200 Gallup Hill Rd · Mashantucket, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.7/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CONDO PRICED TO SELL (Ledyard, CT. ) LEDYARD, This attractive 2 BDR. 1ST. Floor CONDO is in a nice residential area near FOXWOODS CASINO and downtown GROTON. It is down the street from LEDYARD HIGH and MIDDLE SCHOOL and next to convenient shopping with a grocery store, pizza shop, gas station and a day care center. The unit offers 784 +/- square feet of space, updated full bathroom and lots of closets. LAUNDRY facilities are on the premises as well as a private back yard for barbecuing. Secure treed area for kids to play and a day care center is across the street. Ample off-street parking is next to unit. Cable TV connections are in each room. Perfect to live in or as an INVESTMENT PROPERTY. PRICE: $165,900 CALL: 860-912-7459 EMAIL: [email protected]
Key facts
- Laundry facilities
- Private back yard
- First floor condo
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $166k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $552 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $166k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 3.6% in Mashantucket — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#89 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Ledyard School District (rural): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #92 of 153 in CT (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 274 days — a 12% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 274 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.26%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,191
- List price
- $165,900
- Delta
- 19.19%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $8,307
- Equity at exit
- $24,736
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $52,636
- Equity at exit
- $14,344
Cash invested: $46,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06339
- Home prices YoY
- -19.4%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,150 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$870
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$207 /mo · $2,488/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$452
- Net cashflow
- $552
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,475
- Closing costs
- $4,977
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 Town Farm Rd Unit A Ledyard, CT | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,150 | $1.95 | 12d | 1 | 0.50mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- gascable
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $165,900 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,900 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,900 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,900 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,900 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $165,900 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,900 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $165,900 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,900 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,900 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,900 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $165,900 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,900 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,900 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,900 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,900 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $165,900 Active 254 DOM
-
2025-09-18$165,900 Active 766-char remark
Show marketing remark (766 chars)
CONDO PRICED TO SELL (Ledyard, CT. ) LEDYARD, This attractive 2 BDR. 1ST. Floor CONDO is in a nice residential area near FOXWOODS CASINO and downtown GROTON. It is down the street from LEDYARD HIGH and MIDDLE SCHOOL and next to convenient shopping with a grocery store, pizza shop, gas station and a day care center. The unit offers 784 +/- square feet of space, updated full bathroom and lots of closets. LAUNDRY facilities are on the premises as well as a private back yard for barbecuing. Secure treed area for kids to play and a day care center is across the street. Ample off-street parking is next to unit. Cable TV connections are in each room. Perfect to live in or as an INVESTMENT PROPERTY. PRICE: $165,900 CALL: 860-912-7459 EMAIL: [email protected]
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,293
- − Property taxes
- −$2,488
- − Insurance
- −$830
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,064
- − Management
- −$2,064
- − Depreciation
- −$4,826
- Taxable income
- $4,235
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,016
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,608/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This 2-bedroom condo is in average condition with some cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
- Minor HVAC units — standard units
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Resale replace kitchen cabinets — new cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — new fixtures enhance functionality and aesthetics
- Both landscaping — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| HVAC units · standard units | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale replace kitchen cabinets — new cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale update bathroom fixtures — new fixtures enhance functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both landscaping — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ledyard School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902160
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $84,854
- Composite
- 39.02/100
- National rank
- #4064
- State rank
- #92 of 153 in CT
Livability — Mashantucket
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #89
- US rank
- #6996
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 62
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,263
Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 293,442
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 3% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.39%
- Current HPI
- 255.764
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-09-18 Listed $165,900 ForSaleByOwner.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…