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409 Olive Blvd
D- Composite 39.75
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$140,000

409 Olive Blvd · Lindsay, OK 73052
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,488 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 227 Days on market
Built 1974 9,448 sqft lot Est $128k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Sellers offering $5,000 in closing costs. Welcome to this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering plenty of space and potential! Inside, you’ll find two living areas, including a converted garage that now serves as a spacious second living room complete with a wood-burning fireplace . The kitchen and dining area flow nicely into the main living space, creating a functional layout ready for your personal touch. The laundry area is conveniently located in the covered back patio attached to the rear of the home. Outside, the property features an in-ground storm shelter, an outbuilding used as a storage shed, and a generous backyard with room to enjoy. The roof was replaced in 2024 with Class III

Key facts

  • Laundry area
  • Converted garage
  • Storage shed

Tags

CONVERTED GARAGEWOOD BURNING FIREPLACELAUNDRY AREACOVERED BACK PATIOIN GROUND STORM SHELTERSTORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Homestead exemption: Yes
  • Financial info: Assumable: Unknown; Loan qualification: Unknown
  • HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

  • Security: Below-ground storm shelter (outdoors access)
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-level home; Residential property; Located in the Crown Heights addition
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Shingle roof (replaced/updated 2023); Conventional foundation
  • Exterior features: Open patio; Outbuildings; Interior lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Two living areas; One wood-burning fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-484/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $133k (5.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (21.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#380 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities F.
  • Lindsay (town): math 21% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #141 of 270 in OK (top 52%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Lindsay Es (math 25% / reading 24%, grade F, #354 of 845 statewide, top 47%, 606 students, 0% FRL); Lindsay Ms (math 20% / reading 23%, grade F, #146 of 345 statewide, top 43%, 234 students, 0% FRL); Lindsay Hs (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #314 of 447 statewide, top 72%, 324 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Garvin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (7.2% local appreciation)).
  • Garvin County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (7.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 227 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $109,444 (21.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 227 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.95%
Cash-on-cash
-1.23%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$127,968
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
711 Cinmac St 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,428 (-4%) 1mo $120,000 $84 75
317 Oakwood Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,404 (-6%) 17mo $170,000 $121 68
804 NW 7th St 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,424 (-4%) 14mo $183,000 $129 65
1007 NW 7th St 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,650 (+11%) 5mo $142,575 $86 65
712 Cinmac St 0.30mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,696 (+14%) 7mo $110,000 $65 50
201 George Brown Ave 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,312 (-12%) 22mo $105,000 $80 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
2.22×
Total profit
$47,762
Equity at exit
$98,574
10-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
4.59×
Total profit
$140,569
Equity at exit
$188,673

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73052

Home prices YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
46
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,094 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$112 /mo · $1,349/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$-40

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,145
Max offer price $132,878
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $39 -5% $-1 +0% $-40 +5% $-80 +10% $-120
Rent -10% $-127 -5% $-84 +0% $-40 +5% $3 +10% $46
Rate -1.0pp $30 -0.5pp $-5 base $-40 +0.5pp $-77 +1.0pp $-114

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    status Pending
  2. 2025-12-15
    price $140,000
  3. 2025-10-31
    price $145,000
  4. 2025-10-04
    listed $155,000 Active
  5. 2022-07-29
    soldstatus $128,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,349 · $112/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,349 · $112/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,133
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$1,349
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,051
− Management
−$1,051
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$2,932
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$704
After-tax cash flow
$220/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lindsay
NCES district ID
4017850
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$45,406
Composite
19.54/100
National rank
#8763
State rank
#141 of 270 in OK

Livability — Lindsay

Score
59/100
State rank
#380
US rank
#19934

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lindsay, OK
City population
6,289
Population (ZIP)
6,289

Population outlook (Garvin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,277 people
By 2030
28,619 · +1.2%
By 2040
29,478 · +4.2%
By 2050
30,384 · +7.5%
By 2075
34,074 · +20.5%
By 2100
36,099 · +27.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1% Hungarian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Garvin

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.1) · D 16.4% · R 82.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: -43.6pp · 2024: -66.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.1 2020: R+64.2 2016: R+60.7 2012: R+46.1 2008: R+43.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.17%
Current HPI
234.17
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+8.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending MLSOK
  • 2025-12-15 Price Changed $140,000 MLSOK
  • 2025-10-31 Price Changed $145,000 MLSOK
  • 2025-10-04 Listed $155,000 MLSOK
  • 2022-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $128,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+17.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,349 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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