176 County Road 2760 · Huxley, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2010 built 1/1 home sits nicely on . 82 acres in cozy Rogers Harbor! Spacious kitchen with quaint bedroom and bath. Building on the property allows for ample storage. Call today and let's get you in to take a look!
Key facts
- Spacious kitchen
- Ample storage
- 0.82 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $93 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($809 rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $72k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#863 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Joaquin ISD (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #202 of 826 in TX (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shelby County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.05%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.07% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-3,756
- Equity at exit
- $15,079
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $7,172
- Equity at exit
- $12,636
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75973
- Home prices YoY
- -1.3%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $809 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$170
- Net cashflow
- $93
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2025-07-28$79,000 Active 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
2010 built 1/1 home sits nicely on . 82 acres in cozy Rogers Harbor! Spacious kitchen with quaint bedroom and bath. Building on the property allows for ample storage. Call today and let's get you in to take a look!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,707
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,185
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$777
- − Management
- −$777
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable loss
- −$149
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$36
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,153/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-family home, built in 2010, offers a spacious kitchen and bedroom with a functional bathroom. While the home is in average condition, moderate renovations to the kitchen and interior would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
- Moderate kitchen appliances — dated and worn
- Minor bathroom fixtures — slightly worn
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — modernizing kitchen will appeal to buyers and renters
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both replace worn flooring — new flooring improves home's appearance and functionality
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| kitchen appliances · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · slightly worn | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — modernizing kitchen will appeal to buyers and renters ↑
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both replace worn flooring — new flooring improves home's appearance and functionality ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Joaquin ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4824810
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,025
- Composite
- 41.32/100
- National rank
- #3508
- State rank
- #202 of 826 in TX
Livability — Huxley
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #863
- US rank
- #15570
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,564
Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,199 people
- By 2030
- 24,986 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 24,646 · -2.2%
- By 2050
- 24,144 · -4.2%
- By 2075
- 22,328 · -11.4%
- By 2100
- 18,734 · -25.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Scottish 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Shelby
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.6) · D 17.5% · R 82.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.3pp toward R · 2008: -44.3pp · 2024: -64.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.6 2020: R+58.6 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+49.1 2008: R+44.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.07%
- Current HPI
- 154.4854
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-07-28 Listed $79,000 Deep East Texas MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…