6409 Longmont Trl · Fort Worth, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- Cash flow +11.6/30.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
READY MOVE-IN. JUST INSTALLED NEW CARPET. MOST AFFORDABLE 3 BR, 2 BATH, ONE AND ONE HALF CAR GARAGE, GDO. SPACIOUS LIVING AREA-DINING AREA. FRIDGE IN KITCHEN STAYS. COVERED PATIO. JUST INSTALLED BACK PART OF FENCE. A MUST-SEE NICE HOME. OWNER'S DISCLOSURE IN SUPPLEMENTS.
Key facts
- Galley-style kitchen
- Laundry area
- Dual closets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with inside entrance; Garage door opener; Garage faces front; 2-car single door covered parking; Driveway
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Concrete curbs
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story (one level); Property attached: Yes
- Construction: Built in 1998; Brick and siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Gutters; Wood fencing; Landscaped interior lot in a subdivision
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Galley kitchen with built-in cabinets; Breakfast bar; Pantry; Water line to refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom with ensuite bath and walk-in closet
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heat (electric); Central air (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; Chandelier and decorative lighting; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area with washer and electric dryer hookups; Laundry room on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-67 ($-802/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $203k (5.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (2.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $203k (5.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Eagle Mt-Saginaw ISD (urban): math 35% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #361 of 826 in TX (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Elkins El (math 30% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 656 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 36% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 1050 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.33%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $240,688
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6309 Fern Meadow Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,266 (+3%) | 5mo | $245,000 | $194 | 86 |
| 6400 Twilight Cir | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,286 (+5%) | 6mo | $244,900 | $190 | 84 |
| 6424 Fern Meadow Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,356 (+10%) | 3mo | $279,900 | $206 | 76 |
| 5563 Northfield Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,317 (+7%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $197 | 74 |
| 6432 Twilight Cir | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,386 (+13%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $177 | 71 |
| 5528 Stone Meadow Ln | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (+8%) | 9mo | $260,000 | $196 | 70 |
| 6329 Woodcreek Trl | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,394 (+14%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $187 | 70 |
| 6436 Twilight Cir | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,358 (+11%) | 8mo | $247,500 | $182 | 70 |
| 5801 Stone Meadow Ln | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,364 (+11%) | 7mo | $265,000 | $194 | 69 |
| 6401 Riverwater Trl | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+2%) | 8mo | $265,000 | $212 | 66 |
| 5728 Shady Springs Trl | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,397 (+14%) | 10mo | $287,500 | $206 | 64 |
| 6708 Glimfeather | 0.68mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,390 (+13%) | 4mo | $272,999 | $196 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-42,009
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- -17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-53,643
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76179
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 1050
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,088 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$499 /mo · $5,987/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$438
- Net cashflow
- $-67
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6432 Twilight Cir Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $1,925 | $1.39 | 7d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 5620 Stone Meadow Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $1,950 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 5716 Stone Meadow Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1356 | $2,135 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 5725 Northfield Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,860 | $1.46 | 20d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 5612 Northfield Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $2,083 | $1.56 | 12d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5824 Heatherglen Ter Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1297 | $1,865 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 6333 Armadillo Ct Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $2,045 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 6433 Riverwater Trl Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,100 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 6260 Trinity Creek Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $2,150 | $1.64 | 12d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 6316 Downeast Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1265 | $1,825 | $1.44 | 2d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 7324 Gillis Johnson St Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,467 | $1.96 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 7328 Gillis Johnson St Unit 7328B Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,467 | $1.96 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4900 Old Ember Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,500 | $1.19 | 7d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 6464 Robertson Rd Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 837 | $3,748 | $4.48 | 1d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 102 Bedford Cir Saginaw, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1490 | $2,319 | $1.56 | 17d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7032 Fieldview St Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $2,003 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1149 Landsdale Ln Saginaw, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1179 | $1,495 | $1.27 | 18d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1149 Landsdale Ln Saginaw, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1179 | $1,495 | $1.27 | 12d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 206 Hardwick Dr Saginaw, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.0 | 1747 | $2,299 | $1.32 | 5d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1116 Landsdale Ln Saginaw, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,295 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 101 Rutland Ct Saginaw, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1490 | $2,299 | $1.54 | 6d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 102 Rutland Ct Saginaw, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1490 | $2,319 | $1.56 | 17d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5400 Huffines Blvd Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1151 | $2,564 | $2.23 | 2d | 32 | 1.45mi |
| 5420 Huffines Blvd Unit 2202 Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $1,475 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 6608 Babylon Blvd Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1489 | $2,550 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 8205 Buck Mountain Pass Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $1,995 | $1.52 | 12d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$215,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,987 · $499/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,987 · $499/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,050
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$5,987
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,004
- − Management
- −$2,004
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$4,318
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,036
- After-tax cash flow
- $234/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eagle Mt-Saginaw ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4817700
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,781
- Composite
- 35.41/100
- National rank
- #4945
- State rank
- #361 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fort Worth
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #1954
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Worth, TX
- County
- Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
- City population
- 911,619
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 80,090
- Household income
- $107,428
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1494.0
Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,380,417 people
- By 2030
- 2,578,900 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 2,974,995 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 3,350,489 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 4,216,909 · +77.2%
- By 2100
- 4,741,527 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 14% Black 12% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -137.12%
- Current HPI
- 237.6676
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.51%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+56.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $215,000 NTREIS
- 2016-09-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-09-16 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2016-08-21 Pending — NTREIS
- 2016-08-09 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2016-07-21 Listed $137,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,987 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…