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18620 Maine St
D Composite 44.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$12,000

18620 Maine St · Detroit, MI 48234
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 889 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 619 Days on market
Built 1950 4,356 sqft lot $13/sqft · 76% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity in the Northeast Central District and awaiting your vision. Offered by the Detroit Landbank Authority, this home is a 3 bedroom bungalow included with the vacant land, 18610 Maine that is 5271 square feet. Sale contingent on buyer/seller executed development agreement. POF documentation MUST be presented with proposal (not just stated in the proposal), development timelines and offer amounts MUST be included in the proposals. Renovation experience whether DLBA or not, MUST include addresses and BEFORE/AFTER photos. Please note that the Detroit Land Bank Authority is entitled to a tax capture for the 5 tax years subsequent to transferring ownership of the property. The tax capture may be incompatible with tax abatements and lot combinations that are otherwise available to the selected purchaser. DLBA will review requests to waive its tax capture rights and may require a payment in lieu of taxes to approve such requests. The payment will be determined upon reviewing the development proforma and effect of any tax abatements on the purchase and development financing. be determined upon reviewing the development proforma and effect of any tax abatements on the purchase and development.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 619 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $12k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $923 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $12k).
  • Recommended offer: $11k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 98.6% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $83 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $360 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 619 days — a 12% lower offer ($11k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $10,560 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 619 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
10.67%
Cap rate
98.63%
Cash-on-cash
329.76%
DSCR
15.67
GRM
0.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$50,066
List price
$12,000
Delta
-76.03%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18877 Fleming St 0.23mi 2/1.0 (-1) 870 (-2%) 3mo $9,900 $11 79
17955 Charest St 0.41mi 3/1.0 880 (-1%) 4mo $51,800 $59 76
18660 Klinger St 0.36mi 4/2.0 (+1) 880 (-1%) 0mo $21,000 $24 72
18128 Fleming St 0.23mi 2/1.0 (-1) 950 (+7%) 1mo $21,500 $23 72
18547 Anglin St 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+12%) 6mo $93,000 $93 71
17888 Marx St 0.52mi 3/1.0 937 (+5%) 2mo $34,000 $36 65
17139 Mackay St 0.75mi 3/1.0 896 (+1%) 1mo $30,000 $33 63
19227 Ryan Rd 0.71mi 3/1.0 919 (+3%) 1mo $38,000 $41 60
19619 Norwood St 0.70mi 3/1.0 941 (+6%) 2mo $30,500 $32 56
19300 Binder St 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 820 (-8%) 4mo $10,000 $12 45
18905 Dean St 0.71mi 3/1.0 990 (+11%) 6mo $88,900 $90 43
17833 Binder St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+12%) 4mo $46,000 $46 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
19.41×
Total profit
$61,856
Equity at exit
$1,789
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
46.15×
Total profit
$151,699
Equity at exit
$1,038

Cash invested: $3,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48234

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
226
Price-to-rent
0.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,280 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$63
Tax from tax record
$20 /mo · $240/yr
Insurance
$5
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$923

