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200 Gallup Hill Rd
C Composite 59.36
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.7/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,900

200 Gallup Hill Rd · Mashantucket, CT 06339
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 785 sqft · Condo · 274 Days on market
Built 1985 Average condition $211/sqft · 19% above area Est $139k · 19% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CONDO PRICED TO SELL (Ledyard, CT. ) LEDYARD, This attractive 2 BDR. 1ST. Floor CONDO is in a nice residential area near FOXWOODS CASINO and downtown GROTON. It is down the street from LEDYARD HIGH and MIDDLE SCHOOL and next to convenient shopping with a grocery store, pizza shop, gas station and a day care center. The unit offers 784 +/- square feet of space, updated full bathroom and lots of closets. LAUNDRY facilities are on the premises as well as a private back yard for barbecuing. Secure treed area for kids to play and a day care center is across the street. Ample off-street parking is next to unit. Cable TV connections are in each room. Perfect to live in or as an INVESTMENT PROPERTY. PRICE: $165,900 CALL: 860-912-7459 EMAIL: [email protected]

Key facts

  • Laundry facilities
  • Private back yard
  • First floor condo

Tags

FIRST FLOOR CONDOUPDATED FULL BATHROOMPRIVATE BACK YARDAMPLE OFF STREET PARKINGLAUNDRY FACILITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $166k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $552 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $166k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 3.6% in Mashantucket — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#89 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Ledyard School District (rural): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #92 of 153 in CT (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 274 days — a 12% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,992 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 274 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.29%
Cash-on-cash
14.26%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$139,191
List price
$165,900
Delta
19.19%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$8,307
Equity at exit
$24,736
10-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$52,636
Equity at exit
$14,344

Cash invested: $46,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06339

Home prices YoY
-19.4%
Active inventory
36
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,150 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$870
Tax est. 1.5%
$207 /mo · $2,488/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$452
Net cashflow
$552

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,451
Max offer price $165,900
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,475
Closing costs
$4,977
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
50 Town Farm Rd Unit A Ledyard, CT 2.0 1.5 1100 $2,150 $1.95 12d 1 0.50mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
gascable
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $165,900 Active 274 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,900 Active 273 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,900 Active 272 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,900 Active 271 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,900 Active 270 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,900 Active 268 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $165,900 Active 267 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $165,900 Active 265 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,900 Active 264 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,900 Active 263 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,900 Active 262 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $165,900 Active 259 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,900 Active 258 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,900 Active 257 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,900 Active 256 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,900 Active 255 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $165,900 Active 254 DOM
  18. 2025-09-18
    listed $165,900 Active 766-char remark
    Show marketing remark (766 chars)

    CONDO PRICED TO SELL (Ledyard, CT. ) LEDYARD, This attractive 2 BDR. 1ST. Floor CONDO is in a nice residential area near FOXWOODS CASINO and downtown GROTON. It is down the street from LEDYARD HIGH and MIDDLE SCHOOL and next to convenient shopping with a grocery store, pizza shop, gas station and a day care center. The unit offers 784 +/- square feet of space, updated full bathroom and lots of closets. LAUNDRY facilities are on the premises as well as a private back yard for barbecuing. Secure treed area for kids to play and a day care center is across the street. Ample off-street parking is next to unit. Cable TV connections are in each room. Perfect to live in or as an INVESTMENT PROPERTY. PRICE: $165,900 CALL: 860-912-7459 EMAIL: [email protected]

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,800
− Mortgage interest
−$9,293
− Property taxes
−$2,488
− Insurance
−$830
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,064
− Management
−$2,064
− Depreciation
−$4,826
Taxable income
$4,235
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,016
After-tax cash flow
$5,608/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Average 55/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2-bedroom condo is in average condition with some cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
  • Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
  • Minor HVAC units — standard units

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Resale replace kitchen cabinets — new cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Resale update bathroom fixtures — new fixtures enhance functionality and aesthetics
  • Both landscaping — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and worn Moderate $3,000–15,000
bathroom fixtures · dated and worn Moderate $3,000–15,000
HVAC units · standard units Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $6,500–33,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Resale replace kitchen cabinets — new cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Resale update bathroom fixtures — new fixtures enhance functionality and aesthetics
  • Both landscaping — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ledyard School District
NCES district ID
0902160
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$84,854
Composite
39.02/100
National rank
#4064
State rank
#92 of 153 in CT

Livability — Mashantucket

Score
71/100
State rank
#89
US rank
#6996

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
62
Population (ZIP)
9,263

Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
293,442

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 3% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
All cycles
2024: D+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -61.39%
Current HPI
255.764
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-09-18 Listed $165,900 ForSaleByOwner.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…