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6409 Longmont Trl
D Composite 44.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

6409 Longmont Trl · Fort Worth, TX 76179
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,228 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1998 5,009 sqft lot Est $241k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

READY MOVE-IN. JUST INSTALLED NEW CARPET. MOST AFFORDABLE 3 BR, 2 BATH, ONE AND ONE HALF CAR GARAGE, GDO. SPACIOUS LIVING AREA-DINING AREA. FRIDGE IN KITCHEN STAYS. COVERED PATIO. JUST INSTALLED BACK PART OF FENCE. A MUST-SEE NICE HOME. OWNER'S DISCLOSURE IN SUPPLEMENTS.

Key facts

  • Galley-style kitchen
  • Laundry area
  • Dual closets

Tags

GALLEY-STYLE KITCHENBAR SEATINGPANTRY FOR ADDITIONAL STORAGELAUNDRY AREADUAL CLOSETSPRIVATE ENSUITE BATH

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with inside entrance; Garage door opener; Garage faces front; 2-car single door covered parking; Driveway
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Concrete curbs
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story (one level); Property attached: Yes
  • Construction: Built in 1998; Brick and siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Gutters; Wood fencing; Landscaped interior lot in a subdivision

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Galley kitchen with built-in cabinets; Breakfast bar; Pantry; Water line to refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom with ensuite bath and walk-in closet
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heat (electric); Central air (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; Chandelier and decorative lighting; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); Window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area with washer and electric dryer hookups; Laundry room on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-67 ($-802/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $203k (5.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (2.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $203k (5.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Eagle Mt-Saginaw ISD (urban): math 35% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #361 of 826 in TX (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Elkins El (math 30% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 656 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 36% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 1050 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $203,188 (5.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
5.92%
Cash-on-cash
-1.33%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$240,688
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6309 Fern Meadow Dr 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,266 (+3%) 5mo $245,000 $194 86
6400 Twilight Cir 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,286 (+5%) 6mo $244,900 $190 84
6424 Fern Meadow Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,356 (+10%) 3mo $279,900 $206 76
5563 Northfield Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,317 (+7%) 6mo $260,000 $197 74
6432 Twilight Cir 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,386 (+13%) 2mo $245,000 $177 71
5528 Stone Meadow Ln 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,328 (+8%) 9mo $260,000 $196 70
6329 Woodcreek Trl 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,394 (+14%) 6mo $260,000 $187 70
6436 Twilight Cir 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,358 (+11%) 8mo $247,500 $182 70
5801 Stone Meadow Ln 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,364 (+11%) 7mo $265,000 $194 69
6401 Riverwater Trl 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,248 (+2%) 8mo $265,000 $212 66
5728 Shady Springs Trl 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,397 (+14%) 10mo $287,500 $206 64
6708 Glimfeather 0.68mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,390 (+13%) 4mo $272,999 $196 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.3%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-42,009
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
-17.5%
Equity multiple
0.11×
Total profit
$-53,643
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76179

Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
1050
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,088 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$499 /mo · $5,987/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$438
Net cashflow
$-67

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,172
Max offer price $203,188
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6432 Twilight Cir Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1386 $1,925 $1.39 7d 1 0.13mi
5620 Stone Meadow Ln Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1292 $1,950 $1.51 24d 1 0.15mi
5716 Stone Meadow Ln Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1356 $2,135 $1.57 24d 1 0.15mi
5725 Northfield Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1275 $1,860 $1.46 20d 1 0.18mi
5612 Northfield Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1336 $2,083 $1.56 12d 1 0.20mi
5824 Heatherglen Ter Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1297 $1,865 $1.44 5d 1 0.29mi
6333 Armadillo Ct Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1394 $2,045 $1.47 24d 1 0.43mi
6433 Riverwater Trl Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1150 $2,100 $1.83 24d 1 0.57mi
6260 Trinity Creek Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1310 $2,150 $1.64 12d 1 0.79mi
6316 Downeast Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1265 $1,825 $1.44 2d 1 0.89mi
7324 Gillis Johnson St Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 750 $1,467 $1.96 24d 1 1.06mi
7328 Gillis Johnson St Unit 7328B Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 750 $1,467 $1.96 24d 1 1.07mi
4900 Old Ember Ln Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,500 $1.19 7d 1 1.22mi
6464 Robertson Rd Fort Worth, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 837 $3,748 $4.48 1d 1 1.26mi
102 Bedford Cir Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.5 1490 $2,319 $1.56 17d 1 1.28mi
7032 Fieldview St Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 984 $2,003 $2.04 24d 1 1.30mi
1149 Landsdale Ln Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.0 1179 $1,495 $1.27 18d 1 1.32mi
1149 Landsdale Ln Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.0 1179 $1,495 $1.27 12d 1 1.32mi
206 Hardwick Dr Saginaw, TX 3.0–4.0 2.5–3.0 1747 $2,299 $1.32 5d 1 1.36mi
1116 Landsdale Ln Saginaw, TX 2.0 1.0 970 $1,295 $1.34 24d 1 1.37mi
101 Rutland Ct Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.5 1490 $2,299 $1.54 6d 1 1.43mi
102 Rutland Ct Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.5 1490 $2,319 $1.56 17d 1 1.44mi
5400 Huffines Blvd Fort Worth, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1151 $2,564 $2.23 2d 32 1.45mi
5420 Huffines Blvd Unit 2202 Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 1112 $1,475 $1.33 43d 1 1.48mi
6608 Babylon Blvd Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1489 $2,550 $1.71 24d 1 1.48mi
8205 Buck Mountain Pass Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1316 $1,995 $1.52 12d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $215,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $215,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,987 · $499/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,987 · $499/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,050
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$5,987
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,004
− Management
−$2,004
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$4,318
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,036
After-tax cash flow
$234/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Eagle Mt-Saginaw ISD
NCES district ID
4817700
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$72,781
Composite
35.41/100
National rank
#4945
State rank
#361 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fort Worth

Score
80/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#1954

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Worth, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
911,619
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
80,090
Household income
$107,428
Rent vs Own
20.9% rent · 79.1% own
Severe rent burden
1494.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 14% Black 12% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -137.12%
Current HPI
237.6676
Rent YoY
▲ 1.51%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+56.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $215,000 NTREIS
  • 2016-09-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-09-16 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2016-08-21 Pending NTREIS
  • 2016-08-09 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2016-07-21 Listed $137,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,987 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…