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7336 Scotland Cir
C+ Composite 60.48
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$68,900

7336 Scotland Cir · Pine River, MI 48801
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Other · 31 Days on market
Built 1993 5,460 sqft lot $44/sqft · 32% above area Est $52k · 32% over ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come tour this home which features a 2 car garage and nice porch. Lots of room. Located in Alma, Michigan, Scotsdale Estates offers families a quaint and secure country neighborhood atmosphere, combined with all the advantages and amenities offered in a city of approximately 10,000 people. Enjoy the security and quiet of this Alma community in a spacious new or high-quality pre-owned manufactured home. Choose from our many unique manufactured home floor plans, styles, and exterior elevations, all at significant savings to conventional housing. Scotsdale Estates is conveniently located near Meijer, Wal-Mart, and several restaurants. A tranquil country setting of mature trees, a scenic reflection pond, and picturesque parklands surround the award-winning community of Scotsdale Estates. Nestled among the rolling countryside of Alma, with streets named Bagpipe Drive, Ladd’s Court, and Pipes Circle, it’s like escaping to the Scottish Highlands! Far removed from the everyday as it may feel, Scotsdale Estates is remarkably accessible to a wealth of shopping, entertainment, and recreational opportunities – many within walking distance. With an attractive clubhouse at the heart of the community, Scotsdale Estates is a place where activities are enjoyed, neighbors become friends, and memories are made.

Key facts

  • Attractive clubhouse
  • Mature trees
  • 5,460 sq ft lot

Tags

SCENIC REFLECTION PONDPICTURESQUE PARKLANDSATTRACTIVE CLUBHOUSEMATURE TREES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $582 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Alma Public Schools (town): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #288 of 540 in MI (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Gratiot County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $476 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gratiot County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $66,833 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.94%
Cap rate
16.42%
Cash-on-cash
36.17%
DSCR
2.61
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$52,253
List price
$68,900
Delta
31.86%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.9%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$25,893
Equity at exit
$10,273
10-year hold
IRR
39.0%
Equity multiple
4.65×
Total profit
$70,321
Equity at exit
$5,957

Cash invested: $19,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48801

Home prices YoY
-32.0%
Active inventory
89
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,339 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$361
Tax est. 1.5%
$86 /mo · $1,034/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$582

Break-even live

Break-even rent $603
Max offer price $68,900
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,225
Closing costs
$2,067
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $68,900 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $68,900 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $68,900 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $68,900 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $68,900 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $68,900 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $68,900 Active 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $68,900 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $68,900 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $68,900 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $68,900 Active 16 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $68,900 Active 15 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $68,900 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $68,900 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $68,900 Active 12 DOM
  16. 2026-05-18
    listed $68,900 Active 1331-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1332 chars)

    Come tour this home which features a 2 car garage and nice porch. Lots of room. Located in Alma, Michigan, Scotsdale Estates offers families a quaint and secure country neighborhood atmosphere, combined with all the advantages and amenities offered in a city of approximately 10,000 people. Enjoy the security and quiet of this Alma community in a spacious new or high-quality pre-owned manufactured home. Choose from our many unique manufactured home floor plans, styles, and exterior elevations, all at significant savings to conventional housing. Scotsdale Estates is conveniently located near Meijer, Wal-Mart, and several restaurants. A tranquil country setting of mature trees, a scenic reflection pond, and picturesque parklands surround the award-winning community of Scotsdale Estates. Nestled among the rolling countryside of Alma, with streets named Bagpipe Drive, Ladd's Court, and Pipes Circle, it's like escaping to the Scottish Highlands! Far removed from the everyday as it may feel, Scotsdale Estates is remarkably accessible to a wealth of shopping, entertainment, and recreational opportunities – many within walking distance. With an attractive clubhouse at the heart of the community, Scotsdale Estates is a place where activities are enjoyed, neighbors become friends, and memories are made.

  17. 2026-05-18
    listed $68,900 Active 1332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1332 chars)

    Come tour this home which features a 2 car garage and nice porch. Lots of room. Located in Alma, Michigan, Scotsdale Estates offers families a quaint and secure country neighborhood atmosphere, combined with all the advantages and amenities offered in a city of approximately 10,000 people. Enjoy the security and quiet of this Alma community in a spacious new or high-quality pre-owned manufactured home. Choose from our many unique manufactured home floor plans, styles, and exterior elevations, all at significant savings to conventional housing. Scotsdale Estates is conveniently located near Meijer, Wal-Mart, and several restaurants. A tranquil country setting of mature trees, a scenic reflection pond, and picturesque parklands surround the award-winning community of Scotsdale Estates. Nestled among the rolling countryside of Alma, with streets named Bagpipe Drive, Ladd's Court, and Pipes Circle, it's like escaping to the Scottish Highlands! Far removed from the everyday as it may feel, Scotsdale Estates is remarkably accessible to a wealth of shopping, entertainment, and recreational opportunities – many within walking distance. With an attractive clubhouse at the heart of the community, Scotsdale Estates is a place where activities are enjoyed, neighbors become friends, and memories are made.

  18. 2026-05-13
    historical
  19. 2026-05-12
    historical
  20. 2026-02-03
    price $68,900
  21. 2026-02-02
    price $68,900
  22. 2025-11-12
    listed $72,900 Active
  23. 2025-11-12
    listed $72,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,066
− Mortgage interest
−$3,859
− Property taxes
−$1,034
− Insurance
−$344
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,285
− Management
−$1,285
− Depreciation
−$2,004
Taxable income
$6,254
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,501
After-tax cash flow
$5,477/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alma Public Schools
NCES district ID
2602640
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$36,651
Composite
29.84/100
National rank
#6415
State rank
#288 of 540 in MI

Livability — Pine River

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
13,433

Population outlook (Gratiot County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,991 people
By 2030
38,944 · -2.6%
By 2040
36,694 · -8.2%
By 2050
34,314 · -14.2%
By 2075
27,693 · -30.8%
By 2100
20,809 · -48.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gratiot

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.3) · D 33.7% · R 65.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-35.7pp toward R · 2008: 4.4pp · 2024: -31.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.3 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+25.6 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+4.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.16%
Current HPI
210.3208
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $68,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $68,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-12 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $68,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $68,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-12 Listed $72,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-12 Listed $72,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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