry St Unit 6 Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 585 $1,050 $1.79 43d 1 1.11mi
587 Cherry St Unit 3 Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 540 $995 $1.84 43d 1 1.11mi
462 Cherry St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0–2.0 988 $2,224 $2.25 13d 25 1.12mi
876 Mulberry St Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 520 $850 $1.63 43d 2 1.15mi
347 College St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0–2.0 725 $1,725 $2.38 13d 4 1.16mi
331 College St Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 610 $1,000 $1.64 43d 1 1.18mi
1408 2nd Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 600 $1,095 $1.82 43d 1 1.18mi
582 Mulberry St Unit 306 Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 678 $1,475 $2.18 21d 1 1.18mi
582 Mulberry St Unit 302 Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 641 $1,495 $2.33 21d 1 1.18mi
582 Mulberry St Unit 308 Macon, GA 1.0 549 $1,185 $2.16 43d 1 1.18mi
2020 Vineville Ave Apt 31 Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 550 $800 $1.45 13d 1 1.19mi
883 Mulberry St Unit C Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 601 $895 $1.49 43d 1 1.20mi
883 Mulberry St Unit B Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 443 $750 $1.69 43d 1 1.20mi
855 Mulberry St Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 590 $850 $1.44 43d 1 1.21mi
614 Cleveland St Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 650 $800 $1.23 43d 1 1.23mi
2349 Mason St Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 552 $625 $1.13 43d 1 1.24mi
2056 Vineville Ave Unit 25 Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 621 $825 $1.33 13d 1 1.26mi
340 6th St Macon, GA 1.0 500 $1,250 $2.50 21d 1 1.31mi
2585 Napier Ave Unit B Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 644 $850 $1.32 21d 1 1.33mi
2585 Napier Ave Unit C Macon, GA 1.0 454 $650 $1.43 43d 1 1.33mi
260 Ryals Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 690 $875 $1.27 43d 1 1.35mi
171 Orange St Unit 1 Macon, GA 1.0 2.0 612 $840 $1.37 43d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-04-14
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-04-11
    status Back On Market
  3. 2026-04-10
    status Under Contract
  4. 2026-04-06
    listed $16,000 New
  5. 2017-08-31
    soldstatus $10,575 30-char remark
    Show marketing remark (30 chars)

    Great investment opportunity!!

  6. 2017-07-19
    listed $12,000 30-char remark
    Show marketing remark (30 chars)

    Great investment opportunity!!

  7. 2007-02-12
    soldstatus $12,000
  8. 2007-02-12
    soldstatus $25,000
  9. 2006-03-08
    soldstatus $30,000
  10. 2002-10-28
    soldstatus $6,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,365
− Mortgage interest
−$896
− Property taxes
−$240
− Insurance
−$878
− Repairs & maintenance
−$989
− Management
−$989
− Depreciation
−$465
Taxable income
$7,907
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,898
After-tax cash flow
$5,746/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
7,891
Household income
$29,420
Rent vs Own
76.0% rent · 24.0% own
Severe rent burden
1124.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.32%
Current HPI
100.04
Rent YoY
▲ 3.11%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+166.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-04-11 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $16,000 GAMLS
  • 2017-08-31 Sold (MLS) $10,575 CGMLS
  • 2017-07-19 Listed $12,000 CGMLS
  • 2007-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2007-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
  • 2006-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2002-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+24.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,037 · -8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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