10205 Ford Ter · Waldorf, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.5/30.0
- ARV discount +14.8/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$369,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 10205 Ford Ter split foyer with 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths situated on a large fenced corner lot with plenty of space inside and out. Major updates have already been completed, including an HVAC system replaced in 2018, a new roof installed in December 2025, an upgraded electric panel, and a water heater that is only 2 years old. All that's left are cosmetic updating to your taste. The backyard is ready for summer enjoyment with a fenced in yard and 18x36 pool featuring a liner replaced 5 years ago that remains in good condition. There is plenty of room for entertaining, outdoor activities, or simply relaxing in your own private space. Conveniently located in White Plains with easy access to shopping, dining, schools, and commuter routes. Property is being sold strictly AS IS, presenting a great opportunity for buyers looking for value, space, and the chance to make it their own.
Key facts
- 0.48 acre lot
- 4 parking spots
- Pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $369k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $147 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $324k (12.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $324k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.8% in Waldorf — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#141 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D-, amenities F.
- Charles County Public Schools (suburban): math 13% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #14 of 24 in MD (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 245 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,542 units permitted in Charles County in 2024 (516 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charles County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $168k; list at $369k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.71%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $440,000
- List price
- $369,000
- Delta
- -16.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-50,477
- Equity at exit
- $55,019
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-32,051
- Equity at exit
- $31,904
Cash invested: $103,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 20695
- Home prices YoY
- -5.3%
- Active inventory
- 245
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,244 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,935
- Tax from tax record
- −$327 /mo · $3,925/yr
- Insurance
- −$154
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$681
- Net cashflow
- $147
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $92,250
- Closing costs
- $11,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10605 Willetts Crossing Rd White Plains, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1514 | $2,390 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4250 Southwinds Pl White Plains, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1338 | $2,800 | $2.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 10930 W Point Pl White Plains, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2171 | $2,979 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 10763 Esprit Pl White Plains, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2016 | $2,800 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-05historical Active Under Contract 901-char remark
Show marketing remark (901 chars)
Welcome to 10205 Ford Ter split foyer with 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths situated on a large fenced corner lot with plenty of space inside and out. Major updates have already been completed, including an HVAC system replaced in 2018, a new roof installed in December 2025, an upgraded electric panel, and a water heater that is only 2 years old. All that's left are cosmetic updating to your taste. The backyard is ready for summer enjoyment with a fenced in yard and 18x36 pool featuring a liner replaced 5 years ago that remains in good condition. There is plenty of room for entertaining, outdoor activities, or simply relaxing in your own private space. Conveniently located in White Plains with easy access to shopping, dining, schools, and commuter routes. Property is being sold strictly AS IS, presenting a great opportunity for buyers looking for value, space, and the chance to make it their own.
-
2026-04-30$369,000 Active 901-char remark
Show marketing remark (901 chars)
Welcome to 10205 Ford Ter split foyer with 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths situated on a large fenced corner lot with plenty of space inside and out. Major updates have already been completed, including an HVAC system replaced in 2018, a new roof installed in December 2025, an upgraded electric panel, and a water heater that is only 2 years old. All that's left are cosmetic updating to your taste. The backyard is ready for summer enjoyment with a fenced in yard and 18x36 pool featuring a liner replaced 5 years ago that remains in good condition. There is plenty of room for entertaining, outdoor activities, or simply relaxing in your own private space. Conveniently located in White Plains with easy access to shopping, dining, schools, and commuter routes. Property is being sold strictly AS IS, presenting a great opportunity for buyers looking for value, space, and the chance to make it their own.
-
2026-03-31historical $369,000 901-char remark
Show marketing remark (901 chars)
Welcome to 10205 Ford Ter split foyer with 4 bedrooms, 2 full baths situated on a large fenced corner lot with plenty of space inside and out. Major updates have already been completed, including an HVAC system replaced in 2018, a new roof installed in December 2025, an upgraded electric panel, and a water heater that is only 2 years old. All that's left are cosmetic updating to your taste. The backyard is ready for summer enjoyment with a fenced in yard and 18x36 pool featuring a liner replaced 5 years ago that remains in good condition. There is plenty of room for entertaining, outdoor activities, or simply relaxing in your own private space. Conveniently located in White Plains with easy access to shopping, dining, schools, and commuter routes. Property is being sold strictly AS IS, presenting a great opportunity for buyers looking for value, space, and the chance to make it their own.
-
1988-10-17soldstatus $168,300
-
1988-10-11soldstatus $107,500
-
1988-02-03soldstatus $67,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,925 · $327/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,973 · $331/mo
- Expected delta
- +$49/yr (+$4/mo · 1.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,927
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,670
- − Property taxes
- −$3,925
- − Insurance
- −$1,845
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,114
- − Management
- −$3,114
- − Depreciation
- −$10,735
- Taxable loss
- −$4,475
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,074
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,836/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charles County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400270
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $90,389
- Composite
- 22.54/100
- National rank
- #8087
- State rank
- #14 of 24 in MD
Livability — Waldorf
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #141
- US rank
- #6083
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Charles County · 103,527 people
- City population
- 103,527
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,407
- Household income
- $141,959
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 311.0
Population outlook (Charles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 176,616 people
- By 2030
- 186,471 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 206,472 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 224,883 · +27.3%
- By 2075
- 272,101 · +54.1%
- By 2100
- 303,564 · +71.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 61% White 23% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+40.7) · D 69.2% · R 28.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.2pp toward D · 2008: 25.5pp · 2024: 40.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+40.7 2020: D+40.9 2016: D+30.2 2012: D+31.3 2008: D+25.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.63%
- Current HPI
- 226.972
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+446.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $369,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-31 Coming Soon $369,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1988-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $168,300 Public Records
- 1988-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $107,500 Public Records
- 1988-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $67,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,925 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…