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307 W Spruce St
B Composite 70.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$87,000

307 W Spruce St · Whitewright, TX 75491
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,233 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 59 Days on market
Built 1910 7,100 sqft lot $71/sqft · 65% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ATTENTION INVESTORS, FLIPPERS, AND BUILDERS: This is the math-making project you have been waiting for in Whitewright. Priced aggressively at $94,900, this package includes a 1,233-square-foot historic 1910 cottage PLUS an adjacent 0.163-acre buildable lot with its own parcel ID (0.326 acres total). This property is being sold strictly AS-IS and is a prime candidate for a full cosmetic and systems overhaul. Whether you are looking for your next fix-and-flip, a long-term rental hold, or a multi-phase development project, the margins and exit strategies here are undeniable. The existing home features classic Texas cottage bones with a covered front porch, an attached carport, and a spacious layout that includes a converted great room with an original fireplace mantle. The interior currently features vintage wood paneling, a large eat-in kitchen footprint, and a combined utility and bathroom space that is ripe for reconfiguration. The property requires significant TLC, including roof evaluation, ceiling repairs, kitchen and bath gutting, and flooring, making it ideal for a seasoned contractor or cash buyer ready to get their hands dirty. The true X-factor is the extra lot. You have the flexibility to renovate the existing structure and sell the package, hold the home as a rental while building new construction next door, or split the parcels to maximize your return on investment. The property is connected to city water and sewer. Located just blocks from downtown Whitewright and local schools, the location offers strong resale or rental demand once completed. Do the math - With recent renovated sales in Whitewright pushing well past $150 per sq ft, the ARV potential on the existing home alone leaves plenty of meat on the bone, let alone the value of the vacant lot. Cash or conventional financing only. No blind offers. Bring your contractor, run your numbers, and submit your highest and best. This investor special will not last long at this price point.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Large eat-in kitchen
  • Buildable lot

Tags

HISTORIC COTTAGEBUILDABLE LOTCOVERED FRONT PORCHORIGINAL FIREPLACE MANTLEVINTAGE WOOD PANELINGLARGE EAT-IN KITCHEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $87k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $698 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $87k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 4.3% in Whitewright — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#457 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Whitewright ISD (rural): math 57% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #134 of 826 in TX (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,272 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (750 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $601 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grayson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,390 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.88%
Cap rate
15.92%
Cash-on-cash
34.39%
DSCR
2.53
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$250,418
List price
$87,000
Delta
-65.26%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
311 W Oak St 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,292 (+5%) 2mo $249,999 $193 78
203 S Carter St 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,256 (+2%) 1mo $89,000 $71 76
507 E Maple St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,196 (-3%) 2mo $169,000 $141 58
407 E Grand St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,292 (+5%) 10mo $80,000 $62 52
401 E Spruce St 0.52mi 2/1.5 1,088 (-12%) 4mo $58,500 $54 51
202 W Elm St 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,365 (+11%) 6mo $259,000 $190 49
317 W Elm St 0.35mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (-9%) 18mo $150,000 $134 48
710 Sharon Ln 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,320 (+7%) 7mo $239,900 $182 44
708 Sharon Ln 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,303 (+6%) 21mo $249,500 $191 34
705 Katy Ln 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,307 (+6%) 23mo $265,000 $203 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.8%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$30,381
Equity at exit
$12,972
10-year hold
IRR
37.1%
Equity multiple
4.44×
Total profit
$83,786
Equity at exit
$7,522

Cash invested: $24,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75491

Home prices YoY
-8.6%
Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,636 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$456
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,221/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$344
Net cashflow
$698

Break-even live

Break-even rent $752
Max offer price $87,000
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $747 -5% $723 +0% $698 +5% $673 +10% $649
Rent -10% $569 -5% $633 +0% $698 +5% $763 +10% $827
Rate -1.0pp $742 -0.5pp $720 base $698 +0.5pp $675 +1.0pp $653

