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14230 Saratoga St
D Composite 42.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$11,000

14230 Saratoga St · Detroit, MI 48205
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,466 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1926 3,920 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special! Great opportunity for your next rehab project. Property needs a full renovation but has strong potential for fix-and-flip or rental income. Low acquisition cost with plenty of upside. Sold as-is. Serious investors only.

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1926

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.09 acres (36 x 103); Subdivision: SEYMOUR & TROESTERS MONTCLAIR HEIGHTS 2

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Home warranty included

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; Basement present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $11k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $11k).
  • Recommended offer: $11k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 119.4% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $76 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $330 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($11k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (48%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $10,835 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
12.80%
Cap rate
119.37%
Cash-on-cash
403.83%
DSCR
18.97
GRM
0.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$79,164
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14289 Linnhurst St 0.10mi 4/1.0 1,544 (+5%) 8mo $83,000 $54 80
13707 Linnhurst St 0.32mi 4/1.0 1,500 (+2%) 10mo $38,000 $25 73
13630 Eastwood St 0.39mi 4/1.5 1,403 (-4%) 8mo $135,000 $96 66
14841 Maddelein St 0.47mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,516 (+3%) 3mo $20,000 $13 65
13728 Mapleridge St 0.43mi 4/2.0 1,440 (-2%) 14mo $115,000 $80 62
14665 Saratoga St 0.27mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,311 (-11%) 9mo $130,000 $99 57
13830 Eastwood St 0.27mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,300 (-11%) 6mo $68,000 $52 57
12854 Hickory St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,512 (+3%) 8mo $75,000 $50 51
14100 Rossini Dr 0.72mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,488 (+2%) 9mo $112,000 $75 49
18687 Joann St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,481 (+1%) 14mo $40,000 $27 49
15309 Mapleridge St 0.73mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,348 (-8%) 3mo $116,000 $86 43
14579 Lappin St 0.40mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,258 (-14%) 13mo $27,000 $21 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
21.11×
Total profit
$61,927
Equity at exit
$1,640
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
43.14×
Total profit
$129,781
Equity at exit
$951

Cash invested: $3,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48205

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
373
Price-to-rent
0.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,408 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$58
Tax est. 1.5%
$14 /mo · $165/yr
Insurance
$5
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$1,037

Break-even live

Break-even rent $96
Max offer price $11,000
Occupancy floor 21%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,044 -5% $1,040 +0% $1,037 +5% $1,033 +10% $1,029
Rent -10% $925 -5% $981 +0% $1,037 +5% $1,092 +10% $1,148
Rate -1.0pp $1,042 -0.5pp $1,039 base $1,037 +0.5pp $1,034 +1.0pp $1,031

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,750
Closing costs
$330
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 39 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14481 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 44d 1 0.28mi
14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 989 $1,150 $1.16 18d 1 0.33mi
14504 Coram St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1203 $1,175 $0.98 25d 1 0.39mi
13669 Pfent St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1031 $1,374 $1.33 18d 1 0.49mi
19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,350 $1.32 18d 1 0.64mi
19170 Joann St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1020 $1,400 $1.37 44d 1 0.68mi
18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 924 $1,450 $1.57 25d 1 0.71mi
13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,195 $1.03 18d 1 0.71mi
15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1018 $1,350 $1.33 44d 1 0.72mi
14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1296 $1,250 $0.96 44d 1 0.73mi
19143 Fairport St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,225 $1.14 18d 1 0.76mi
19207 Westphalia St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1179 $1,800 $1.53 18d 1 0.84mi
15494 Mapleridge St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 937 $1,275 $1.36 44d 1 0.87mi
19419 Westphalia St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1293 $1,325 $1.02 18d 1 0.89mi
15000 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $970 $0.85 18d 1 0.89mi
15616 E 7 Mile Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,150 $1.00 18d 1 0.90mi
15604 Coram St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1210 $1,000 $0.83 44d 1 0.91mi
19610 Westphalia St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,595 $1.33 18d 1 0.92mi
18681 Barlow St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1041 $1,400 $1.34 25d 1 0.99mi
20027 Alcoy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,349 $1.35 18d 1 1.01mi
14134 Collingham Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,350 $1.04 44d 1 1.01mi
13693 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1269 $1,550 $1.22 12d 1 1.02mi
20227 Pelkey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 968 $1,350 $1.39 18d 1 1.05mi
14068 Carlisle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,300 $1.27 25d 1 1.07mi
15909 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 894 $1,266 $1.42 44d 1 1.10mi
17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,100 $1.02 18d 1 1.19mi
12716 Riad St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 974 $1,275 $1.31 18d 1 1.26mi
15503 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1285 $1,100 $0.86 44d 1 1.28mi
20091 Barlow St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 930 $1,300 $1.40 18d 1 1.31mi
18530 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.5 1396 $1,375 $0.98 18d 1 1.33mi
20296 Waltham St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 986 $1,300 $1.32 18d 1 1.33mi
12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,350 $1.19 18d 1 1.35mi
16225 Manning St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1036 $1,475 $1.42 44d 1 1.36mi
11911 Lansdowne St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1350 $1,400 $1.04 44d 1 1.38mi
11689 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1142 $1,350 $1.18 44d 1 1.44mi
11018 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $1,450 $1.27 11d 1 1.44mi
12807 Coleen Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,250 $1.16 25d 1 1.45mi
12846 Georgiana Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,300 $1.43 25d 1 1.46mi
10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1392 $1,350 $0.97 18d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $11,000 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $11,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $11,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $11,000 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $11,000 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $11,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $11,000 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $11,000 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $11,000 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $11,000 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    remarks 269-char remark
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $11,000 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $11,000 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $11,000 Active 11 DOM
  15. 2026-05-19
    listed $21,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    Investor special! Great opportunity for your next rehab project. Property needs a full renovation but has strong potential for fix-and-flip or rental income. Low acquisition cost with plenty of upside. Sold as-is. Serious investors only.

  16. 2026-05-19
    listed $21,000 Active 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    Investor special! Great opportunity for your next rehab project. Property needs a full renovation but has strong potential for fix-and-flip or rental income. Low acquisition cost with plenty of upside. Sold as-is. Serious investors only.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,899
− Mortgage interest
−$616
− Property taxes
−$165
− Insurance
−$55
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,352
− Management
−$1,352
− Depreciation
−$320
Taxable income
$13,039
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,129
After-tax cash flow
$9,309/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,187
Household income
$38,966
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
2121.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.80%
Current HPI
235.0926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.33%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $21,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $21,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+8.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $896 · -53.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…