Break-even live

Break-even rent $111
Max offer price $12,000
Occupancy floor 23%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,000
Closing costs
$360
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,150 $1.28 24d 1 0.18mi
18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 16d 1 0.18mi
18084 Goddard St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 790 $1,050 $1.33 16d 1 0.22mi
18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 16d 1 0.30mi
18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 43d 1 0.41mi
19360 Revere St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 24d 1 0.61mi
19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 5d 1 0.70mi
19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 15d 1 0.70mi
18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,250 $1.72 18d 1 0.79mi
19930 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 16d 1 0.97mi
13929 Arlington St Unit 2 Hamtramck, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 43d 1 1.01mi
20255 Harned St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,374 $1.37 16d 1 1.03mi
19162 Conley St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 43d 1 1.24mi
19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,384 $1.30 5d 1 1.26mi
18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 870 $1,195 $1.37 16d 1 1.32mi
2034 John B Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 920 $1,261 $1.37 43d 1 1.34mi
19361 Moenart St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 24d 1 1.38mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 979 $975 $1.00 22d 1 1.40mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 979 $975 $1.00 43d 1 1.40mi
19703 Keating St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 16d 1 1.40mi
19260 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 4d 1 1.44mi
21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 756 $1,029 $1.36 24d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $12,000 Active 619 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $12,000 Active 618 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $12,000 Active 616 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $12,000 Active 614 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $12,000 Active 613 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $12,000 Active 610 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $12,000 Active 609 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $12,000 Active 608 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $12,000 Active 605 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $12,000 Active 604 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $12,000 Active 602 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $12,000 Active 601 DOM
  13. 2024-10-07
    listed $12,000 Active 1228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1228 chars)

    Great investment opportunity in the Northeast Central District and awaiting your vision. Offered by the Detroit Landbank Authority, this home is a 3 bedroom bungalow included with the vacant land, 18610 Maine that is 5271 square feet. Sale contingent on buyer/seller executed development agreement. POF documentation MUST be presented with proposal (not just stated in the proposal), development timelines and offer amounts MUST be included in the proposals. Renovation experience whether DLBA or not, MUST include addresses and BEFORE/AFTER photos. Please note that the Detroit Land Bank Authority is entitled to a tax capture for the 5 tax years subsequent to transferring ownership of the property. The tax capture may be incompatible with tax abatements and lot combinations that are otherwise available to the selected purchaser. DLBA will review requests to waive its tax capture rights and may require a payment in lieu of taxes to approve such requests. The payment will be determined upon reviewing the development proforma and effect of any tax abatements on the purchase and development financing. be determined upon reviewing the development proforma and effect of any tax abatements on the purchase and development.

  14. 2024-10-07
    listed $12,000 Active 1228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1228 chars)

    Great investment opportunity in the Northeast Central District and awaiting your vision. Offered by the Detroit Landbank Authority, this home is a 3 bedroom bungalow included with the vacant land, 18610 Maine that is 5271 square feet. Sale contingent on buyer/seller executed development agreement. POF documentation MUST be presented with proposal (not just stated in the proposal), development timelines and offer amounts MUST be included in the proposals. Renovation experience whether DLBA or not, MUST include addresses and BEFORE/AFTER photos. Please note that the Detroit Land Bank Authority is entitled to a tax capture for the 5 tax years subsequent to transferring ownership of the property. The tax capture may be incompatible with tax abatements and lot combinations that are otherwise available to the selected purchaser. DLBA will review requests to waive its tax capture rights and may require a payment in lieu of taxes to approve such requests. The payment will be determined upon reviewing the development proforma and effect of any tax abatements on the purchase and development financing. be determined upon reviewing the development proforma and effect of any tax abatements on the purchase and development.

  15. 2005-10-28
    historical
  16. 2005-07-29
    historical
  17. 2005-04-29
    listed $40,000
  18. 2005-04-29
    listed $54,900
  19. 2005-02-07
    historical
  20. 2004-08-07
    listed $54,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$240 · $20/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$240 · $20/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,361
− Mortgage interest
−$672
− Property taxes
−$240
− Insurance
−$60
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,229
− Management
−$1,229
− Depreciation
−$349
Taxable income
$11,582
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,780
After-tax cash flow
$8,300/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,760
Household income
$35,322
Rent vs Own
47.0% rent · 53.0% own
Severe rent burden
2372.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.65%
Current HPI
328.8978
Rent YoY
▲ 6.72%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-78.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2024-10-07 Listed $12,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-10-07 Listed $12,000 REALCOMP
  • 2005-10-28 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2005-07-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-04-29 Listed $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-04-29 Listed $40,000 REALCOMP
  • 2005-02-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-08-07 Listed $54,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2016): $240 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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