115 Unit 2 Pump Station Rd · Yarborough Landing, AR
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.5/30.0
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Yarborough Landing on Millwood Lake. Currently Air B & B. Great for a getaway or continue as Air B & B. All furnishings remain with the property. Pictures of the lake area are included. Clean and well maintained area.
Key facts
- 2,613 sq ft lot
- Built 1976
- Listed 28 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Wood siding; Metal roof; Built with conventional foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; No fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($403/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $79k (7.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $79k (7.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#319 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Ashdown School District (town): math 29% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #179 of 238 in AR (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Ashdown Elementary School (math 38% / reading 26%, grade F, #278 of 454 statewide, top 64%, 627 students, 70% FRL); Ashdown Junior High School (math 26% / reading 21%, grade F, #173 of 201 statewide, top 86%, 283 students, 71% FRL); Ashdown High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #187 of 292 statewide, top 70%, 398 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 54% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Little River County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
- Little River County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.69%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $26,205
- Equity at exit
- $52,918
- IRR
- 16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.17×
- Total profit
- $75,561
- Equity at exit
- $95,522
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71822
- Home prices YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $786 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$165
- Net cashflow
- $34
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $92 | -5% $63 | +0% $34 | +5% $4 | +10% $-25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-29 | -5% $3 | +0% $34 | +5% $65 | +10% $96 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $76 | -0.5pp $55 | base $34 | +0.5pp $12 | +1.0pp $-11 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-09status $85,000 Pending 28 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-11$85,000 Active 225-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,433
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$755
- − Management
- −$755
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable loss
- −$1,011
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$243
- After-tax cash flow
- $645/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ashdown School District
- NCES district ID
- 0502580
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,005
- Composite
- 22.18/100
- National rank
- #8161
- State rank
- #179 of 238 in AR
Livability — Yarborough Landing
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #319
- US rank
- #21078
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yarborough Landing, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,830
Population outlook (Little River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,251 people
- By 2030
- 10,529 · -6.4%
- By 2040
- 9,211 · -18.1%
- By 2050
- 7,999 · -28.9%
- By 2075
- 5,779 · -48.6%
- By 2100
- 4,395 · -60.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 21% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Little River
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.1% · R 76.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.3pp toward R · 2008: -29.0pp · 2024: -54.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+36.3 2008: R+29.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.90%
- Current HPI
- 154.3964
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Pending — TBOR
- 2026-05-11 Listed $85,000 TBOR
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $87 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…