84136 Avenue 44 #394 · Indio, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This park model is located on a quiet green belt within the middle of the community, giving easy access to all the activities. The patio is enclosed with automatic shutters to create an enclosed area. The shed is accessible right off the back stairs as well as a small outside patio. This all located in a 55 community that has a 3 par golf course, chipping green, putting green, 9 hole mini golf, pickleball and tennis courts, bocce ball, an indoor shuffleboard courts, 2 clubhouses with pools and Jacuzzies and an additional 4 satellites with pool, jacuzzi and mail boxes. This is all within a 24 hour gate guarded community , of 801 lots, that consist of a combination of Park Models and RV lots, where you own the land. The resort has a limit of 270 day occupancy. It is. a perfect place to spend your holidays in the sunshine.
Key facts
- Accessible shed
- Chipping green
- 3 par golf course
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $79k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($402/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.1% in Indio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#927 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Desert Ridge Academy (math 24% / reading 75%, grade C, #98 of 498 statewide, top 21%, 1,030 students, 81% FRL); Shadow Hills High (math 30% / reading 53%, grade F, #498 of 1,170 statewide, top 43%, 1,751 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 56% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.6%/yr); 537 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 360 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $79k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 39% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→9/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 360 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.82%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $129,690
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -39.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84136 Ave 44, #262 #262 | 0.03mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 2mo | $192,500 | $481 | 97 |
| 84136 Avenue 44, #449 #449 | 0.03mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $575 | 95 |
| 84136 Ave 44, #385 #385 | 0.03mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 4mo | $178,000 | $445 | 95 |
| 754 Ave 44 #754 | 0.09mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 5mo | $101,500 | $254 | 92 |
| 84136 Avenue 44 #477 | 0.13mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $238 | 92 |
| 84136 Ave 44, #567 #567 | 0.13mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $225 | 91 |
| 84136 84136 Avenue 44, #325 #325 | 0.14mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 4mo | $79,000 | $198 | 91 |
| 84136 Ave 44, #29 #29 | 0.15mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $225 | 90 |
| 84136 Ave 44, #744 #744 | 0.15mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 4mo | $176,000 | $440 | 90 |
| 84136 Ave 44, 675 #675 | 0.16mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $513 | 89 |
| 84136 Ave 44, 658 #658 | 0.18mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 5mo | $102,500 | $256 | 88 |
| 84136 Ave 44 #122 | 0.27mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $313 | 84 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-3,075
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $34,469
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 66 active · 2 under contract
- Months of supply
- 23.3 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $127,000 ($318/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 170 d
- This list price
- 8% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +2.1% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 92203
- Home prices YoY
- -25.0%
- Rents YoY
- 11.6%
- Active inventory
- 537
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,374 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $899/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$530
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $33
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $78 | -5% $56 | +0% $33 | +5% $11 | +10% $-11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-75 | -5% $-21 | +0% $33 | +5% $88 | +10% $142 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $73 | -0.5pp $54 | base $33 | +0.5pp $13 | +1.0pp $-8 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail $530/mo · $6,360/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $79,000 Active 360 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $79,000 Active 358 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $79,000 Active 357 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $79,000 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $79,000 Active 355 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $79,000 Active 352 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $79,000 Active 351 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $79,000 Active 350 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $79,000 Active 349 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $79,000 Active 347 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $79,000 Active 345 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $79,000 Active 344 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $79,000 Active 343 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $79,000 Active 342 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $79,000 Active 341 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $79,000 Active 339 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $79,000 Active 338 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $79,000 Active 337 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $79,000 Active 336 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $79,000 Active 335 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $79,000 Active 334 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $79,000 Active 333 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $79,000 Active 332 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $79,000 Active 331 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $79,000 Active 330 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $79,000 Active 328 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $79,000 Active 327 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $79,000 Active 326 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $79,000 Active 325 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $79,000 Active 324 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $79,000 Active 323 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $79,000 Active 322 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $79,000 Active 321 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $79,000 Active 320 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $79,000 Active 319 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $79,000 Active 318 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $79,000 Active 317 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $79,000 Active 315 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $79,000 Active 313 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $79,000 Active 312 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 309 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 308 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 307 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 306 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 304 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,000 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,000 Active 294 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $899 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $899 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 4 d/yr ≥114°F today · 9 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,490
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$899
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,319
- − Management
- −$1,319
- − HOA
- −$6,360
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable loss
- −$526
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$126
- After-tax cash flow
- $528/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This manufactured home is in fair condition with some minor repairs and maintenance needed. It has potential for significant value increase with updates to the interior and exterior.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen countertops — Worn appearance suggests minor damage or wear.
- Minor Bathroom walls — Discoloration indicates minor staining or discoloration.
- Minor Exterior siding — Some discoloration suggests minor weathering.
- Minor Interior walls — Scuffs and marks indicate minor damage or wear.
- Minor Windows — Some may need cleaning to remove dirt or grime.
- Minor HVAC unit exterior — Dust accumulation suggests minor neglect.
- Minor Landscaping — Overgrown areas and lack of curb appeal suggest minor neglect.
- Minor Patio area — Clean but could benefit from some updates or landscaping improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls and cabinets — Fresh paint can significantly improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Both Replace worn countertops — New countertops can enhance the kitchen's functionality and aesthetic appeal. ↑
- Both Clean and maintain HVAC unit — A clean and well-maintained HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — A well-maintained and attractive exterior can increase the home's curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both Replace worn windows — New windows can improve energy efficiency and the home's overall appearance. ↑
- Both Replace worn flooring — New flooring can significantly improve the home's appearance and functionality. ↑
- Both Replace worn appliances — New appliances can improve the home's functionality and aesthetic appeal. ↑
- Both Replace worn cabinets — New cabinets can enhance the kitchen's functionality and aesthetic appeal. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desert Sands Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0611110
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,957
- Composite
- 37.77/100
- National rank
- #4346
- State rank
- #199 of 517 in CA
Livability — Indio
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #927
- US rank
- #24244
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indio, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,664,475 people
- City population
- 100,560
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,735
- Household income
- $97,311
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20% of renters
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% White 41% Two or more races 29% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 33% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.51%
- Current HPI
- 295.6456
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.64%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+243.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-09 Price Changed $79,000 TheMLS
- 2025-08-12 Listed $89,000 TheMLS
- 2020-06-04 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2020-01-21 Price Changed $73,000 GPSMLS
- 2019-10-11 Listed $81,000 GPSMLS
- 2010-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2010-10-20 Sold (MLS) $50,000 GPSMLS
- 2010-10-20 Sold (MLS) $50,000 GPSMLS
- 2010-10-01 Listing Removed — GPSMLS
- 2010-09-08 Listed $60,000 GPSMLS
- 1994-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 1992-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+17.2%/yrLatest (2014): $899 · +31.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…