2214 Ibis Ct · Castle Point, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this inviting St. Louis ranch in Ibis Court! This property features approximately 1,420 square feet of living space, highlighted by 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a cozy fireplace perfect for relaxing evenings. The home offers a functional layout with a full basement for extra storage and the convenience of a 2-car attached garage. Tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac, this residence provides a versatile and comfortable environment for any lifestyle.
Key facts
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- Full basement
- Cozy fireplace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $117k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 13.0% in Castle Point — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#313 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.83%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $152,246
- List price
- $124,900
- Delta
- -17.96%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Capitol Hill Dr | 0.14mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,470 (+4%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $102 | 77 |
| 10626 Landseer Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,401 (-1%) | 5mo | $121,000 | $86 | 76 |
| 10618 Woodwind Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,406 (-1%) | 0mo | $129,900 | $92 | 76 |
| 10412 Viscount Dr | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,528 (+8%) | 1mo | $89,900 | $59 | 73 |
| 10412 Hallwood Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 1,573 (+11%) | 0mo | $159,900 | $102 | 73 |
| 10208 Monarch Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 | 1,382 (-3%) | 8mo | $154,900 | $112 | 62 |
| 2250 Gadbury Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (+4%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $47 | 61 |
| 2270 Ainsworth Dr | 0.37mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,276 (-10%) | 2mo | $94,900 | $74 | 52 |
| 10197 Green Valley Dr | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,245 (-12%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $100 | 50 |
| 2018 Elkins Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,236 (-13%) | 8mo | $174,900 | $142 | 48 |
| 2291 Heritage Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,276 (-10%) | 8mo | $159,000 | $125 | 45 |
| 2241 Luxmore Dr | 0.58mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,276 (-10%) | 2mo | $187,500 | $147 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $37,755
- Equity at exit
- $61,799
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.21×
- Total profit
- $112,264
- Equity at exit
- $99,878
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63136
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,407 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$176 /mo · $2,115/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $228
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62 Capitol Hill Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $1,250 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2259 Ainsworth Dr Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1561 | $2,100 | $1.35 | 2d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2259 Ainsworth Dr Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,776 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 10322 Monarch Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,728 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 10504 Baron Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 8d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 10409 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 10239 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 10512 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,195 | $1.35 | 15d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 10129 Cavalier Ct Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 912 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 13061 Lord Dr St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,040 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1915 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1740 | $1,500 | $0.86 | 4d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2257 Luxmore Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1073 | $1,495 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 10501 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1140 | $1,090 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 10113 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $775 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 10078 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,325 | $1.47 | 8d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 10304 Bon Oak Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 10441 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1380 | $1,380 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 10421 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,275 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2257 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 10139 Royal Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $900 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 10557 Castle Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $1,300 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2326 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,050 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1926 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $995 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2544 Netherton Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,945 | $1.51 | 2d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2321 Noll Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,320 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2745 Rottingdean Dr St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $975 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1654 Mowbry Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1547 Babcock Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,480 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 9812 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,495 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1520 Attica Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,200 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 10329 Chesley Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 9744 Lanier Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,345 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 9709 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1733 Kappel Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 9840 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,095 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 9868 Lorna Ln Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,175 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 9839 Medford Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,095 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2152 Nemnich Rd Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1030 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 9723 Portage Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,450 | $1.43 | 8d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 9850 Dennis Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,175 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $124,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-04-24price $124,900 474-char remark
Show marketing remark (474 chars)
Welcome to this inviting St. Louis ranch in Ibis Court! This property features approximately 1,420 square feet of living space, highlighted by 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a cozy fireplace perfect for relaxing evenings. The home offers a functional layout with a full basement for extra storage and the convenience of a 2-car attached garage. Tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac, this residence provides a versatile and comfortable environment for any lifestyle.
-
2026-03-18$134,900 Active 474-char remark
Show marketing remark (474 chars)
Welcome to this inviting St. Louis ranch in Ibis Court! This property features approximately 1,420 square feet of living space, highlighted by 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a cozy fireplace perfect for relaxing evenings. The home offers a functional layout with a full basement for extra storage and the convenience of a 2-car attached garage. Tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac, this residence provides a versatile and comfortable environment for any lifestyle.
-
2023-04-12soldstatus $165,000
-
2020-06-26soldstatus $79,000
-
2004-01-16soldstatus $99,900
-
2003-02-07soldstatus $179,500
-
1993-12-14soldstatus
-
1993-12-14soldstatus
-
1992-08-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,115 · $176/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,115 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,882
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$2,115
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,351
- − Management
- −$1,351
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $812
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$195
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,543/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riverview Gardens
- NCES district ID
- 2926670
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,759
- Composite
- 4.22/100
- National rank
- #10058
- State rank
- #324 of 324 in MO
Livability — Castle Point
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #313
- US rank
- #14373
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,929
- Household income
- $41,154
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3085.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.79%
- Current HPI
- 420.28
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.97%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
-30.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $124,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-18 Listed $134,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2020-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
- 2004-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $99,900 Public Records
- 2003-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $179,500 Public Records
- 1993-12-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1993-12-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1992-08-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2022): $2,115 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…