CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
176 County Road 2760
C Composite 55.22
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$79,000

176 County Road 2760 · Huxley, TX 75973
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 680 sqft · SingleFamily · 116 Days on market
Built 2010 Average condition 0.82 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2010 built 1/1 home sits nicely on . 82 acres in cozy Rogers Harbor! Spacious kitchen with quaint bedroom and bath. Building on the property allows for ample storage. Call today and let's get you in to take a look!

Key facts

  • Spacious kitchen
  • Ample storage
  • 0.82 acre lot

Tags

SPACIOUS KITCHENAMPLE STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $93 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($809 rent vs $79k).
  • Recommended offer: $72k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#863 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Joaquin ISD (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #202 of 826 in TX (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Shelby County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $71,890 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.71%
Cash-on-cash
5.05%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.07% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-3,756
Equity at exit
$15,079
10-year hold
IRR
3.9%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$7,172
Equity at exit
$12,636

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75973

Home prices YoY
-1.3%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$809 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax est. 1.5%
$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$170
Net cashflow
$93

Break-even live

Break-even rent $691
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,000 Active 116 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,000 Active 115 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,000 Active 114 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,000 Active 113 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,000 Active 111 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,000 Active 110 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $79,000 Active 107 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 106 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 105 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,000 Active 103 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,000 Active 101 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,000 Active 100 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,000 Active 99 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,000 Active 98 DOM
  15. 2025-07-28
    listed $79,000 Active 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    2010 built 1/1 home sits nicely on . 82 acres in cozy Rogers Harbor! Spacious kitchen with quaint bedroom and bath. Building on the property allows for ample storage. Call today and let's get you in to take a look!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,707
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$1,185
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$777
− Management
−$777
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable loss
−$149
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$36
After-tax cash flow
$1,153/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Average 55/100 Moderate rehab

This single-family home, built in 2010, offers a spacious kitchen and bedroom with a functional bathroom. While the home is in average condition, moderate renovations to the kitchen and interior would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
  • Moderate kitchen appliances — dated and worn
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — slightly worn

Value-add opportunities

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — modernizing kitchen will appeal to buyers and renters
  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace worn flooring — new flooring improves home's appearance and functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and worn Moderate $3,000–15,000
kitchen appliances · dated and worn Moderate $3,000–15,000
bathroom fixtures · slightly worn Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $6,500–33,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — modernizing kitchen will appeal to buyers and renters
  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both replace worn flooring — new flooring improves home's appearance and functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Joaquin ISD
NCES district ID
4824810
Math proficiency
52% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,025
Composite
41.32/100
National rank
#3508
State rank
#202 of 826 in TX

Livability — Huxley

Score
63/100
State rank
#863
US rank
#15570

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,564

Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,199 people
By 2030
24,986 · -0.8%
By 2040
24,646 · -2.2%
By 2050
24,144 · -4.2%
By 2075
22,328 · -11.4%
By 2100
18,734 · -25.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Scottish 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Shelby

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.6) · D 17.5% · R 82.1%
2008→2024 swing
-20.3pp toward R · 2008: -44.3pp · 2024: -64.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.6 2020: R+58.6 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+49.1 2008: R+44.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.07%
Current HPI
154.4854
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-07-28 Listed $79,000 Deep East Texas MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…