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,750
Closing costs
$2,610
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
201 S May St #1 Whitewright, TX 3.0 2.5 1229 $1,595 $1.30 15d 1 0.61mi
201 S May St Whitewright, TX 3.0 2.5 1229 $1,595 $1.30 1d 1 0.61mi
107 E Miller Whitewright, TX 3.0 2.0 1226 $1,725 $1.41 1d 1 0.66mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $87,000 Active 59 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $87,000 Active 58 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $87,000 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $87,000 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $87,000 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,900 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,900 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,900 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $94,900 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,900 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,900 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,900 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,900 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-04-20
    listed $94,900 Active 1992-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1992 chars)

    ATTENTION INVESTORS, FLIPPERS, AND BUILDERS: This is the math-making project you have been waiting for in Whitewright. Priced aggressively at $94,900, this package includes a 1,233-square-foot historic 1910 cottage PLUS an adjacent 0.163-acre buildable lot with its own parcel ID (0.326 acres total). This property is being sold strictly AS-IS and is a prime candidate for a full cosmetic and systems overhaul. Whether you are looking for your next fix-and-flip, a long-term rental hold, or a multi-phase development project, the margins and exit strategies here are undeniable. The existing home features classic Texas cottage bones with a covered front porch, an attached carport, and a spacious layout that includes a converted great room with an original fireplace mantle. The interior currently features vintage wood paneling, a large eat-in kitchen footprint, and a combined utility and bathroom space that is ripe for reconfiguration. The property requires significant TLC, including roof evaluation, ceiling repairs, kitchen and bath gutting, and flooring, making it ideal for a seasoned contractor or cash buyer ready to get their hands dirty. The true X-factor is the extra lot. You have the flexibility to renovate the existing structure and sell the package, hold the home as a rental while building new construction next door, or split the parcels to maximize your return on investment. The property is connected to city water and sewer. Located just blocks from downtown Whitewright and local schools, the location offers strong resale or rental demand once completed. Do the math - With recent renovated sales in Whitewright pushing well past $150 per sq ft, the ARV potential on the existing home alone leaves plenty of meat on the bone, let alone the value of the vacant lot. Cash or conventional financing only. No blind offers. Bring your contractor, run your numbers, and submit your highest and best. This investor special will not last long at this price point.

  15. 2022-01-25
    soldstatus Sold 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    home sits on 0.163 acre lot. Currently tenant occupied at $650 a month. Long term tenants. Additional . 163 acre lot next door included in sale. Has own parcel ID. buildable lot. Please do not disturb tenants.

  16. 2021-12-12
    status Pending 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    home sits on 0.163 acre lot. Currently tenant occupied at $650 a month. Long term tenants. Additional . 163 acre lot next door included in sale. Has own parcel ID. buildable lot. Please do not disturb tenants.

  17. 2021-12-06
    listed $80,000 Active 209-char remark
    Show marketing remark (209 chars)

    home sits on 0.163 acre lot. Currently tenant occupied at $650 a month. Long term tenants. Additional . 163 acre lot next door included in sale. Has own parcel ID. buildable lot. Please do not disturb tenants.

  18. 2006-01-18
    soldstatus
  19. 2005-02-01
    soldstatus
  20. 2000-06-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,221 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,592 · $133/mo
Expected delta
+$372/yr (+$31/mo · 30.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,629
− Mortgage interest
−$4,873
− Property taxes
−$1,221
− Insurance
−$435
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,570
− Management
−$1,570
− Depreciation
−$2,531
Taxable income
$7,429
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,783
After-tax cash flow
$6,594/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Whitewright ISD
NCES district ID
4845670
Math proficiency
57% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$49,969
Composite
45.31/100
National rank
#2648
State rank
#134 of 826 in TX

Livability — Whitewright

Score
68/100
State rank
#457
US rank
#9255

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Whitewright, TX
Population (ZIP)
5,428

Population outlook (Grayson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
134,540 people
By 2030
138,653 · +3.1%
By 2040
145,958 · +8.5%
By 2050
151,218 · +12.4%
By 2075
161,802 · +20.3%
By 2100
159,036 · +18.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grayson

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.5% · R 76.7%
2008→2024 swing
-16.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.3 2020: R+49.9 2016: R+53.1 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+37.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -25.85%
Current HPI
273.3968
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $94,900 NTREIS
  • 2022-01-25 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2021-12-12 Pending NTREIS
  • 2021-12-06 Listed $80,000 NTREIS
  • 2006-01-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-02-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2000-06-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,221 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…