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7841 Gwen St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 68.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

7841 Gwen St · Bridge City, LA 70094
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · SingleFamily · 17 Days on market
Built 1985 5,000 sqft lot Est $202k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Harbor Estates! This brick 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers plenty of space and flexibility, including a bonus room just off the kitchen that could serve as a home office, playroom, hobby room, or additional living area. Situated in an X Flood Zone, this property presents an excellent opportunity for homeowners and investors alike. The functional floor plan provides comfortable living spaces, while the spacious bedrooms offer room for everyone. A storage shed adds extra convenience for tools and equipment. Property is currently tenant occupied on a month-to-month lease, creating potential income-producing opportunities for investors. Offered at its appraised value, don't miss this affordable opportunity! Final sale is subject to court approval.

Key facts

  • Bonus room
  • Storage shed
  • 5,000 sq ft lot

Tags

BONUS ROOMSTORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Brick exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Built with brick construction
  • Exterior features: Shed(s); City lot; Rectangular lot; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 100

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Granite counters
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $150,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$202,272) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $358 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#225 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $147,750 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.68%
Cash-on-cash
12.11%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$202,272
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7817 Alma St 0.15mi 4/2.0 1,584 (+1%) 12mo $205,000 $129 81
120 Birch Ct 0.26mi 4/2.0 1,664 (+6%) 11mo $60,000 $36 68
451 Sala Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,464 (-7%) 11mo $155,000 $106 53
9416 Cabildo Ln 0.56mi 4/2.0 1,411 (-10%) 10mo $81,000 $57 49
802 Avenue B Ave 0.50mi 4/2.0 1,700 (+8%) 22mo $175,000 $103 45
541 Avenue A 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,460 (-7%) 23mo $209,900 $144 44
756 Avenue A 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,361 (-13%) 14mo $248,500 $183 41
127 Otto St 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-8%) 11mo $215,000 $149 37
609 5th St 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,347 (-14%) 24mo $199,900 $148 21

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.3%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-6,506
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$4,444
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70094

Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
186
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,693 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $772/yr
Insurance
$62
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$356
Net cashflow
$358

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,240
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
525 Emile Ave Westwego, LA 3.0 2.0 1329 $800 $0.60 23d 1 0.14mi
7804 Britt St Westwego, LA 5.0 2.0 1512 $1,800 $1.19 43d 1 0.17mi
181 Louisiana St Westwego, LA 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,550 $1.03 43d 1 0.32mi
1060 Avenue B Unit A Westwego, LA 3.0 2.0 1124 $1,550 $1.38 23d 1 0.74mi
653 Vic a Pitre Dr Westwego, LA 3.0 2.0 1491 $2,200 $1.48 4d 1 1.10mi
1233 Central Ave Westwego, LA 3.0 1.5 1357 $1,500 $1.11 23d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  12. 2026-06-02
    listed $150,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$772 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$825 · $69/mo
Expected delta
+$53/yr (+$4/mo · 6.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 60% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,315
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$772
− Insurance
−$1,547
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,625
− Management
−$1,625
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$1,979
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$475
After-tax cash flow
$3,815/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson Parish
NCES district ID
2200840
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -30.00%
Median HH income
$48,421
Composite
25.19/100
National rank
#7511
State rank
#44 of 98 in LA

Livability — Bridge City

Score
61/100
State rank
#225
US rank
#17357

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bridge City, LA
County
Jefferson Parish · 426,999 people
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
Population (ZIP)
32,130
Household income
$53,597
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
1457.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
451,696 people
By 2030
455,451 · +0.8%
By 2040
458,308 · +1.5%
By 2050
461,031 · +2.1%
By 2075
476,351 · +5.5%
By 2100
499,377 · +10.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Black 46% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Scottish 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Vietnamese 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
R (+12.9) · D 42.5% · R 55.5% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+13.6pp toward D · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -12.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.9 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+14.8 2012: R+18.4 2008: R+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.56%
Current HPI
102.9992
Rent YoY
▼ -0.80%
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $150,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $150,000 GSREIN
  • 1985-04-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $772 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…